Wan-Terracotta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$83

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

3,257

Trades

29,068

lifetime

Volume

$4.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

$1.25K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-30 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 87% -$9,253

Other

9% 94% -$1,364

Politics

3% 67% +$197

Sports

0% 60% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+712	$668	99¢	$705	+$37	10-27 23:44
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	+320	$293	99¢	$317	+$25	10-27 23:06
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+202	$199	97¢	$196	-$3	10-29 15:20
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5,000	$10	1¢	$35	+$25	10-20 06:26
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-26 13:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by february 28	26	$33.8K	18,367	18,367	+0	Yes	+$643	02-28 21:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	108	$21.3K	10,879	10,779	+100	Down	-$1	03-10 15:44
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	4	$16.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	-$8	03-08 10:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 13:15 UTC	11	$15.9K	16,000	0	+16,000	Up	+$88	03-06 13:30
bitcoin up or down march 8 3pm et	11	$15.9K	15,924	0	+15,924	Up	+$16	03-08 20:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 08:45 UTC	21	$13.2K	13,197	0	+13,197	Up	+$18	03-04 08:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:10 UTC	37	$11.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	Up	+$55	03-13 00:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC	60	$10.9K	11,052	0	+11,052	Up	+$131	03-03 22:04
will iran strike israel on march 10	4	$10.5K	6,175	6,175	+0	Yes	-$272	03-10 16:43
bitcoin up or down march 10 11am et	5	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Down	+$21	03-10 16:20
will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	8	$10.0K	5,108	5,108	+0	Yes	-$38	03-02 22:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 13:45 UTC	42	$9.3K	9,360	0	+9,360	Down	+$99	03-06 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:00 UTC	12	$9.2K	9,217	0	+9,217	Down	+$9	03-17 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:10 UTC	10	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Up	+$9	03-17 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:05 UTC	97	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Down	+$9	03-16 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:05 UTC	7	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Up	+$9	03-17 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 17:50 UTC	15	$8.8K	8,800	0	+8,800	Up	+$9	03-19 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:35 UTC	18	$8.7K	8,679	0	+8,679	Down	+$9	03-15 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 12:30 UTC	95	$8.5K	4,300	4,300	+0	Down	+$0	03-03 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:50 UTC	53	$8.5K	8,593	0	+8,593	Up	+$86	03-15 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	63	$8.4K	8,500	0	+8,500	Up	+$85	03-10 14:58
bitcoin up or down march 5 6pm et	4	$8.3K	8,276	0	+8,276	Down	+$10	03-05 23:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:30 UTC	5	$8.2K	8,319	0	+8,319	Down	+$83	03-06 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:00 UTC	18	$8.1K	8,200	0	+8,200	Up	+$82	03-06 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:35 UTC	9	$8.1K	8,200	0	+8,200	Down	+$86	03-06 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:00 UTC	1	$8.1K	8,317	0	+8,317	Up	+$222	03-15 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 23:25 UTC	50	$8.1K	8,100	0	+8,100	Up	+$8	03-18 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:50 UTC	61	$8.0K	4,035	4,035	+0	Down	+$36	03-18 02:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:35 UTC	26	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Down	+$8	03-15 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:50 UTC	10	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Down	+$8	03-19 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:40:15	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xacade6…
10-29 17:17:01	Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbafe58…
10-29 15:43:47	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0x4a6a80…
10-29 15:20:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$199	0xee3d79…
10-28 20:01:28	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	65	52¢	$34	0x6edb56…
10-28 19:48:28	Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3e95c2…
10-28 19:44:14	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x22a6fa…
10-28 19:25:31	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x4024f1…
10-28 16:29:29	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8732c8…
10-28 07:18:49	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6eb594…
10-28 03:47:21	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x2e4725…
10-27 23:44:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xd902ae…
10-27 23:44:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x7a4ee7…
10-27 23:44:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	235	97¢	$228	0x05989e…
10-27 23:06:00	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	320	91¢	$293	0xb0c548…
10-27 23:03:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	452	92¢	$416	0xf1cef8…
10-27 21:12:02	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	330	96¢	$317	0x8e709a…
10-27 20:32:32	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x451794…
10-27 20:32:27	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x587c18…
10-27 20:29:39	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb9116d…
10-27 20:28:33	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	673	82¢	$552	0xb01e50…
10-27 20:00:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	673	59¢	$400	0xb8d0d0…
10-26 13:03:47	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x047490…
10-26 13:03:20	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe7361c…
10-20 06:26:14	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$8	0x8f65fe…
10-19 18:19:12	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x194c12…
10-14 19:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf26882…
