Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$749
$3,484 in 24h
Trades
53
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$1,515
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 14:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $308 | $182 | +$126 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $31 | $96 | $65 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $5 | $41 | $36 |
| Median | 5 | $8 | $13 | $4 |
| Below median | 9 | $37 | $38 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $21 | $3 | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $204 | $17 | +$186 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next-Plumber 0x5597…c6fb | No | +107 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +79 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-14 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x23b2…605c | No | +54 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 22:05 |
| Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | +48 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 00:06 |
| Remarkable-Keyboard-Reprocessing 0xdfd4…7a38 | Yes | +41 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-14 03:48 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | +32 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 05-13 04:39 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +30 | $15 | $39 | 2 | 05-14 04:45 |
| Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 10:32 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-13 23:47 |
| Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 03:15 |
| Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | +19 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdeb…7aec | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:19 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 00:12 |
| Colorless-Earthworm 0x8d65…da6e | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:17 |
| Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 06:44 |
| Incredible-Uncertainty 0xdeb0…62b5 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 05:49 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 08:33 |
| Vivacious-Deputy 0xa9ab…924c | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 05:50 |
| Flamboyant-Frost-Waterbed 0x40fb…b7af | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:01 |
| Yellow-Establishment 0xdf5c…6d37 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:47 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:34 |
| Idealistic-Survival 0x8c38…83d0 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 19:58 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Subdued-Smock 0xf5ec…f469 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd6e…8115 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 20:32 |
| Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 03:25 |
| Proud-Majorleague-Squirrel 0x8189…c9bc | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:44 |
| Loud-Juggernaut 0x025e…bb39 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:49 |
| Alarmed-Invader-Gymnast 0x0bf8…8f88 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:54 |
| Hasty-Tag 0x0151…847b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:49:26 | Loud-Juggernaut 0x025e…bb39 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x222f3a… |
| 05-14 13:29:18 | Subdued-Smock 0xf5ec…f469 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xd4b1f0… |
| 05-14 11:47:33 | Yellow-Establishment 0xdf5c…6d37 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xf763d3… |
| 05-14 11:34:18 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x00db5c… |
| 05-14 10:54:43 | Alarmed-Invader-Gymnast 0x0bf8…8f88 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x03868e… |
| 05-14 10:32:04 | Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x326177… |
| 05-14 10:19:47 | (anonymous) 0xfdeb…7aec | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x0f958b… |
| 05-14 06:44:07 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x87a82c… |
| 05-14 06:44:06 | Proud-Majorleague-Squirrel 0x8189…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x1593b3… |
| 05-14 06:15:01 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x6f2665… |
| 05-14 06:06:26 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x309902… |
| 05-14 05:50:06 | Vivacious-Deputy 0xa9ab…924c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0xa7d956… |
| 05-14 05:49:19 | Incredible-Uncertainty 0xdeb0…62b5 | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x925537… |
| 05-14 05:41:25 | Glum-Birdwatcher 0xb9c7…e3fc | Yes | SELL | 390 | 40¢ | $155 | 0xcefc45… |
| 05-14 05:15:31 | Fond-Warmth 0xef98…b586 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x1c5f34… |
| 05-14 04:55:13 | Next-Plumber 0x5597…c6fb | No | BUY | 107 | 57¢ | $61 | 0xb1608c… |
| 05-14 04:45:42 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x389869… |
| 05-14 04:40:36 | Glum-Birdwatcher 0xb9c7…e3fc | Yes | BUY | 390 | 45¢ | $176 | 0x489fda… |
| 05-14 03:51:22 | Noteworthy-Arthur 0xf6aa…8484 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 42¢ | $20 | 0xa17553… |
| 05-14 03:51:20 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 50 | 54¢ | $27 | 0x32cebb… |
| 05-14 03:48:13 | Remarkable-Keyboard-Reprocessing 0xdfd4…7a38 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x997aa3… |
| 05-14 03:35:49 | Remarkable-Keyboard-Reprocessing 0xdfd4…7a38 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 47¢ | $10 | 0x8b3bbf… |
| 05-14 03:25:16 | Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x2acad4… |
| 05-14 03:16:10 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x8a2072… |
| 05-14 03:15:52 | Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x001cd8… |
| 05-14 03:15:16 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 46¢ | $8 | 0x933283… |
| 05-14 03:00:49 | Hasty-Tag 0x0151…847b | No | BUY | 3 | 57¢ | $2 | 0xd465c1… |
| 05-14 02:22:16 | Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x3966e1… |
| 05-14 02:22:04 | Unpleasant-Cadet 0x4629…8541 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xf3ae84… |
| 05-14 01:37:05 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x0fc6e4… |
| 05-14 01:03:27 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 40¢ | $9 | 0x5efb58… |
| 05-14 00:57:09 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0x9f995f… |
| 05-14 00:22:04 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x78d310… |
| 05-14 00:12:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x76aa1c… |
| 05-14 00:06:31 | Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | BUY | 48 | 63¢ | $30 | 0xbe5e4d… |
| 05-14 00:04:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x9006ae… |
| 05-14 00:04:08 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 72 | 37¢ | $26 | 0x9657a9… |
| 05-14 00:01:25 | Flamboyant-Frost-Waterbed 0x40fb…b7af | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xc0cf84… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xdb7444… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x3421aa… |
| 05-13 23:47:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x223fa4… |
| 05-13 22:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x23b2…605c | No | BUY | 54 | 55¢ | $30 | 0x98abde… |
| 05-13 20:32:54 | (anonymous) 0xfd6e…8115 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xbc37d0… |
| 05-13 19:58:50 | Idealistic-Survival 0x8c38…83d0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x43d765… |
| 05-13 11:53:23 | Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xb032ff… |
| 05-13 08:54:57 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x7c2447… |
| 05-13 08:33:45 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xe59be4… |
| 05-13 08:04:36 | Noteworthy-Arthur 0xf6aa…8484 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x50d94c… |
| 05-13 05:17:10 | Colorless-Earthworm 0x8d65…da6e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x6fdc60… |
| 05-13 04:39:22 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x230ebe… |
| 05-13 04:38:24 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xac28d3… |
| 05-13 04:38:15 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x17ed01… |
| 05-13 04:37:56 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x35c751… |