Cautious-Ziggurat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved (90d)

3,638

Trades (90d)

4,059

11,170 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$72.3K

$174.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-30 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 79% +$1,116

Other

4% 86% -$37

Politics

0% 25% +$26

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	74	$1.8K	924	922	+2	Down	+$5	07-29 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	12	$1.4K	684	684	+0	Down	+$6	07-21 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:55 UTC	13	$920	465	465	+0	Down	+$4	07-29 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:00 UTC	7	$918	464	464	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:15 UTC	3	$910	460	460	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 21:19
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	164	$857	483	483	+0	No	+$27	05-16 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	5	$675	339	339	+0	Down	+$3	07-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:00 UTC	10	$665	335	335	+0	Down	+$1	07-20 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:35 UTC	4	$623	325	325	+0	Down	-$21	07-17 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$600	383	220	+164	Up	+$3	07-29 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	3	$587	297	297	+0	Down	-$1	07-18 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	9	$578	292	292	-0	Down	$0	07-18 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:15 UTC	11	$564	288	288	+0	Up	-$6	07-17 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$562	283	283	+0	Up	+$2	07-27 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:25 UTC	15	$507	341	171	+171	Down	+$2	07-20 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 23:40 UTC	11	$506	254	254	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 18:00 UTC	50	$503	867	867	+0	Down	+$233	07-11 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:50 UTC	21	$499	1,068	1,053	+15	Up	+$239	07-21 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:15 UTC	5	$489	252	252	+0	Down	-$7	07-17 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:30 UTC	4	$483	257	242	+14	Down	-$7	07-17 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:45 UTC	6	$482	248	248	+0	Down	-$10	07-17 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:20 UTC	13	$478	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	07-29 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:50 UTC	2	$475	242	242	+0	Up	-$5	07-17 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:25 UTC	1	$470	475	0	+475	Down	+$5	07-18 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:20 UTC	4	$468	236	236	+0	Up	+$0	07-17 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:35 UTC	8	$468	237	233	+4	Down	+$2	07-27 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	2	$466	471	0	+471	Down	+$5	07-18 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:55 UTC	1	$458	464	0	+464	Down	+$6	07-18 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:20 UTC	9	$455	460	0	+460	Down	+$5	07-18 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	92	$454	742	742	+0	Down	+$254	07-21 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0x56b0ce…
10-30 04:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6716aa…
10-30 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12f3b6…
10-30 03:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x36a4ad…
10-30 03:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4b01d8…
10-30 03:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x3abc9d…
10-30 03:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x871cfc…
10-30 03:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x7a8e4a…
10-30 03:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x92059a…
10-30 03:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x35a57d…
10-30 03:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3dff2c…
10-30 03:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xac7947…
10-30 02:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8ad77e…
10-30 02:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3fce1c…
10-30 02:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x56a98d…
10-30 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x589a89…
10-30 02:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x62b45b…
10-30 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xca0ff5…
10-30 02:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x66a751…
10-30 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbb8664…
10-30 02:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xccf009…
10-30 01:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc9486e…
10-30 01:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb2bc14…
10-30 01:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8c0d54…
10-30 01:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xa07fbf…
10-30 01:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x58bbfe…
10-30 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xcfacd1…
10-30 01:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd211d…
10-30 01:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0x8e6a44…
10-30 01:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa6c063…
10-30 01:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x880f3f…
10-30 01:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8ca286…
10-30 01:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6072e6…
10-30 01:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xeac203…
10-30 01:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x45b6be…
10-30 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x76e647…
10-30 00:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0ef096…
10-30 00:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x089ad9…
10-30 00:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x49f7fe…
10-30 00:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x70fe04…
10-30 00:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x4d6c13…
10-30 00:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5a0e8d…
10-30 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x01b12f…
10-30 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd3ac23…
10-30 00:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1807f6…
10-30 00:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xb53a31…
10-30 00:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa94dc3…
10-30 00:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf111ef…
10-30 00:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdc6d31…
10-29 23:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc875dc…
10-29 23:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xf7aa3a…
10-29 23:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1618cf…
10-29 23:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x43f097…
10-29 23:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x264955…
10-29 23:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xee381b…
10-29 23:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x36b411…
10-29 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x57741d…
10-29 23:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x357714…
10-29 23:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0a226d…
10-29 23:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xe46b9b…
10-29 22:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0d1fc9…
10-29 22:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x95c49d…
10-29 22:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7d67b2…
10-29 22:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x542b18…
10-29 22:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x20bb0a…
10-29 22:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x59fb92…
10-29 22:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x27d22f…
10-29 22:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x59c18b…
10-29 22:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x6485df…
10-29 22:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x27799f…
10-29 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xad086a…
10-29 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9a72ac…
10-29 22:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x670f46…
10-29 22:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc61a48…
10-29 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x222421…
10-29 21:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xbc2abb…
10-29 21:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb65ec1…
10-29 21:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x80af7e…
10-29 21:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x0d4078…
10-29 21:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x4c1245…
10-29 21:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x87ade0…
10-29 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd82dde…
10-29 21:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7600a8…
10-29 21:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x349f33…
10-29 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x6081b2…
10-29 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x5b0863…
10-29 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x633548…
10-29 21:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xc3ec6d…
10-29 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x474151…
10-29 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6dc3b9…
10-29 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0xc5a9f5…
10-29 20:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbc5019…
10-29 20:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x700dd2…
10-29 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x698f83…
10-29 20:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x71c2e9…
10-29 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0x929625…
10-29 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x7f46c4…
10-29 20:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa7b9e9…
10-29 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x411e50…
10-29 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x2ad869…