10-14 17:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4fffd8…
10-02 09:21:08	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x5fae48…
10-02 09:17:24	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	79	94¢	$74	0x364f1f…
10-02 09:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9223b2…
09-24 18:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1220d3…
09-14 11:42:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$151	0xcfed82…
09-10 08:00:10	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$189	0x650da8…
09-08 20:59:39	Serhou Guirassy: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$95	0xa41fa5…
09-08 08:53:43	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0x96cff8…
08-30 17:13:52	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x03eb9e…
08-30 17:13:25	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7fa2fe…
08-30 17:01:49	Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3057fd…
08-30 16:59:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf55e90…
08-30 16:58:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb24d89…
08-30 16:58:25	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x619eb7…
08-28 13:02:04	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on August 29?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x5d76c3…
08-28 12:00:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x070af3…
08-27 12:45:21	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xac6fa9…
08-26 16:15:34	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on August 27?	No	BUY	181	96¢	$175	0x9c31c6…
08-26 15:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x5cd7e8…
08-26 12:02:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x13aa75…
08-26 11:39:12	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x9f3e11…
08-26 11:37:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	532	100¢	$531	0x5af7a0…
08-26 11:37:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xaebac1…
08-26 11:36:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x7612bb…
08-26 11:36:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e5d47…
08-25 20:14:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xddb665…
08-25 15:54:10	spx opens up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1a1a56…
08-24 22:21:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 25?	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x92a763…
08-24 22:21:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 25?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x96e0ba…
08-24 22:21:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaabdf8…
08-24 22:20:58	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 25?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf67964…
08-24 21:13:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 25?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5f78e2…
08-24 21:11:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 25?	No	BUY	418	100¢	$417	0x93f34a…
08-24 21:11:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 25?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x10bd99…
08-24 13:00:07	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x44e8a6…
08-24 12:58:27	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xae87d8…
08-24 12:57:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$235	0xcfe5c1…
08-24 12:56:43	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xf3eb79…
08-24 12:55:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x170e6e…
08-24 12:45:43	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x55b5ea…
08-24 00:21:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba0424…
08-23 22:56:42	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbbf521…
08-23 22:56:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x46845a…
08-23 22:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 25?	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x50fd49…
08-23 22:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x945319…
08-23 15:42:15	Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdcf069…
08-23 15:36:07	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d65b9…
08-23 15:30:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x56fb6f…
08-23 09:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b1b88…
08-23 08:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x884c82…
08-23 07:27:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on August 23?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x154fd7…
08-23 03:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2e382f…
08-23 02:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x37bd8b…
08-22 23:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21f3c9…
08-22 22:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 22?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x18bf81…
08-22 21:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 22?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd62e35…
08-22 21:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 22?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x05aa70…
08-22 21:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd96e10…
08-22 21:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfb158…
08-22 21:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a6df4…
08-22 21:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 22?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd94735…
08-22 21:39:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 23?	No	BUY	423	100¢	$422	0xfb8a9f…
08-22 21:39:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x42ff84…
08-22 14:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x45355f…
08-22 14:48:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04bb8c…
08-22 12:06:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x72774d…
08-22 12:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x289787…
08-22 11:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x557b06…
08-22 11:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4de9d8…
08-22 10:33:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc9227…
08-22 09:20:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbfda42…
08-22 06:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x01904e…