Cautious-Ziggurat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

6,402

Trades

11,746

lifetime

Volume

$184.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-31 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 79% +$1,118

Other

4% 86% -$37

Politics

0% 25% +$26

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	74	$1.8K	924	922	+2	Down	+$5	07-29 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	12	$1.4K	684	684	+0	Down	+$6	07-21 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:55 UTC	13	$920	465	465	+0	Down	+$4	07-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:00 UTC	7	$918	464	464	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:15 UTC	3	$910	460	460	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 21:19
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	164	$857	483	483	+0	No	+$27	05-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	5	$675	339	339	+0	Down	+$3	07-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:00 UTC	10	$665	335	335	+0	Down	+$1	07-20 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:35 UTC	4	$623	325	325	+0	Down	-$21	07-17 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$600	383	220	+164	Up	+$3	07-29 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	3	$587	297	297	+0	Down	-$1	07-18 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	9	$578	292	292	-0	Down	$0	07-18 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	11	$564	288	288	+0	Up	-$6	07-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$562	283	283	+0	Up	+$2	07-27 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:25 UTC	15	$507	341	171	+171	Down	+$2	07-20 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:40 UTC	11	$506	254	254	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:00 UTC	50	$503	867	867	+0	Down	+$233	07-11 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:50 UTC	21	$499	1,068	1,053	+15	Up	+$239	07-21 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:15 UTC	5	$489	252	252	+0	Down	-$7	07-17 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:30 UTC	4	$483	257	242	+14	Down	-$7	07-17 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:45 UTC	6	$482	248	248	+0	Down	-$10	07-17 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	13	$478	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	07-29 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	2	$475	242	242	+0	Up	-$5	07-17 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:25 UTC	1	$470	475	0	+475	Down	+$5	07-18 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:20 UTC	4	$468	236	236	+0	Up	+$0	07-17 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:35 UTC	8	$468	237	233	+4	Down	+$2	07-27 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	2	$466	471	0	+471	Down	+$5	07-18 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:55 UTC	1	$458	464	0	+464	Down	+$6	07-18 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:20 UTC	9	$455	460	0	+460	Down	+$5	07-18 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	92	$454	742	742	+0	Down	+$254	07-21 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 07:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x14a7a8…
10-31 07:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xbfda00…
10-31 07:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd34292…
10-31 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2e238a…
10-31 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13736f…
10-31 07:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x8fcf2d…
10-31 07:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x378274…
10-31 06:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3e25bb…
10-31 06:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xd8688f…
10-31 06:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xce9588…
10-31 06:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xb363c0…
10-31 06:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x534cbb…
10-31 06:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcbe479…
10-31 06:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xbaa3ae…
10-31 06:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x743a5a…
10-31 06:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xec7a15…
10-31 06:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xdf4985…
10-31 06:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x330d51…
10-31 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xacd20f…
10-31 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x525001…
10-31 05:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5b1bf…
10-31 05:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7eacfe…
10-31 05:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2b512e…
10-31 04:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7b1466…
10-31 04:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf49ee7…
10-31 04:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0x639d0b…
10-31 04:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xc0fba0…
10-31 04:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x47f999…
10-31 04:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xba7eb7…
10-31 04:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x55d199…
10-31 04:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8201cc…
10-31 03:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x12c092…
10-31 03:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbbbfde…
10-31 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc1401d…
10-31 03:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x6e6d50…
10-31 03:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x05ee6c…
10-31 02:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8e8dc3…
10-31 02:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb8f585…
10-31 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xa5c877…
10-31 02:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x869329…
10-31 02:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf24175…
10-31 02:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6831d6…
10-31 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x33af96…
10-31 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa81d7d…
10-31 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x54167e…
10-31 01:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfa041d…
10-31 01:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb47f69…
10-31 01:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xabd899…
10-31 01:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x062c11…
10-31 01:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x48c1eb…
10-31 01:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x476bcf…
10-31 01:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5c94c9…
10-31 00:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8cd04f…
10-31 00:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x49e346…
10-31 00:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdd5704…
10-30 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x405003…
10-30 23:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x113cd5…
10-30 23:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xe1e077…
10-30 23:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd6a64a…
10-30 23:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x26efb2…
10-30 23:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9e51c4…
10-30 23:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd29343…
10-30 23:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc47d83…
10-30 22:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x0c8099…
10-30 22:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x90e043…
10-30 22:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x87b6da…
10-30 22:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9af7e8…
10-30 22:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf4dd51…
10-30 22:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x54c176…
10-30 22:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5a4e86…
10-30 22:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x68cf21…
10-30 21:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xaea6ac…
10-30 21:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8c303e…
10-30 21:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2033ae…
10-30 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xd6b9ec…
10-30 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xb0b856…
10-30 21:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x632dad…
10-30 21:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdf13ed…
10-30 21:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcbdad0…
10-30 21:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x048af6…
10-30 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa19a5b…
10-30 21:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x620e25…
10-30 21:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfdc8b3…
10-30 20:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd89aa4…
10-30 20:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xbf2255…
10-30 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4829ed…
10-30 20:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x118203…
10-30 20:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x93194b…
10-30 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x57d16b…
10-30 20:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x33f0e1…
10-30 20:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc60453…
10-30 20:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x37c1c6…
10-30 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x8c5f5e…
10-30 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x79f2fd…
10-30 19:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x668bdc…
10-30 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x88f1f7…
10-30 19:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xed40f3…
10-30 19:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x084759…
10-30 19:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x2b94be…
10-30 19:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x72b1ed…