Cultured-Street — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

15,218

lifetime

Volume

$160.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-10 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

49% 43% $-20

Politics

40% 75% +$273

Sports

7% 100% +$6

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 451 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	234	$4.5K	5,136	3,886	+1,249	open	—	05-29 20:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	107	$3.1K	8,365	7,572	+793	open	—	05-06 14:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	75	$2.4K	1,484	1,466	+18	open	—	04-28 13:21
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munar	112	$2.4K	6,890	2,917	+3,973	open	—	05-21 12:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	62	$1.6K	4,064	4,016	+48	open	—	04-25 15:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	162	$1.5K	2,617	1,374	+1,243	open	—	04-25 21:51
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	173	$1.3K	1,682	1,542	+140	open	—	05-01 19:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	141	$1.2K	1,683	1,279	+404	open	—	05-26 18:54
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	135	$1.2K	2,624	1,263	+1,361	open	—	05-20 22:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	124	$1.1K	1,305	1,310	-5	open	—	04-25 16:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	56	$1.1K	803	760	+43	open	—	04-25 21:37
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	104	$959	1,812	828	+984	open	—	04-28 16:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	73	$939	1,078	966	+112	open	—	08-04 14:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	94	$840	794	658	+136	open	—	05-30 22:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	113	$765	869	623	+245	open	—	05-28 01:07
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	6	$733	1,387	0	+1,387	open	—	07-03 18:02
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	46	$728	496	496	+0	open	—	07-29 23:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	101	$640	1,193	816	+377	open	—	05-29 14:55
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	42	$627	576	541	+35	open	—	08-07 16:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	19	$561	1,246	501	+744	open	—	04-24 18:53
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	66	$546	625	522	+103	open	—	05-28 20:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	39	$541	318	321	-3	open	—	06-17 22:35
Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5	6	$537	564	112	+452	open	—	05-25 16:16
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	47	$536	425	421	+4	open	—	08-06 20:02
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5	12	$501	308	308	+0	open	—	05-21 00:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	36	$495	447	414	+33	open	—	08-07 20:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	27	$471	731	457	+274	open	—	05-27 04:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	26	$465	330	281	+49	open	—	08-02 06:30
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 first half total 2pt5	1	$463	545	0	+545	open	—	07-11 18:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	39	$455	419	360	+59	open	—	07-04 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:50:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xcd21ca…
08-10 13:47:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0x16786f…
08-10 13:00:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x666329…
08-10 10:06:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xddef65…
08-10 09:53:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x498a3c…
08-10 09:15:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x647dfa…
08-10 08:03:30	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x9edb60…
08-10 07:45:48	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xcff584…
08-10 07:28:21	will andurils valuation hit high 125b by december 31	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x9d501f…
08-10 06:01:49	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x632b87…
08-10 05:54:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	96	86¢	$83	0xaf9e36…
08-10 02:45:45	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xb46307…
08-10 02:16:09	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x57a703…
08-10 01:56:54	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x3fab9d…
08-10 01:53:52	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x12185c…
08-10 01:37:37	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0xe079e0…
08-10 01:36:52	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x1850ff…
08-10 01:23:51	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x055863…
08-10 01:08:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x895a46…
08-10 00:48:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x04f9c6…
08-10 00:28:42	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x8ad278…
08-10 00:28:22	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x008f84…
08-10 00:05:49	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0xbb9199…
08-10 00:04:45	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x54629b…
08-09 23:25:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb05d01…
08-09 21:14:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0xcfb261…
08-09 21:14:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xe16ab4…
08-09 21:13:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x3d98ba…
08-09 21:08:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xdd9412…
08-09 21:06:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xbe6d73…
08-09 20:49:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xd80da7…
08-09 20:49:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x6461da…
08-09 20:20:58	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	No	SELL	27	63¢	$17	0x4a04e5…
08-09 19:56:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xf967ec…
08-09 19:55:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xd98965…
08-09 19:35:30	iran leadership change by november 30	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xb3316d…
08-09 19:33:46	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2c1d23…
08-09 19:32:48	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x983e9d…
08-09 19:15:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0xe6784d…
08-09 18:12:57	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xe88206…
08-09 18:03:12	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xb91732…
08-09 17:29:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x5c8de9…
08-09 17:24:25	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xb564c3…
08-09 16:56:18	hr1 sla var 2026 08 09 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	328	25¢	$82	0x9bb4ba…
08-09 16:53:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3488ff…
08-09 16:40:19	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0x7ef830…
08-09 15:58:43	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5b8402…
08-09 15:37:13	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xab49d0…
08-09 15:37:12	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x6a2426…
08-09 15:06:46	will russia enter pokrovskoe by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x5c8455…
08-09 14:06:16	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x3aa803…
08-09 13:52:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xb6128a…
08-09 13:19:16	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x935b58…
08-09 12:55:43	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xb0e6e4…
08-09 12:44:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x88bf21…
08-09 11:54:34	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x5f1a49…
08-09 11:52:43	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x10374f…
08-09 11:43:39	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa8f299…
08-09 11:19:40	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc73970…
08-09 10:44:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x93646d…
08-09 10:44:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x93646d…
08-09 10:10:40	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x11d5a2…
08-09 08:39:31	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x3eb249…
08-09 07:28:31	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	BUY	109	84¢	$91	0x3f1eb3…
08-09 07:27:18	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x21575b…
08-09 07:27:16	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0x88c4ec…
08-09 07:25:10	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x107c15…
08-09 07:08:18	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xdfa59f…
08-09 07:06:34	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xe18645…
08-09 07:06:24	itf jan arystan 2026 08 09	Asylzhan Arystanbekova	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0x9d2548…
08-09 07:06:19	itf jan arystan 2026 08 09	Asylzhan Arystanbekova	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xd65fee…
08-09 06:59:27	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x75e9f4…
08-09 06:59:16	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xde1246…
08-09 06:59:16	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xc863ab…
08-09 06:18:33	btc updown 5m 1786256100	Down	BUY	160	12¢	$19	0x99236e…
08-09 06:04:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x61b892…
08-09 05:58:24	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2cf146…
08-09 05:34:54	will mrbeast announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241638	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x556d8a…
08-09 05:34:18	trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xa5d69d…
08-09 05:23:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x75396f…
08-09 05:16:09	btc updown 5m 1786252200	Down	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0xfc96f1…
08-09 05:13:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x403f7d…
08-09 05:03:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x46e69f…
08-09 05:03:06	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x5feab4…
08-09 04:56:46	btc updown 5m 1786251300	Up	BUY	138	47¢	$65	0x970413…
08-09 04:53:45	rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt08	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xb9545a…
08-09 04:52:07	rklb quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt08	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x704779…
08-09 04:29:19	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	43	57¢	$25	0xc6e6ef…
08-09 03:50:51	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf91ebc…
08-09 03:48:49	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa0675f…
08-09 03:40:34	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0xd63bb1…
08-09 03:33:13	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x7148c8…
08-09 02:49:54	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xd0926f…
08-08 23:50:33	mlb cle cws 2026 08 08	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe4e443…
08-08 23:34:55	mlb det sf 2026 08 08 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xe8c69f…
08-08 23:34:55	mlb det sf 2026 08 08 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0xe244b1…
08-08 23:28:37	mlb hou sd 2026 08 08 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	134	60¢	$80	0xaaa3e5…
08-08 23:20:15	mlb nym pit 2026 08 08 spread home 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x01955e…
08-08 23:18:55	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x32c5f3…
08-08 23:18:01	mlb col stl 2026 08 08	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xa2dd25…