Cautious-Ziggurat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

5,815

Trades

11,074

lifetime

Volume

$165.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-27 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 78% +$1,107

Other

4% 86% -$37

Politics

1% 25% +$26

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	74	$1.8K	924	922	+2	Down	+$5	07-29 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	12	$1.4K	684	684	+0	Down	+$6	07-21 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:55 UTC	13	$920	465	465	+0	Down	+$4	07-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:00 UTC	7	$918	464	464	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:15 UTC	3	$910	460	460	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 21:19
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	164	$857	483	483	+0	No	+$27	05-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	5	$675	339	339	+0	Down	+$3	07-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:00 UTC	10	$665	335	335	+0	Down	+$1	07-20 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:35 UTC	4	$623	325	325	+0	Down	-$21	07-17 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$600	383	220	+164	Up	+$3	07-29 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	3	$587	297	297	+0	Down	-$1	07-18 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	9	$578	292	292	-0	Down	$0	07-18 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	11	$564	288	288	+0	Up	-$6	07-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$562	283	283	+0	Up	+$2	07-27 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:25 UTC	15	$507	341	171	+171	Down	+$2	07-20 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:40 UTC	11	$506	254	254	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:00 UTC	50	$503	867	867	+0	Down	+$233	07-11 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:50 UTC	21	$499	1,068	1,053	+15	Up	+$239	07-21 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:15 UTC	5	$489	252	252	+0	Down	-$7	07-17 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:30 UTC	4	$483	257	242	+14	Down	-$7	07-17 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:45 UTC	6	$482	248	248	+0	Down	-$10	07-17 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	13	$478	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	07-29 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	2	$475	242	242	+0	Up	-$5	07-17 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:25 UTC	1	$470	475	0	+475	Down	+$5	07-18 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:20 UTC	4	$468	236	236	+0	Up	+$0	07-17 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:35 UTC	8	$468	237	233	+4	Down	+$2	07-27 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	2	$466	471	0	+471	Down	+$5	07-18 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:55 UTC	1	$458	464	0	+464	Down	+$6	07-18 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:20 UTC	9	$455	460	0	+460	Down	+$5	07-18 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	92	$454	742	742	+0	Down	+$254	07-21 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x055ad2…
10-27 21:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7aee1a…
10-27 21:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3e652e…
10-27 20:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf53a83…
10-27 20:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2755ab…
10-27 20:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x64ffe2…
10-27 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0xc9fe74…
10-27 20:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe60a1a…
10-27 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xc1620d…
10-27 20:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7b0352…
10-27 20:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb543a1…
10-27 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x24111f…
10-27 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x1157eb…
10-27 20:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4ffd0f…
10-27 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb13025…
10-27 19:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc3c5f8…
10-27 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe1053e…
10-27 19:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x73d2a1…
10-27 19:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x817f25…
10-27 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfdcdfd…
10-27 19:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x52f278…
10-27 18:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5c9b24…
10-27 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x86becc…
10-27 18:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x1bb4b4…
10-27 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa2b797…
10-27 18:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x487288…
10-27 18:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7bbdb0…
10-27 17:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf33bcc…
10-27 17:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x6a65ce…
10-27 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x37d99c…
10-27 17:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x481b46…
10-27 17:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1cd150…
10-27 16:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x9703ba…
10-27 16:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb4371d…
10-27 16:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa15482…
10-27 16:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcc01d2…
10-27 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x31cd71…
10-27 15:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd7a23…
10-27 15:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6d0707…
10-27 15:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdb28e8…
10-27 15:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb2eab7…
10-27 15:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x289b8e…
10-27 15:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x765f48…
10-27 15:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x54e9e6…
10-27 15:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x52d89d…
10-27 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x306565…
10-27 14:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd431b…
10-27 14:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x412acd…
10-27 14:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x097a79…
10-27 14:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x486790…
10-27 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x406e5e…
10-27 13:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x361ba8…
10-27 13:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0d4c3f…
10-27 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xeb53a2…
10-27 13:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x881131…
10-27 13:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6874b7…
10-27 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x7741d7…
10-27 13:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x751893…
10-27 12:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x126b1e…
10-27 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xeb9d8d…
10-27 12:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0ae10b…
10-27 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc589af…
10-27 12:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe70bad…
10-27 12:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xee4d47…
10-27 11:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb77c10…
10-27 11:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xee6c27…
10-27 11:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9f4104…
10-27 11:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x43f528…
10-27 11:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x24b866…
10-27 11:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x2f5ba0…
10-27 11:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf3b514…
10-27 10:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x791107…
10-27 10:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6f30e4…
10-27 10:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa8be8d…
10-27 10:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc72d38…
10-27 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x335c23…
10-27 10:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x30f2b6…
10-27 10:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x65c9bb…
10-27 10:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x3acde0…
10-27 09:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x39328d…
10-27 09:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x47c61d…
10-27 09:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe194f5…
10-27 09:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc55903…
10-27 08:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6ede76…
10-27 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0x266cfe…
10-27 08:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xce76b0…
10-27 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x26f430…
10-27 08:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x65411e…
10-27 08:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x86858f…
10-27 08:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1fbf71…
10-27 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x77bfb4…
10-27 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1d18c6…
10-27 07:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x24a8e4…
10-27 07:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x16a7d0…
10-27 07:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x83d2a1…
10-27 07:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd88fbb…
10-27 06:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc767c9…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x106c82…
10-27 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9a8088…
10-27 06:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2ac604…