Realized P&L
-$980
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
28.0%
Resolved
1,098
Trades
3,182
lifetime
Volume
$19.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$135
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-22 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
53% 22% -$503
Crypto
27% 49% -$150
Sports
14% 30% -$100
Politics
5% 24% -$184
Tech
0% 0% -$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +26 $20 82¢ $22 +$2 10-21 17:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -20 -$14 86¢ $-17 -$3 05-10 09:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +17 $10 80¢ $13 +$3 10-21 17:24
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +26 $10 44¢ $11 +$1 10-20 06:25
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 10-21 17:02
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 74¢ $10 +$0 10-22 17:46
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-21 17:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +20 $10 48¢ $10 $0 10-22 17:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +22 $10 36¢ $8 -$2 10-21 17:11
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -7 -$7 95¢ $-7 $0 08-15 08:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 43¢ $5 +$0 10-21 17:27
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $5 26¢ $5 $0 10-21 17:10
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +15 $3 18¢ $3 $0 10-21 17:08
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +8 $3 22¢ $2 -$1 10-22 17:50
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +9 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 10-21 17:30