Jumpy-Literate 0x82153d…701279
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$49
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved
5,547
Trades
12,896
lifetime
Volume
$85.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$307
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 05-14 20:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
94% 64% +$277
Politics
4% 72% -$178
Crypto
2% 68% -$182
Tech
0% 70% +$34
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? No +103 $100 100¢ $103 +$3 05-10 10:56
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +38 $38 99¢ $38 $0 05-07 09:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +32 $26 99¢ $32 +$5 05-07 07:30
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 05-03 08:38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +26 $12 68¢ $18 +$6 05-01 02:39
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $0 05-06 13:50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 $0 05-07 07:30
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +30 $19 32¢ $9 -$10 05-10 07:29
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $16 32¢ $9 -$7 04-29 12:45
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 05-07 05:04
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 $0 05-03 20:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $11 75¢ $9 -$2 05-06 15:34
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +10 $4 57¢ $6 +$2 05-12 04:53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $0 05-05 13:46
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +9 $6 42¢ $4 -$2 05-09 23:23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $5 67¢ $3 -$1 05-08 15:46
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4 $2 42¢ $2 -$1 05-07 04:13