Cautious-Ziggurat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved (30d)

3,538

Trades (30d)

3,864

11,424 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$68.8K

$175.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-29 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 79% +$1,117

Other

4% 86% -$37

Politics

0% 25% +$26

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	74	$1.8K	924	922	+2	Down	+$5	07-29 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	12	$1.4K	684	684	+0	Down	+$6	07-21 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:55 UTC	13	$920	465	465	+0	Down	+$4	07-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:00 UTC	7	$918	464	464	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:15 UTC	3	$910	460	460	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 21:19
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	164	$857	483	483	+0	No	+$27	05-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	5	$675	339	339	+0	Down	+$3	07-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:00 UTC	10	$665	335	335	+0	Down	+$1	07-20 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:35 UTC	4	$623	325	325	+0	Down	-$21	07-17 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$600	383	220	+164	Up	+$3	07-29 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	3	$587	297	297	+0	Down	-$1	07-18 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	9	$578	292	292	-0	Down	$0	07-18 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	11	$564	288	288	+0	Up	-$6	07-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$562	283	283	+0	Up	+$2	07-27 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:25 UTC	15	$507	341	171	+171	Down	+$2	07-20 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:40 UTC	11	$506	254	254	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:00 UTC	50	$503	867	867	+0	Down	+$233	07-11 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:50 UTC	21	$499	1,068	1,053	+15	Up	+$239	07-21 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:15 UTC	5	$489	252	252	+0	Down	-$7	07-17 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:30 UTC	4	$483	257	242	+14	Down	-$7	07-17 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:45 UTC	6	$482	248	248	+0	Down	-$10	07-17 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	13	$478	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	07-29 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	2	$475	242	242	+0	Up	-$5	07-17 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:25 UTC	1	$470	475	0	+475	Down	+$5	07-18 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:20 UTC	4	$468	236	236	+0	Up	+$0	07-17 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:35 UTC	8	$468	237	233	+4	Down	+$2	07-27 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	2	$466	471	0	+471	Down	+$5	07-18 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:55 UTC	1	$458	464	0	+464	Down	+$6	07-18 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:20 UTC	9	$455	460	0	+460	Down	+$5	07-18 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	92	$454	742	742	+0	Down	+$254	07-21 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x6485df…
10-29 22:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x27799f…
10-29 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xad086a…
10-29 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9a72ac…
10-29 22:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x670f46…
10-29 22:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc61a48…
10-29 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x222421…
10-29 21:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xbc2abb…
10-29 21:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb65ec1…
10-29 21:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x80af7e…
10-29 21:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x0d4078…
10-29 21:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x4c1245…
10-29 21:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x87ade0…
10-29 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd82dde…
10-29 21:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7600a8…
10-29 21:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x349f33…
10-29 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x6081b2…
10-29 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5b0863…
10-29 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x633548…
10-29 21:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc3ec6d…
10-29 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x474151…
10-29 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6dc3b9…
10-29 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0xc5a9f5…
10-29 20:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbc5019…
10-29 20:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x700dd2…
10-29 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x698f83…
10-29 20:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x71c2e9…
10-29 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0x929625…
10-29 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7f46c4…
10-29 20:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa7b9e9…
10-29 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x411e50…
10-29 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x2ad869…
10-29 19:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x222138…
10-29 19:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x84d1a5…
10-29 19:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8dff21…
10-29 17:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa1b4a0…
10-29 17:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xee3096…
10-29 17:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x800778…
10-29 17:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2e2236…
10-29 17:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfdcd30…
10-29 17:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3f188e…
10-29 17:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa6c426…
10-29 16:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x708283…
10-29 16:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf3bccc…
10-29 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x5b2935…
10-29 16:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x94402a…
10-29 16:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6d1649…
10-29 16:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf203d1…
10-29 16:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xa53e4f…
10-29 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe8e29f…
10-29 16:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb023f1…
10-29 16:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0xeb08f2…
10-29 16:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe24cf4…
10-29 15:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a5c87…
10-29 15:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x2534da…
10-29 15:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5edafe…
10-29 15:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x108514…
10-29 15:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x328610…
10-29 15:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x06372e…
10-29 15:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x9a4a54…
10-29 15:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1bd7fe…
10-29 15:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3268c2…
10-29 15:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0xdc151b…
10-29 15:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x8d5f78…
10-29 15:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5e288a…
10-29 15:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfcadf4…
10-29 15:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x399418…
10-29 15:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x948c58…
10-29 14:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2d0592…
10-29 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xff33ff…
10-29 14:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5d6780…
10-29 14:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x063ba1…
10-29 14:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	93¢	$28	0xf182b0…
10-29 14:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x8c59c0…
10-29 14:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xa72b68…
10-29 14:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd91d75…
10-29 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbddb59…
10-29 14:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xdd4548…
10-29 14:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd82f97…
10-29 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x18b219…
10-29 13:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xed626d…
10-29 13:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd8eacf…
10-29 13:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7f9a5a…
10-29 13:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0xe89409…
10-29 13:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x6d8322…
10-29 13:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6c5163…
10-29 13:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x4426a9…
10-29 13:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4c2bd1…
10-29 13:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8761c1…
10-29 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4718e0…
10-29 12:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x9e7d01…
10-29 12:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0xcfbc8e…
10-29 12:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x949bfa…
10-29 12:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x581e51…
10-29 12:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x6021cd…
10-29 12:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfe3d9f…
10-29 12:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa4dedf…
10-29 12:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb9215a…
10-29 12:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x930f50…
10-29 12:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd744ea…