Realized P&L
-$5.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$205
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
4,485
Trades
31,294
lifetime
Volume
$339.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$351
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 10-27 05:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
62% 50% -$6,827
Politics
30% 51% +$286
Sports
5% 42% +$1,119
Tech
2% 44% -$171
Crypto
1% 33% -$86
Pop-Culture
0% 22% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 372 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -416 -$170 22¢ $-89 +$81 05-10 01:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +50 $30 99¢ $49 +$19 08-18 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +50 -$33 88¢ $44 +$78 09-22 19:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -35 -$16 79¢ $-28 -$12 09-20 01:35
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -42 -$19 61¢ $-26 -$7 09-23 18:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -26 -$35 82¢ $-21 +$14 09-23 17:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $12 87¢ $17 +$5 07-15 06:04
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -177 -$68 8¢ $-15 +$53 05-01 02:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11 $10 87¢ $10 -$1 08-31 13:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 06-30 21:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -7 -$10 98¢ $-7 +$3 09-22 19:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -98 $3 6¢ $-6 -$10 10-03 06:47
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 09-22 19:04
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -17 -$3 18¢ $-3 +$0 09-28 16:59
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -83 -$7 3¢ $-3 +$4 10-01 11:49
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +3 $3 88¢ $3 -$1 06-26 12:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +20 $7 13¢ $3 -$4 06-20 20:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +16 $7 14¢ $2 -$4 07-23 12:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11 -$12 18¢ $2 +$14 09-20 17:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -18 $0 10¢ $-2 -$2 09-22 19:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -40 $6 4¢ $-2 -$8 09-22 17:57
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +2 $14 94¢ $1 -$12 08-25 14:07
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -420 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 07-29 02:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 08-30 11:58
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -6 $0 18¢ $-1 -$1 09-22 23:26
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 15¢ $-1 +$2 05-10 04:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1 $10 76¢ $1 -$10 09-15 19:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1 $0 60¢ $1 +$0 09-19 20:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -18 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 09-27 01:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +1 $0 40¢ $0 +$0 09-22 17:55