Realized P&L (24h)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$271
Hit rate
41.3%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
0
31,299 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$339.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$220
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 11-03 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
62% 50% -$6,892
Politics
30% 51% +$274
Sports
5% 42% +$1,119
Tech
2% 44% -$178
Crypto
1% 33% -$86
Pop-Culture
0% 22% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 372 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +50 -$33 90¢ $45 +$78 09-22 19:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -35 -$16 92¢ $-32 -$17 09-20 01:35
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -42 -$19 61¢ $-26 -$7 09-23 18:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -26 -$35 88¢ $-23 +$12 09-23 17:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $12 93¢ $19 +$6 07-15 06:04
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -177 -$68 10¢ $-17 +$50 05-01 02:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 -$1 08-31 13:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +8 $7 91¢ $7 +$0 06-30 21:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -7 -$10 98¢ $-7 +$3 09-22 19:01
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -416 -$170 1¢ $-5 +$165 05-10 01:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 09-22 19:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -98 $3 3¢ $-3 -$6 10-03 06:47
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +3 $3 90¢ $3 -$1 06-26 12:15
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -83 -$7 3¢ $-2 +$5 10-01 11:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +16 $7 12¢ $2 -$5 07-23 12:45
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -17 -$3 11¢ $-2 +$2 09-28 16:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -18 $0 9¢ $-2 -$2 09-22 19:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +20 $7 7¢ $1 -$6 06-20 20:55
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +2 $14 88¢ $1 -$12 08-25 14:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 08-30 11:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11 -$12 12¢ $1 +$14 09-20 17:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -6 $0 20¢ $-1 -$1 09-22 23:26
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 18¢ $-1 +$1 05-10 04:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -40 $6 2¢ $-1 -$7 09-22 17:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1 $0 70¢ $1 +$0 09-19 20:43
Trump on $250 bill this year? Yes -27 $1 2¢ $-1 -$2 09-22 17:56
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -420 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$1 07-29 02:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1 $10 64¢ $1 -$10 09-15 19:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -18 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 09-27 01:21
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? No -39 -$6 1¢ $-0 +$6 08-19 19:24