Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$141
$86 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$194
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 02:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $19 | $66 | $46 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $19 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 9 | $4 | $27 | $23 |
| Below median | 7 | $7 | $23 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | +33 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-12 18:07 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 05:09 |
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-13 02:03 |
| Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 19:32 |
| Rare-Bootie 0xb8dc…2222 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 06:06 |
| Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 21:02 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:12 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 21:06 |
| Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 04:28 |
| Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 23:33 |
| Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:07 |
| Ultimate-Shootdown 0x62f8…f1cc | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:41 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:57 |
| Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:25 |
| Worthwhile-Alias 0x7672…0950 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:23 |
| Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:03:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xc3557a… |
| 05-13 01:48:27 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x4d31d0… |
| 05-13 01:48:21 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x66b48b… |
| 05-13 00:42:21 | Acrobatic-Drama 0xec8b…2554 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xa3485e… |
| 05-13 00:26:24 | Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x44b540… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xc641a3… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x6b3886… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x6a7fba… |
| 05-13 00:07:30 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x459955… |
| 05-13 00:03:23 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x06d381… |
| 05-13 00:02:24 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xe01e82… |
| 05-12 23:33:21 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x3d6bc9… |
| 05-12 22:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x89d1…7576 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x4ccac4… |
| 05-12 22:40:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xd69d83… |
| 05-12 22:23:05 | Worthwhile-Alias 0x7672…0950 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xb7dfb6… |
| 05-12 22:12:03 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xcdfb97… |
| 05-12 21:25:46 | Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x19b04c… |
| 05-12 21:06:07 | Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x31c9ab… |
| 05-12 21:06:00 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x33a8d3… |
| 05-12 21:02:33 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xacf72e… |
| 05-12 21:02:31 | (anonymous) 0xb696…02d9 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 32¢ | $36 | 0x0b74a1… |
| 05-12 19:32:36 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xebf4f9… |
| 05-12 18:41:27 | Ultimate-Shootdown 0x62f8…f1cc | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xcaff4b… |
| 05-12 18:07:24 | Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | BUY | 33 | 66¢ | $22 | 0xda17c9… |
| 05-12 10:57:35 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x99a637… |
| 05-12 10:07:19 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xc2d827… |
| 05-12 06:06:00 | Rare-Bootie 0xb8dc…2222 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x1cf1b2… |
| 05-12 06:05:53 | Rare-Bootie 0xb8dc…2222 | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x44c2ff… |
| 05-12 05:09:07 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xc3c26a… |
| 05-12 04:28:40 | Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x85c3c0… |