Cautious-Ziggurat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

5,879

Trades

11,144

lifetime

Volume

$167.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-28 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 78% +$1,105

Other

4% 86% -$37

Politics

1% 25% +$26

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	74	$1.8K	924	922	+2	Down	+$5	07-29 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	12	$1.4K	684	684	+0	Down	+$6	07-21 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:55 UTC	13	$920	465	465	+0	Down	+$4	07-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:00 UTC	7	$918	464	464	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:15 UTC	3	$910	460	460	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 21:19
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	164	$857	483	483	+0	No	+$27	05-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	5	$675	339	339	+0	Down	+$3	07-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:00 UTC	10	$665	335	335	+0	Down	+$1	07-20 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:35 UTC	4	$623	325	325	+0	Down	-$21	07-17 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$600	383	220	+164	Up	+$3	07-29 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	3	$587	297	297	+0	Down	-$1	07-18 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	9	$578	292	292	-0	Down	$0	07-18 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	11	$564	288	288	+0	Up	-$6	07-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$562	283	283	+0	Up	+$2	07-27 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:25 UTC	15	$507	341	171	+171	Down	+$2	07-20 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:40 UTC	11	$506	254	254	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:00 UTC	50	$503	867	867	+0	Down	+$233	07-11 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:50 UTC	21	$499	1,068	1,053	+15	Up	+$239	07-21 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:15 UTC	5	$489	252	252	+0	Down	-$7	07-17 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:30 UTC	4	$483	257	242	+14	Down	-$7	07-17 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:45 UTC	6	$482	248	248	+0	Down	-$10	07-17 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	13	$478	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	07-29 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	2	$475	242	242	+0	Up	-$5	07-17 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:25 UTC	1	$470	475	0	+475	Down	+$5	07-18 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:20 UTC	4	$468	236	236	+0	Up	+$0	07-17 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:35 UTC	8	$468	237	233	+4	Down	+$2	07-27 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	2	$466	471	0	+471	Down	+$5	07-18 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:55 UTC	1	$458	464	0	+464	Down	+$6	07-18 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:20 UTC	9	$455	460	0	+460	Down	+$5	07-18 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	92	$454	742	742	+0	Down	+$254	07-21 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x860811…
10-28 09:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1c4607…
10-28 09:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x75b524…
10-28 09:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x696000…
10-28 09:19:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x404797…
10-28 09:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xcdbe92…
10-28 09:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x44a9f9…
10-28 08:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdc9f8b…
10-28 08:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8cb981…
10-28 08:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x82f18c…
10-28 08:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x057df6…
10-28 08:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x52e18f…
10-28 08:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x4eacba…
10-28 08:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x102dd7…
10-28 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x090fbd…
10-28 08:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5f8837…
10-28 07:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf23f1d…
10-28 07:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf087a4…
10-28 07:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x198a2b…
10-28 07:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x578cb3…
10-28 07:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x076cf0…
10-28 06:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x149dfb…
10-28 06:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x3878e9…
10-28 06:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x20b0f7…
10-28 06:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8ae46d…
10-28 06:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3ab342…
10-28 06:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7ced95…
10-28 05:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd9c49c…
10-28 05:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x450afb…
10-28 05:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x99153c…
10-28 04:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x256f33…
10-28 04:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xa3e50c…
10-28 04:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xc55167…
10-28 04:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x906b2e…
10-28 03:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x257e80…
10-28 03:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe5b303…
10-28 03:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5a1ae0…
10-28 03:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x729a49…
10-28 03:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc919c5…
10-28 02:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x04da16…
10-28 02:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x5417f1…
10-28 02:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x222b14…
10-28 02:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb560a2…
10-28 02:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe12877…
10-28 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x5da625…
10-28 02:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6debb0…
10-28 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xf979af…
10-28 01:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x48a8ec…
10-28 01:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb9998c…
10-28 01:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9fb07b…
10-28 01:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x276086…
10-28 00:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd99a30…
10-28 00:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa3019c…
10-28 00:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb8fd53…
10-28 00:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x54a3b2…
10-28 00:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x91e129…
10-28 00:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x8b45ae…
10-28 00:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xbfefa9…
10-27 23:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xdd8e99…
10-27 23:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x21684d…
10-27 23:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8486ea…
10-27 23:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb74915…
10-27 23:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00a9b3…
10-27 22:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe3123d…
10-27 22:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x7b8e27…
10-27 22:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x02252d…
10-27 22:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x213a9f…
10-27 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfbe8e8…
10-27 22:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xafe798…
10-27 22:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xcc581e…
10-27 21:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x91af39…
10-27 21:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x25141c…
10-27 21:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa4d1c1…
10-27 21:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd5b3af…
10-27 21:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x055ad2…
10-27 21:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7aee1a…
10-27 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3e652e…
10-27 20:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf53a83…
10-27 20:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2755ab…
10-27 20:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x64ffe2…
10-27 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0xc9fe74…
10-27 20:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe60a1a…
10-27 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xc1620d…
10-27 20:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7b0352…
10-27 20:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb543a1…
10-27 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x24111f…
10-27 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x1157eb…
10-27 20:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4ffd0f…
10-27 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb13025…
10-27 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc3c5f8…
10-27 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe1053e…
10-27 19:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x73d2a1…
10-27 19:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x817f25…
10-27 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfdcdfd…
10-27 19:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x52f278…
10-27 18:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5c9b24…
10-27 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x86becc…
10-27 18:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x1bb4b4…
10-27 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa2b797…
10-27 18:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x487288…