Spherical-Productivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

251

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$997

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-25 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 84% -$28

Other

8% 79% -$10

Sports

2% 0% -$5

Politics

1% 80% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	05-17 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$31	24	18	+7	Down	+$2	05-16 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$24	25	8	+18	Down	-$3	05-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	6	$22	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$21	27	0	+27	Up	-$1	05-13 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 14:13
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$17	19	8	+11	Up	+$0	05-16 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	7	$16	20	5	+15	Up	-$11	05-16 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$16	20	0	+20	Down	-$2	05-13 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$16	14	7	+6	Down	+$2	05-13 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$16	12	7	+5	Up	+$1	05-13 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$15	22	0	+22	Down	-$1	05-13 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$14	13	3	+10	Up	+$1	05-16 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-17 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-17 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-16 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-17 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	-$10	05-13 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 01:19:14	Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xae448b…
09-26 09:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdb6d66…
09-26 09:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9fe663…
09-26 09:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb53c50…
09-26 08:47:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x93a1ee…
09-26 08:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x309983…
09-26 08:40:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8297d2…
09-26 08:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x239adb…
06-21 02:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x94a370…
06-21 02:09:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x83daec…
06-21 02:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8e6157…
06-21 02:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x43a04a…
06-21 01:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x034b04…
06-21 01:52:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6212e5…
06-20 07:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xefd465…
06-20 07:49:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9c87e…
06-19 14:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x678de3…
06-19 13:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x736bbf…
06-19 13:38:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5580cb…
06-19 09:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x19ebbf…
06-19 08:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc197a…
06-19 08:54:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe80ca9…
06-19 08:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20c7e7…
06-19 08:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2a55c5…
06-19 06:03:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1d02a1…
06-19 05:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9bd35…
06-19 05:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x34ea02…
06-19 04:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x735f5e…
06-19 04:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8b86b8…
06-14 14:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x131403…
06-09 14:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x649c8f…
06-09 14:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x450deb…
06-09 14:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc750d4…
06-02 12:12:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe974bf…
05-31 13:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5aa9a1…
05-31 05:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf68c21…
05-31 05:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc58fed…
05-31 05:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x35f5eb…
05-31 05:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x804c7f…
05-31 05:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3f615d…
05-31 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeb7250…
05-30 07:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x878f91…
05-30 07:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7e5b31…
05-29 15:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1fbd15…
05-29 14:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4a83f1…
05-29 14:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xedb811…
05-29 14:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd8e93b…
05-29 14:10:17	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x408988…
05-28 14:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa17d61…
05-28 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0d9050…
05-27 13:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x46bf0f…
05-27 12:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2d9834…
05-27 12:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdd574e…
05-27 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x833e9a…
05-27 12:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1c7dd6…
05-27 12:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x415c39…
05-20 02:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x37ed69…
05-20 02:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x683c4c…
05-18 00:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 19?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb8a2a3…
05-18 00:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 19?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0369d5…
05-17 14:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2ffb69…
05-17 12:48:37	Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x478db2…
05-17 12:45:57	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbe1563…
05-17 12:43:01	Will Trump say "China" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x219c36…
05-17 12:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7152a9…
05-17 09:44:32	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbc279b…
05-17 08:57:35	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8b7438…
05-17 08:45:58	Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa4b5a3…
05-17 08:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa9eec9…
05-17 08:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2153dc…
05-17 05:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x675461…
05-17 01:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b2e8b…
05-16 09:25:22	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdd7c17…
05-16 05:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8bdeb2…
05-16 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9c0b1d…
05-16 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x909149…
05-16 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x72f4ab…
05-16 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4f5c16…
05-16 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4b3183…
05-16 05:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xf64e0c…
05-16 05:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xaf79b4…
05-16 05:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xefdac0…
05-16 05:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb9816b…
05-16 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x721b86…
05-16 05:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4d3c8f…
05-16 05:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x68830b…
05-16 05:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3c69ed…
05-16 05:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5955b9…
05-16 05:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9d52c9…
05-16 05:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x7786a4…
05-16 05:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6ee025…
05-16 05:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x37990e…
05-16 05:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd7802d…
05-16 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xdc2cfc…
05-16 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3bf204…
05-16 05:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2ca626…
05-16 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc021ef…
05-16 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7d1dbc…
05-16 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7c06ff…
05-16 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x43a544…