Sad-Peanut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,012

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-16 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

56% — —

Other

18% 25% $-6

Sports

15% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$278	161	161	+0	open	—	03-09 08:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$227	1,257	1,257	+0	open	—	04-07 22:45
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$220	127	127	+0	open	—	04-22 01:54
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	9	$201	115	115	+0	open	—	03-30 00:00
will iran strike israel on march 6	14	$198	5,461	164	+5,297	open	—	03-11 12:37
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	8	$179	207	207	+0	open	—	03-08 19:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	14	$177	289	229	+60	open	—	04-22 05:12
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$173	527	527	+0	open	—	03-06 22:32
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	14	$162	100	99	+1	open	—	04-16 04:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	18	$161	306	306	+0	open	—	04-27 16:12
mlb bos min 2026 04 15	19	$160	113	112	+1	open	—	04-15 22:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$158	86	86	+0	open	—	04-22 11:11
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	6	$154	107	104	+3	open	—	04-16 02:07
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$152	78	78	+0	open	—	04-03 18:08
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15 spread home 5pt5	9	$150	103	102	+1	open	—	04-16 04:38
bitcoin above 64k on march 28	4	$141	75	75	+0	open	—	03-28 16:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$134	331	331	-0	open	—	03-31 20:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$129	178	119	+59	open	—	03-08 17:32
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	11	$128	76	76	+1	open	—	04-15 22:09
btc updown 5m 1774560900	12	$127	196	39	+157	open	—	03-26 21:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$121	78	78	+0	open	—	03-01 00:10
lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24 game1	2	$108	63	62	+0	open	—	04-24 11:47
btc updown 5m 1772321400	3	$104	86	43	+43	open	—	02-28 23:34
lol lgd edg 2026 04 23 game1	3	$100	75	73	+1	open	—	04-23 09:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$99	533	533	+0	open	—	03-08 19:20
will trump say third term in march	5	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	04-01 13:16
nhl tor stl 2026 03 28	5	$86	57	57	-0	open	—	03-29 01:07
nhl stl utah 2026 04 16	8	$80	91	39	+52	open	—	04-17 02:07
btc updown 5m 1773397800	21	$80	116	88	+29	open	—	03-13 10:35
uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 cel4	6	$76	54	53	+1	open	—	04-16 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:27:17	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x748eee…
05-16 21:30:44	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd1f6b9…
05-16 20:54:32	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x547070…
04-27 16:12:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xbf654a…
04-27 16:12:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x6baaef…
04-27 16:12:46	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x0963b0…
04-27 16:12:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x9454af…
04-27 16:12:42	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x57632f…
04-27 16:12:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0xa4f624…
04-27 16:12:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0x82a22f…
04-27 16:12:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xb41318…
04-27 16:12:30	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x8a659d…
04-27 16:12:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x85ae5a…
04-27 16:12:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	2¢	$3	0xb2c576…
04-27 16:12:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x238943…
04-27 16:11:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0xc32bcb…
04-27 16:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x0cfd01…
04-27 16:11:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x7afa4d…
04-27 16:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc1a1ed…
04-27 16:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	129	36¢	$46	0x4b375c…
04-27 16:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	120	45¢	$54	0xfde080…
04-27 15:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0xd71eaa…
04-27 05:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x028d74…
04-27 05:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xd5f838…
04-27 05:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x7be91f…
04-27 05:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x493411…
04-27 05:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x1c66e4…
04-27 05:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xc1ddf5…
04-27 05:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd9d63f…
04-27 05:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x86a3f0…
04-27 05:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9bce50…
04-27 05:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x7a79e5…
04-27 05:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8ea3be…
04-27 04:06:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb14bae…
04-27 04:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	73	35¢	$25	0xf46dd5…
04-26 23:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x4197e2…
04-26 21:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd66af5…
04-26 21:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xfdf00e…
04-26 10:42:40	LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	5	74¢	$3	0xadd1d8…
04-26 10:42:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x303427…
04-26 10:37:58	LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LGD Gaming	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x452442…
04-26 10:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x032875…
04-26 10:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xd1073f…
04-26 10:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xac80b2…
04-26 10:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0xf19729…
04-26 03:56:32	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x304f84…
04-26 02:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb595b6…
04-26 01:48:36	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x57a4ee…
04-25 21:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	236	2¢	$5	0x17fcd0…
04-25 21:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x64068f…
04-25 19:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x87416a…
04-25 16:07:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc6fcc6…
04-25 12:38:24	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Weibo Gaming	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf157a0…
04-25 12:36:04	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Weibo Gaming	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x788a11…
04-25 12:13:10	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Weibo Gaming	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x812334…
04-25 10:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x5c4124…
04-25 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0x0d4da8…
04-25 05:08:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x69a171…
04-25 04:34:30	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x25b873…
04-25 03:10:10	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x08174e…
04-25 03:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfb8855…
04-25 02:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb285f0…
04-25 02:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7a88ee…
04-25 02:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xf3dc4a…
04-25 02:17:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x600ae5…
04-24 14:29:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xaa915c…
04-24 12:28:56	lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24 game2	Invictus Gaming	BUY	166	32¢	$53	0x039d44…
04-24 11:47:58	lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24 game1	JD Gaming	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x5879bf…
04-24 11:28:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x154d18…
04-24 11:28:10	lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24 game1	JD Gaming	BUY	63	77¢	$48	0x877dcf…
04-24 09:30:34	lol omg lng 2026 04 24	LNG Esports	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xa7e5f1…
04-24 09:25:32	lol omg lng 2026 04 24	LNG Esports	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x56223e…
04-24 06:17:32	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0xde34b2…
04-23 22:19:54	btc updown 5m 1776982500	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa03838…
04-23 22:15:40	btc updown 5m 1776982500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5e592a…
04-23 22:15:14	btc updown 5m 1776982500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa97812…
04-23 22:11:58	btc updown 5m 1776982200	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb1affc…
04-23 22:11:58	btc updown 5m 1776982200	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0f8dd4…
04-23 22:05:28	btc updown 5m 1776981900	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd71af7…
04-23 22:00:04	btc updown 5m 1776981600	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb6f4f7…
04-23 22:00:04	btc updown 5m 1776981600	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x83c548…
04-23 21:56:16	btc updown 5m 1776981300	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x090ffc…
04-23 21:22:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xdcd2f1…
04-23 21:10:30	btc updown 5m 1776978300	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x89fcc9…
04-23 21:10:04	btc updown 5m 1776978600	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7589bb…
04-23 21:08:32	btc updown 5m 1776978300	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbf27a1…
04-23 21:08:32	btc updown 5m 1776978300	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x66daf0…
04-23 21:05:08	btc updown 5m 1776978300	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb93705…
04-23 21:00:20	btc updown 5m 1776978000	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2f58cd…
04-23 20:59:36	btc updown 5m 1776977700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0072e1…
04-23 20:55:16	btc updown 5m 1776977700	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x64b1a0…
04-23 20:53:10	btc updown 5m 1776977400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfb12d4…
04-23 20:50:10	btc updown 5m 1776977400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3bbf86…
04-23 20:49:34	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe0e2b3…
04-23 20:46:48	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0xf21c70…
04-23 20:46:48	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x5b392e…
04-23 20:45:12	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xff7e6b…
04-23 20:45:12	btc updown 5m 1776977100	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc96b4d…
04-23 20:40:34	btc updown 5m 1776976800	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe88c00…
04-23 20:40:10	btc updown 5m 1776976800	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4f5d5c…