Scarce-Goal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$944

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

1,320

Trades

1,726

lifetime

Volume

$34.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-26 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

72% 63% -$808

Crypto

26% 48% -$226

Politics

2% 50% +$109

Sports

0% 0% -$18

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	3	$255	136	136	+0	No	+$15	05-10 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?	2	$226	126	126	+0	No	+$26	05-28 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10?	2	$218	118	118	+0	No	+$18	06-10 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 1?	17	$216	117	117	+0	No	+$16	06-01 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 4?	3	$212	112	112	+0	No	+$12	06-04 11:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$210	161	161	+0	Yes	+$110	04-08 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 31?	2	$210	110	110	+0	No	+$10	05-31 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 30?	2	$210	110	110	+0	No	+$10	05-30 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?	2	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$9	06-06 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 31?	2	$209	109	109	+0	No	+$9	05-31 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 3?	2	$209	109	109	+0	No	+$9	06-03 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 7?	2	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	05-07 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 1?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	06-01 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 3?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	06-03 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 3?	2	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$4	05-02 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or below on May 30?	2	$197	111	111	+0	No	+$24	05-30 04:54
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 13c	3	$193	111	111	+0	No	-$1	03-19 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?	4	$193	171	171	+0	No	-$67	06-01 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?	4	$189	157	114	+43	No	-$41	06-23 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 1?	2	$184	94	94	+0	No	+$4	06-01 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?	2	$182	94	94	+0	No	+$6	06-17 10:49
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$179	121	121	+0	Yes	+$61	04-08 00:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$176	141	69	+72	Yes	+$28	04-17 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 3?	2	$175	107	107	+0	No	-$25	06-03 04:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 8?	2	$171	91	91	+0	No	+$11	06-08 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 30?	3	$170	90	90	+0	No	+$10	05-30 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 1?	2	$166	86	86	+0	No	+$6	05-01 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 6?	2	$160	202	0	+202	No	+$42	06-06 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?	3	$150	100	100	+0	Yes	+$50	06-17 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?	2	$150	165	0	+165	Yes	-$150	06-09 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 07:26:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0xf3b4c1…
06-26 06:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	No	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xc8331b…
06-26 06:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	No	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0x60121c…
06-26 06:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0xcbb7dc…
06-26 06:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x4178b5…
06-26 06:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0x3da673…
06-26 01:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x0b0286…
06-26 01:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x5a9829…
06-25 07:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x303541…
06-25 06:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x2676ef…
06-25 02:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x828eb8…
06-25 01:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x5c7ec8…
06-25 01:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x0ae255…
06-25 01:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x29fb51…
06-24 06:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 24?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xd55935…
06-24 02:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0x63ac8e…
06-24 02:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x9b88d5…
06-24 02:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xee743a…
06-24 02:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x622df7…
06-24 02:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc36c85…
06-23 06:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x4ea30b…
06-23 06:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	No	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0xf9907a…
06-23 05:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0xbaecf8…
06-23 02:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x6b20a7…
06-23 02:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x29c1d7…
06-23 02:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?	No	SELL	114	65¢	$74	0x7f1b7e…
06-23 01:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xff078a…
06-22 16:15:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe41e5d…
06-22 16:13:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xeea8d9…
06-22 15:59:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xcdb719…
06-22 15:52:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd4941b…
06-22 08:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x67e502…
06-22 08:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xc1c1ef…
06-22 08:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xf5277e…
06-22 08:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x469039…
06-22 05:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0x5d72c6…
06-21 18:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	SELL	85	61¢	$52	0xe1867d…
06-21 18:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xced4b0…
06-21 17:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd2584b…
06-21 17:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7c0b45…
06-21 17:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf91078…
06-21 10:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2a00e9…
06-21 09:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x5458f0…
06-21 09:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf09934…
06-21 09:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 22?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xbe4a2e…
06-21 01:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x7d8384…
06-21 01:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xb3a2eb…
06-21 01:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x394d54…
06-20 14:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x6b58e3…
06-20 14:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0x4da198…
06-20 14:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0xe2c252…
06-20 13:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x884122…
06-20 13:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 20?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x7b25b6…
06-20 07:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0xfd01f6…
06-20 01:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x719038…
06-20 01:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0x92e90c…
06-20 01:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xc146d5…
06-20 01:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	95	31¢	$30	0x4472b1…
06-19 04:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2,261	1¢	$23	0x5943bb…
06-19 01:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 20?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xecb2e1…
06-19 01:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 20?	No	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x21e71f…
06-19 01:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0x8fcdd6…
06-19 01:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x076027…
06-19 01:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	85	13¢	$11	0xc53165…
06-19 00:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0x2ea4e4…
06-19 00:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x441354…
06-18 11:42:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x5e64ad…
06-18 09:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0xe052c4…
06-18 09:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	113	27¢	$30	0x56881b…
06-18 09:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?	No	SELL	56	75¢	$42	0x9e3046…
06-18 08:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0xf38afe…
06-18 07:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?	No	SELL	55	8¢	$5	0xb30ad1…
06-18 04:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x709ce5…
06-17 23:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xc283a2…
06-17 23:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfc5023…
06-17 23:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	93	22¢	$20	0xe68dd0…
06-17 10:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	63	26¢	$16	0xa5c156…
06-17 10:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x3750d7…
06-17 10:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x72b01b…
06-17 10:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xbf497b…
06-17 10:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	134	22¢	$30	0x431a42…
06-17 10:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x3be3f6…
06-17 10:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xaa49f7…
06-17 10:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 17?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0xceb263…
06-17 10:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x63209e…
06-17 06:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xca94c1…
06-17 06:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x51ff4c…
06-16 11:47:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5c10f6…
06-16 11:32:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x83553b…
06-16 11:09:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x10ba19…
06-16 10:21:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeaf25b…
06-16 10:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0x2a1a10…
06-16 10:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 17?	No	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0xc86b50…
06-16 10:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x76765c…
06-16 10:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 18?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x82a324…
06-16 10:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?	Yes	BUY	122	25¢	$30	0x748270…
06-16 10:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 16?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x030a06…
06-15 12:42:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xca64a5…
06-15 12:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x053cbd…
06-15 12:26:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3ae6db…