Cautious-Ziggurat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$164

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved (30d)

3,644

Trades (30d)

3,982

11,546 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$71.9K

$178.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-30 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 79% +$1,091

Other

4% 86% -$37

Politics

0% 25% +$26

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	74	$1.8K	924	922	+2	Down	+$5	07-29 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	12	$1.4K	684	684	+0	Down	+$6	07-21 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:55 UTC	13	$920	465	465	+0	Down	+$4	07-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:00 UTC	7	$918	464	464	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:15 UTC	3	$910	460	460	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 21:19
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	164	$857	483	483	+0	No	+$27	05-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	5	$675	339	339	+0	Down	+$3	07-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:00 UTC	10	$665	335	335	+0	Down	+$1	07-20 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:35 UTC	4	$623	325	325	+0	Down	-$21	07-17 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$600	383	220	+164	Up	+$3	07-29 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	3	$587	297	297	+0	Down	-$1	07-18 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	9	$578	292	292	-0	Down	$0	07-18 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	11	$564	288	288	+0	Up	-$6	07-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$562	283	283	+0	Up	+$2	07-27 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:25 UTC	15	$507	341	171	+171	Down	+$2	07-20 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:40 UTC	11	$506	254	254	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:00 UTC	50	$503	867	867	+0	Down	+$233	07-11 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:50 UTC	21	$499	1,068	1,053	+15	Up	+$239	07-21 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:15 UTC	5	$489	252	252	+0	Down	-$7	07-17 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:30 UTC	4	$483	257	242	+14	Down	-$7	07-17 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:45 UTC	6	$482	248	248	+0	Down	-$10	07-17 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	13	$478	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	07-29 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	2	$475	242	242	+0	Up	-$5	07-17 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:25 UTC	1	$470	475	0	+475	Down	+$5	07-18 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:20 UTC	4	$468	236	236	+0	Up	+$0	07-17 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:35 UTC	8	$468	237	233	+4	Down	+$2	07-27 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	2	$466	471	0	+471	Down	+$5	07-18 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:55 UTC	1	$458	464	0	+464	Down	+$6	07-18 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:20 UTC	9	$455	460	0	+460	Down	+$5	07-18 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	92	$454	742	742	+0	Down	+$254	07-21 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1aab1e…
10-30 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc48025…
10-30 08:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5206b7…
10-30 08:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x7b09be…
10-30 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd268aa…
10-30 08:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb84390…
10-30 08:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x444022…
10-30 08:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x21d173…
10-30 08:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8451dd…
10-30 07:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5c1215…
10-30 07:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x898caa…
10-30 07:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x4eb0a1…
10-30 07:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x885c26…
10-30 07:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x57f39e…
10-30 07:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xf4aca8…
10-30 07:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa250c5…
10-30 07:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe7cf36…
10-30 07:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xafa20e…
10-30 06:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x691f7e…
10-30 06:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x46e5b2…
10-30 06:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfb24ad…
10-30 06:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x0253f1…
10-30 06:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x94ca3b…
10-30 06:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x8cbcbe…
10-30 06:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x30285b…
10-30 06:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe52195…
10-30 06:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x4e8080…
10-30 06:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xc1a361…
10-30 06:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3102cd…
10-30 05:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x231599…
10-30 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x48a927…
10-30 05:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xa6a76e…
10-30 05:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6d3c13…
10-30 05:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xf4dbc4…
10-30 05:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x7ad638…
10-30 05:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf653fb…
10-30 05:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb8c1fd…
10-30 05:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe76f95…
10-30 05:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x2662a2…
10-30 05:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x0b8bf3…
10-30 04:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdf8120…
10-30 04:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xf488b2…
10-30 04:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x714966…
10-30 04:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xc05711…
10-30 04:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6b1e6b…
10-30 04:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe06f95…
10-30 04:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9daf5c…
10-30 04:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xcb28b9…
10-30 04:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0x56b0ce…
10-30 04:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6716aa…
10-30 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12f3b6…
10-30 03:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x36a4ad…
10-30 03:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4b01d8…
10-30 03:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x3abc9d…
10-30 03:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x871cfc…
10-30 03:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x7a8e4a…
10-30 03:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x92059a…
10-30 03:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x35a57d…
10-30 03:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3dff2c…
10-30 03:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xac7947…
10-30 02:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8ad77e…
10-30 02:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3fce1c…
10-30 02:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x56a98d…
10-30 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x589a89…
10-30 02:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x62b45b…
10-30 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xca0ff5…
10-30 02:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x66a751…
10-30 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbb8664…
10-30 02:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xccf009…
10-30 01:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc9486e…
10-30 01:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb2bc14…
10-30 01:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8c0d54…
10-30 01:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xa07fbf…
10-30 01:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x58bbfe…
10-30 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xcfacd1…
10-30 01:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd211d…
10-30 01:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0x8e6a44…
10-30 01:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa6c063…
10-30 01:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x880f3f…
10-30 01:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8ca286…
10-30 01:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6072e6…
10-30 01:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xeac203…
10-30 01:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x45b6be…
10-30 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x76e647…
10-30 00:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0ef096…
10-30 00:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x089ad9…
10-30 00:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x49f7fe…
10-30 00:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x70fe04…
10-30 00:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x4d6c13…
10-30 00:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5a0e8d…
10-30 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x01b12f…
10-30 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd3ac23…
10-30 00:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1807f6…
10-30 00:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xb53a31…
10-30 00:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa94dc3…
10-30 00:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf111ef…
10-30 00:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdc6d31…
10-29 23:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc875dc…
10-29 23:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xf7aa3a…
10-29 23:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1618cf…