Ethical-Handrail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$587

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

1,323

Trades

6,682

lifetime

Volume

$34.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-10 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

68% 58% -$696

Crypto

24% 91% +$215

Sports

7% 86% -$124

Politics

1% 100% +$15

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$193	200	0	+200	Up	+$7	10-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	3	$189	200	0	+200	Down	+$11	10-09 21:59
BNB Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$189	200	0	+200	Up	+$11	10-07 23:44
XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$188	205	0	+205	Up	+$17	10-10 15:29
BNB Up or Down - October 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	6	$185	200	0	+200	Up	+$15	10-09 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$184	198	0	+198	Down	-$116	10-07 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$182	200	0	+200	Up	+$18	10-08 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$178	200	0	+200	Down	+$22	10-08 19:14
XRP Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	5	$178	204	0	+204	Down	+$26	10-07 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$177	200	0	+200	Down	+$23	10-07 23:59
BNB Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$177	190	0	+190	Down	+$13	10-08 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$176	201	0	+201	Up	+$25	10-09 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	3	$176	200	0	+200	Down	+$24	10-10 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	3	$174	200	0	+200	Up	+$26	10-09 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$173	199	0	+199	Down	+$26	10-07 19:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?	114	$169	663	653	+10	No	-$50	05-15 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$168	200	0	+200	Down	+$32	10-09 23:59
BNB Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$166	181	0	+181	Up	+$15	10-08 23:29
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 17corhigher	5	$158	99	98	+1	No	-$8	04-03 09:26
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	6	$146	160	0	+160	Up	+$15	10-08 20:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 15:45 UTC	3	$137	162	0	+162	Up	+$25	10-09 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$126	130	0	+130	Down	+$4	10-10 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$124	130	0	+130	Up	+$6	10-07 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$124	129	0	+129	Down	+$5	10-10 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$123	130	0	+130	Down	+$7	10-09 23:29
highest temperature in paris on april 3 2026 14c	4	$122	66	66	+0	No	+$10	04-03 23:32
BNB Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$121	130	0	+130	Up	+$9	10-10 11:59
highest temperature in paris on april 3 2026 11c	4	$120	66	66	+0	No	+$1	04-03 09:26
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$119	130	0	+130	Down	+$11	10-08 19:59
XRP Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$119	130	0	+130	Up	+$11	10-08 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 16:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xd61e39…
10-10 16:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x446067…
10-10 15:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	61	85¢	$51	0xf2808d…
10-10 15:59:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x98de51…
10-10 15:29:39	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	88¢	$56	0xd140a7…
10-10 15:29:39	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x66eb2b…
10-10 15:29:37	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	132	94¢	$123	0xf86653…
10-10 15:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xc1d4fc…
10-10 15:14:19	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b81d2…
10-10 15:14:19	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x0c40af…
10-10 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xd88a0f…
10-10 15:14:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x474cfe…
10-10 13:14:18	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xfc5ed2…
10-10 12:29:27	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	93¢	$28	0xf6e8a6…
10-10 12:29:24	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba7083…
10-10 12:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	87¢	$21	0x9a16f8…
10-10 12:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0x82e871…
10-10 12:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x13a0de…
10-10 11:59:31	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0x0e19fe…
10-10 11:59:21	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0xb25f4e…
10-10 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x21d671…
10-10 11:29:58	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xc35497…
10-10 11:29:57	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x16f195…
10-10 11:29:22	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb6c631…
10-10 11:29:21	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x1bd74b…
10-10 10:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	89¢	$63	0x5e6e77…
10-10 10:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0x797b13…
10-10 10:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	86¢	$51	0x241399…
10-10 09:59:36	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd1b6bd…
10-10 09:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0x872329…
10-10 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x1c8fa9…
10-10 08:44:34	BNB Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x7a218c…
10-10 07:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x4b45c9…
10-10 04:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0xec1891…
10-10 03:59:18	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xc202b7…
10-10 03:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xebcac7…
10-10 02:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x46e22c…
10-10 02:14:33	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x461147…
10-10 02:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x14e583…
10-10 02:14:20	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc0993d…
10-10 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x485b97…
10-10 02:14:17	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xaf11ca…
10-10 02:14:17	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x87f93e…
10-10 00:44:40	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xb74cae…
10-10 00:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x1499a1…
10-10 00:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0x62cf73…
10-09 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	87¢	$60	0xa19ecf…
10-09 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	65	85¢	$55	0x3e604b…
10-09 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x11baf4…
10-09 23:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0x3e1172…
10-09 23:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0x7bc361…
10-09 23:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x4cca63…
10-09 23:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x8b66a1…
10-09 23:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0dd2d4…
10-09 23:14:25	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x19c2d4…
10-09 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xbce3db…
10-09 22:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x0e01ef…
10-09 22:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xdfdc7c…
10-09 22:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcad1a4…
10-09 22:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa37fc2…
10-09 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x49cacd…
10-09 21:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x016d7c…
10-09 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x807b37…
10-09 21:59:17	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x5bc920…
10-09 21:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x7e6938…
10-09 21:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	130	85¢	$110	0xf6b6f7…
10-09 18:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x8c3543…
10-09 18:14:31	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x552877…
10-09 18:14:20	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x545e49…
10-09 18:14:19	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x48d482…
10-09 18:14:17	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x90783e…
10-09 17:14:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4ce4da…
10-09 17:14:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x34fe68…
10-09 17:14:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xde773b…
10-09 17:14:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xbad927…
10-09 16:44:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x21e5b4…
10-09 16:44:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0x563b5c…
10-09 16:44:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x70c3e7…
10-09 16:44:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xaf4433…
10-09 15:59:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x021c06…
10-09 15:59:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x8e5ccd…
10-09 15:59:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xaf8b82…
10-09 15:59:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	88¢	$60	0xaf67f3…
10-09 15:59:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	64	79¢	$51	0x3905b5…
10-09 15:29:34	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x941508…
10-09 15:29:33	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x52c630…
10-09 15:29:30	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x63fb66…
10-09 15:29:25	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xadf5a2…
10-09 15:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x258ce1…
10-09 14:14:34	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xe39bd2…
10-09 14:14:21	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xea52bc…
10-09 14:14:19	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x639df3…
10-09 14:14:18	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0xa44748…
10-09 13:59:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	64¢	$33	0x5a955f…
10-09 13:59:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x0d0e24…
10-09 12:59:30	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$16	0x8cd2e2…
10-09 12:59:28	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x209982…
10-09 12:59:27	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xcc085a…
10-09 12:59:22	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb18a56…
10-09 12:59:18	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa3fb3f…