Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$239
$3,447 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$3,004
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 06:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $42 | $190 | $147 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $62 | $58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $88 | $87 |
| Median | 5 | $10 | $19 | $9 |
| Below median | 6 | $11 | $11 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| unranked | 4 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarce-Goal 0x015b…5bfb | No | +90 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-10 08:37 |
| Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | +70 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-11 06:49 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +67 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 05-11 03:42 |
| Warlike-Guestbook 0xc2a0…e1b8 | Yes | +48 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 03:47 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +48 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 01:55 |
| Flamboyant-Leader 0x7cd0…872d | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 00:30 |
| Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-10 04:56 |
| Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 06:49 |
| Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:02 |
| Occasional-Chivalry-Tomb 0xfc4b…05ec | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 00:01 |
| Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:52 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Shabby-Lashes 0x158f…2b05 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:20 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:07 |
| Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 11:07 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 04:52 |
| Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:13 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 06:49:07 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xc3f1ca… |
| 05-11 06:49:02 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xe941ee… |
| 05-11 06:23:48 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x504076… |
| 05-11 05:54:21 | Exhausted-Lobby 0xa26b…525e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8c9ac7… |
| 05-11 05:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xc6fd…53df | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x674a01… |
| 05-11 05:38:37 | (anonymous) 0xc6fd…53df | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf08da4… |
| 05-11 04:52:38 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xa37e36… |
| 05-11 04:48:48 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xb1f2ce… |
| 05-11 04:18:16 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x942cd6… |
| 05-11 04:13:24 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb92d9b… |
| 05-11 04:13:22 | Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x909199… |
| 05-11 03:47:09 | Warlike-Guestbook 0xc2a0…e1b8 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x82f8b4… |
| 05-11 03:42:20 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0xddd3be… |
| 05-11 03:29:16 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x56b58e… |
| 05-11 02:20:49 | Shabby-Lashes 0x158f…2b05 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3f16db… |
| 05-11 01:55:49 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 48 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xfcb3a3… |
| 05-11 01:55:49 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9e75d5… |
| 05-11 00:30:27 | Flamboyant-Leader 0x7cd0…872d | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8c8e8b… |
| 05-11 00:07:10 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8981d5… |
| 05-11 00:03:11 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x999e51… |
| 05-11 00:03:11 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x833a65… |
| 05-11 00:01:33 | Occasional-Chivalry-Tomb 0xfc4b…05ec | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x4c7830… |
| 05-10 23:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x5cd34c… |
| 05-10 22:53:00 | Troubled-Bulk-Vanadyl 0xd0a1…73db | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc43866… |
| 05-10 11:07:01 | Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x358486… |
| 05-10 08:37:38 | Scarce-Goal 0x015b…5bfb | No | BUY | 90 | 89¢ | $80 | 0xc81d88… |
| 05-10 06:02:10 | Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x1611e5… |
| 05-10 04:56:54 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x1569da… |
| 05-10 04:56:12 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3eee59… |
| 05-10 04:53:41 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x72b88f… |
| 05-10 04:52:10 | Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe292b7… |