Minor-Anorak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$194

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-04 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$1

Tech

32% 50% +$1

Crypto

24% 60% -$20

Sports

3% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	3	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-16 07:15
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	-$1	05-18 17:45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-18 17:46
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14?	1	$18	21	0	+21	No	-$18	05-14 09:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	07-04 05:40
bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	06-05 02:42
bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-05 02:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-23 21:28
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$7	24	0	+24	Celtics	-$7	04-23 21:28
ethereum above 2100 on march 22	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-22 15:12
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-22 15:12
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	06-05 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 05:40:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x28cff9…
06-05 02:42:09	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf1f098…
06-05 02:42:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x840503…
06-05 02:41:57	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2898d7…
05-18 17:46:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x2e8922…
05-18 17:45:45	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0x72168b…
05-16 07:15:45	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xa29804…
05-16 07:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x218b79…
05-15 05:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe9d4d2…
05-15 05:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5e696…
05-14 09:31:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x2c42d6…
04-23 21:28:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ae810…
04-23 21:28:08	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x2d924b…
03-22 15:12:49	ethereum above 2100 on march 22	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe595c0…
03-22 15:12:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa69c4b…