Half-Thermometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

302

Trades

878

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 09-26 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

65% 43% +$179

Crypto

34% 50% -$43

Politics

1% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 14?	8	$172	102	102	+0	No	+$1	05-14 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	3	$93	70	55	+15	No	+$9	05-28 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	3	$53	30	30	+0	No	+$7	05-12 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 4?	6	$50	40	40	+0	Yes	+$29	05-04 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:35 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	04-13 19:39
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$46	50	50	+0	No	-$16	06-05 10:31
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	2	$43	37	36	+1	Yes	+$24	04-13 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$41	30	29	+1	Up	+$12	04-25 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	4	$39	24	24	+0	Yes	+$8	06-08 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?	7	$37	30	30	-0	Yes	+$23	05-06 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 17?	4	$36	40	20	+20	Yes	-$2	05-17 20:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$5	05-12 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$5	05-17 15:45
highest temperature in ankara on april 13 2026 12c	6	$34	25	25	+0	Yes	+$13	04-13 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17?	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	05-17 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?	3	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$6	06-08 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?	6	$33	30	30	+0	Yes	+$21	05-08 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?	3	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$7	05-17 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:25 UTC	2	$32	40	0	+40	Up	+$8	04-13 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 14?	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$9	05-14 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 17?	3	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	05-17 18:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?	3	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$6	05-08 12:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 7?	3	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$13	05-07 08:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?	3	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$13	05-14 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 4?	6	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$13	05-04 12:03
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 14c	4	$26	62	61	+1	No	-$22	04-13 13:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?	7	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	+$11	05-06 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?	3	$26	30	30	+0	No	-$15	05-17 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 16?	2	$25	38	0	+38	No	+$13	05-16 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?	1	$23	30	0	+30	No	+$7	05-17 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 10:10:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xfc3bb7…
09-26 09:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xd49733…
09-26 09:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x279586…
09-26 08:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xefed50…
09-26 08:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xa563b1…
09-23 20:13:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x1d7bdd…
09-23 20:13:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd05059…
09-23 20:13:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xac0ce9…
09-01 13:17:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x5695da…
08-30 21:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x490b99…
08-30 21:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6ecb21…
08-30 20:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x0af61b…
08-12 22:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc8b6c7…
08-12 07:54:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xdd70f6…
08-12 07:48:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xae9458…
08-12 07:31:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x0347cb…
08-12 01:29:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x1599eb…
08-11 20:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x6e956b…
08-11 19:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x022f30…
08-11 18:55:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x58a258…
08-11 16:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3b6333…
08-11 16:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x15dab3…
08-11 14:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x8501d2…
08-11 14:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd28b23…
08-11 14:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x8d971d…
08-11 14:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x92f218…
08-11 14:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x9f9b73…
08-11 14:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x275c30…
08-11 14:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x50177b…
08-11 14:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x48370d…
08-07 09:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3b9c27…
07-21 16:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x0330fc…
07-19 19:16:16	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8cc581…
07-19 19:15:16	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x96dbc9…
07-19 19:15:15	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x82879c…
07-15 19:37:50	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x4b200f…
07-09 20:48:16	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x9c2864…
07-09 20:48:14	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x269a96…
07-09 20:48:04	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xf30e5e…
07-09 11:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x003de8…
07-09 09:08:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x069ed5…
07-09 08:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x99d455…
07-09 08:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe0b891…
07-09 08:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xb59160…
07-09 08:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9f45e0…
07-09 08:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xdfbfe5…
07-09 07:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfdf7ae…
07-09 07:42:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbe48d2…
07-07 16:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x76610f…
07-07 15:36:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xfeb037…
07-07 15:36:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x58d5d9…
07-07 15:36:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc34495…
07-07 09:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa07beb…
07-01 12:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xf0e42a…
07-01 12:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x33d8fb…
06-29 20:25:56	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x33120c…
06-29 17:19:49	Brazil leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x94a84c…
06-20 14:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xd1028c…
06-15 13:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdb8c6e…
06-15 13:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x4e2424…
06-14 12:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa42c63…
06-11 20:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe9084a…
06-11 20:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcc489d…
06-11 20:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x903210…
06-11 20:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x2f793e…
06-11 19:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x78f9d0…
06-10 19:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x0ec369…
06-09 17:48:04	atp kyrgios moutet 2026 06 08	Nick Kyrgios	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x98fbfd…
06-08 15:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x1baeb5…
06-08 15:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x9c20be…
06-08 15:15:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xb48946…
06-08 15:13:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x460fc7…
06-08 13:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5d6014…
06-08 13:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x2c467d…
06-08 13:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xac69bd…
06-08 10:13:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x40514c…
06-08 09:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0b1e78…
06-08 08:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$12	0x99b585…
06-08 08:52:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x474ae7…
06-05 21:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x86c3f0…
06-05 21:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe2522d…
06-05 10:31:36	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x3621fd…
06-03 22:11:25	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xaf630a…
06-03 12:06:00	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x0e5415…
06-03 11:58:50	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x1bb352…
06-03 11:58:06	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x1f82c9…
06-02 17:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6feba3…
06-02 12:02:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7ea5c7…
06-02 11:05:52	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xd580ea…
05-29 07:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xdc529a…
05-29 07:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xc7383c…
05-29 07:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc028c7…
05-29 07:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xe588f5…
05-28 22:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3e22c8…
05-28 19:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	No	SELL	55	79¢	$44	0xe05414…
05-28 17:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x2ff8db…
05-28 17:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 28?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x541193…
05-28 16:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 28?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5071ea…
05-28 16:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x5e51fd…
05-28 14:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28?	No	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xa377f1…