Guilty-Tension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$707

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

7,904

Trades

14,234

lifetime

Volume

$185.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-17 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 90% -$317

Other

9% 50% -$390

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 01:45 UTC	1	$180	186	0	+186	Up	+$6	02-25 01:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:50 UTC	1	$171	174	0	+174	Up	+$3	03-09 16:53
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 17:00 UTC	1	$168	171	0	+171	Down	-$168	02-25 17:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 14:45 UTC	1	$168	173	0	+173	Up	+$5	02-24 14:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 16:15 UTC	1	$165	168	0	+168	Up	+$3	02-25 16:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:55 UTC	1	$158	161	0	+161	Down	+$3	02-25 15:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:40 UTC	1	$157	162	0	+162	Up	+$5	03-10 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?	7	$157	156	109	+48	Yes	-$70	06-16 11:17
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:35 UTC	1	$156	165	0	+165	Up	+$9	02-25 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 01:45 UTC	1	$156	159	0	+159	Up	+$3	02-25 01:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:45 UTC	1	$154	157	0	+157	Up	+$3	03-10 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:05 UTC	1	$154	157	0	+157	Up	+$3	03-08 22:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 16:10 UTC	1	$154	162	0	+162	Up	+$8	02-25 16:13
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:30 UTC	1	$154	159	0	+159	Up	+$5	02-25 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:30 UTC	1	$153	159	0	+159	Down	+$6	03-10 13:33
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:15 UTC	1	$152	160	0	+160	Up	+$9	02-25 15:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:35 UTC	1	$151	154	0	+154	Up	+$3	03-06 15:38
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:05 UTC	1	$149	154	0	+154	Up	+$5	03-10 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:05 UTC	1	$149	154	0	+154	Up	+$5	03-10 08:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 14:55 UTC	1	$146	151	0	+151	Up	+$5	02-25 14:58
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:45 UTC	1	$145	148	0	+148	Up	+$3	02-25 13:48
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:05 UTC	1	$144	147	0	+147	Down	+$3	02-25 15:08
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:40 UTC	1	$144	147	0	+147	Down	+$3	03-13 00:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 22:50 UTC	1	$141	145	0	+145	Down	+$4	03-09 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 05:40 UTC	1	$141	147	0	+147	Down	+$6	03-11 05:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:50 UTC	1	$140	144	0	+144	Down	+$4	03-10 02:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:30 UTC	1	$139	142	0	+142	Down	+$3	03-09 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:35 UTC	1	$138	141	0	+141	Up	+$3	03-09 12:38
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 14:55 UTC	1	$138	143	0	+143	Down	+$5	02-24 14:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:15 UTC	1	$138	152	0	+152	Down	+$14	03-05 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 08:28:27	highest temperature in chicago on october 18 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xa2565a…
10-16 21:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 18?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x205347…
10-16 20:07:06	highest temperature in chengdu on october 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xf44681…
10-16 19:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x918999…
10-16 17:11:07	highest temperature in seoul on october 18 2026 23c	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb9ca52…
10-16 11:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfa17f5…
10-16 07:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on October 17?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa2d174…
10-15 13:21:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 17?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xdfeaa9…
10-15 13:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe2063c…
10-15 13:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9596ea…
10-15 13:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x580869…
10-15 10:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x147251…
10-15 07:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x20b712…
10-15 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x0b2661…
10-15 06:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x2e17a7…
10-15 06:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7bee6e…
10-15 02:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xc80381…
10-15 01:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16?	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xe76b52…
10-15 00:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xd6c189…
10-15 00:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 16?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x3d0ee3…
10-15 00:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$0	0xf89ac8…
10-15 00:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x1d7def…
10-14 23:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xdd5eb0…
10-14 23:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x161268…
10-14 23:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xab8fce…
10-14 23:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x752284…
10-14 23:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x321994…
10-14 22:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xcf077f…
10-14 22:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x71e600…
10-14 22:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xebfebc…
10-14 22:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5a5077…
10-14 22:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x2e011e…
10-14 18:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x808a6f…
10-14 17:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x137af9…
10-14 17:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5e5157…
10-14 16:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7fd66f…
10-14 13:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 16?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x97f244…
10-14 11:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x430234…
10-13 18:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xf00241…
10-13 17:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8aa084…
10-13 16:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1ac60c…
10-13 16:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7b97ca…
10-13 16:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x95fd3d…
10-13 14:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 15?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x40f03f…
10-13 11:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6deb8f…
10-13 11:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x50384b…
10-13 06:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x0e14a4…
10-13 06:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xc70768…
10-12 23:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x1c4426…
10-12 12:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4fac7c…
10-12 07:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x0484f9…
10-12 07:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x6c4cf1…
10-12 06:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x4de0aa…
10-12 05:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xb42d88…
10-12 03:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x78ef1a…
10-11 15:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 13?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2c34fc…
10-11 13:11:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb82ed8…
10-11 13:11:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x473b25…
10-11 13:11:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$0	0x364021…
10-10 14:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbf436b…
10-10 12:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe25527…
10-10 09:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x519ce4…
10-10 06:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x9be264…
10-10 05:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xea5a20…
10-10 04:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x6c713f…
10-10 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x4a4513…
10-10 02:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xd8814d…
10-09 14:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x70a14b…
10-09 14:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x14c145…
10-09 04:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x2d8c63…
10-09 04:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x66b791…
10-09 00:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x087ed7…
10-08 14:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x335a01…
10-08 08:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x4fe7d7…
10-08 07:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x50d9b1…
10-08 07:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xae6d18…
10-08 04:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xc24fcb…
10-08 04:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x0cc9c4…
10-08 04:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xc377c8…
10-08 04:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb8ceac…
10-08 03:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc697c9…
10-08 03:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x17ce96…
10-08 02:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x61afd0…
10-08 02:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xf09604…
10-08 02:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x4bd71c…
10-07 23:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x383f32…
10-07 23:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0xf4ffa8…
10-07 15:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb2204a…
10-07 13:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x850c1c…
10-07 11:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 8?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x3590e9…
10-07 08:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2405d0…
10-07 05:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x365d68…
10-07 05:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x39d290…
10-07 00:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x52cc4a…
10-07 00:00:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcd3236…
10-06 20:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2a2ef7…
10-06 19:15:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xad65a0…
10-06 15:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 8?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x120068…
10-06 15:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 8?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7d6ce1…
10-06 11:00:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 7?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xe5a49f…