Darling-Purse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-23 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 47% $-41

Politics

24% — —

Other

10% 0% $-17

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	9	$171	146	146	+0	Up	$-9	05-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$65	71	0	+71	Up	+$6	05-05 11:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$60	25,197	0	+25,197	open	—	05-22 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	6	$53	259	225	+33	Up	$-49	05-05 11:39
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	8	$51	6,743	0	+6,743	open	—	05-24 20:46
Trump kiss by May 31?	6	$45	45,000	0	+45,000	open	—	05-22 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	8	$44	59	8	+51	Up	+$14	05-05 17:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$40	8,562	17	+8,546	open	—	06-03 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$40	72	0	+72	Down	+$32	05-05 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$36	146	146	+0	Down	$-4	05-05 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$35	67	0	+67	Up	+$32	05-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$33	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$30	500	0	+500	Down	$-30	05-05 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$30	57	0	+57	Up	+$27	05-05 11:08
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	6	$27	27,000	0	+27,000	open	—	05-14 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$25	54	0	+54	Down	$-25	05-05 12:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$24	3,607	0	+3,607	open	—	06-16 18:01
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	4	$23	17,339	0	+17,339	open	—	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$22	42	0	+42	Down	$-22	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$21	50	0	+50	Up	+$29	05-05 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$20	759	0	+759	Up	$-20	05-05 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$20	35	0	+35	Up	$-20	05-05 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$20	36	0	+36	Up	+$16	05-05 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Up	+$9	05-05 12:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$19	2,225	0	+2,225	open	—	05-26 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	7	$15	617	114	+503	Up	$-10	05-05 17:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$15	3,890	0	+3,890	open	—	05-29 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$15	20	18	+3	Up	+$3	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$14	40	38	+1	Down	+$3	05-05 12:48
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	4	$12	757	0	+757	open	—	05-22 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 08:13:29	Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xace5ba…
06-23 08:13:20	Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x91dc08…
06-23 08:13:17	Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	Yes	BUY	348	0¢	$1	0x93f48a…
06-23 08:13:13	Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd7bccd…
06-23 08:12:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xf4a5fb…
06-23 08:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x2f4644…
06-22 15:04:28	dota2 xctn grind 2026 06 22	Execration	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdb840b…
06-22 15:00:44	dota2 vp ic 2026 06 22	Virtus.pro	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcbf41a…
06-22 11:44:40	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xb0f287…
06-22 11:43:55	dota2 vp ic 2026 06 22	Virtus.pro	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x87e6cc…
06-22 09:11:31	dota2 glyph grind 2026 06 22	GLYPH	BUY	1,930	0¢	$2	0x2ff5b6…
06-22 09:11:11	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	275	0¢	$0	0x6d4b71…
06-22 09:10:53	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	275	0¢	$0	0xb8277d…
06-21 13:17:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1bcadb…
06-21 13:17:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb385f8…
06-21 13:04:34	Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x72cf69…
06-21 13:04:29	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	275	0¢	$1	0x2a379b…
06-21 13:04:25	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	275	0¢	$1	0xf65272…
06-21 12:49:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x93d936…
06-21 05:19:49	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4de8fd…
06-16 18:01:14	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x38e398…
06-16 18:00:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x356e44…
06-16 17:59:38	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x146b21…
06-16 17:51:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc99251…
06-16 11:28:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$12	0x4641dc…
06-15 13:52:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc9b32c…
06-15 13:50:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xcef9f2…
06-15 13:49:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x2f4b7e…
06-15 10:17:46	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 22 20260612142709366	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x96fe82…
06-15 10:17:18	will elon post knicks on x this week 20260612141419070	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x180192…
06-15 10:17:16	will elon post crypto or bitcoin on x this week 20260612141419072	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x019f55…
06-15 07:13:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa7e311…
06-15 07:11:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbdd47b…
06-15 04:07:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x59b7cc…
06-15 04:06:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4b5f01…
06-15 03:43:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xc3681e…
06-14 18:53:06	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15 20260612142709365	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$2	0xec5f91…
06-12 17:43:36	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15 20260612142709365	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x55ef01…
06-12 17:43:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x79fd70…
06-12 17:17:37	will elon post tesla on x this week 20260612141419060	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x35a9de…
06-12 17:17:27	will elon post ipo on x this week 20260612141419067	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x338d49…
06-12 17:17:22	will elon post knicks on x this week 20260612141419070	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x91d7bb…
06-12 17:17:16	will elon post crypto or bitcoin on x this week 20260612141419072	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb01f0f…
06-12 17:13:01	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 250 high 20260608191407795	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x59983c…
06-12 17:12:42	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 300 high 20260608191407794	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x94444f…
06-12 16:41:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9e832f…
06-12 16:39:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 22 20260612142709366	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbf9a66…
06-12 16:38:07	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15 20260612142709365	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2c74c3…
06-03 17:37:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,277	0¢	$16	0xd71d01…
06-02 08:27:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,286	1¢	$16	0x25531b…
06-02 08:21:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xff7ff9…
06-02 08:20:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	310	0¢	$0	0x6f8fc6…
06-02 08:20:44	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x698eb3…
06-02 08:20:40	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xb039f1…
06-02 08:20:30	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7b47a3…
06-02 08:20:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x8de48e…
06-02 08:20:19	Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x85757c…
05-31 19:30:31	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x94f083…
05-31 19:27:34	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x15d66b…
05-31 19:27:29	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x20e9e3…
05-31 19:26:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x0d8e9e…
05-31 19:26:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x978594…
05-31 17:03:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x957894…
05-29 15:06:40	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc7cd8b…
05-29 15:06:21	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x5af2d9…
05-29 15:00:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xe2a9b8…
05-29 13:56:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3a5d15…
05-29 13:56:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xdbceb5…
05-29 13:55:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x48782f…
05-29 13:54:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6b400c…
05-29 13:50:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2af90c…
05-29 13:38:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfd5dc0…
05-29 13:38:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x97e2cf…
05-29 09:38:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,840	0¢	$10	0xb995da…
05-28 18:00:04	Will Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	506	0¢	$1	0x7bb607…
05-28 17:31:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf6ee4b…
05-28 16:59:37	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa39b3c…
05-28 16:59:35	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5a840a…
05-28 12:31:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf74026…
05-28 12:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x0f93e6…
05-28 12:30:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x87e7d8…
05-28 12:28:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xacc500…
05-28 12:28:43	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x0f32e6…
05-28 11:12:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6162cf…
05-28 11:12:19	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xa88238…
05-28 10:07:19	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd1fac1…
05-28 10:07:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8e5856…
05-28 08:52:40	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc29548…
05-28 08:36:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa2d66c…
05-28 08:31:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd60755…
05-28 08:30:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x55430e…
05-28 08:28:59	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x19a52f…
05-28 08:23:34	Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xc746de…
05-28 08:22:36	Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9490ac…
05-28 08:19:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc21929…
05-28 08:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe6bf73…
05-28 08:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1804ab…
05-28 08:03:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xcce008…
05-27 20:51:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb29d97…
05-27 20:50:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x1d35eb…