Scarce-Goal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

124

Trades

1,186

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-11 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 40% $-151

Other

29% 100% +$29

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$210	161	161	+0	open	—	04-08 00:19
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 13c	3	$193	111	111	+0	open	—	03-19 10:09
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$179	121	121	+0	open	—	04-08 00:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$176	141	69	+72	open	—	04-17 15:32
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$123	2,015	2,015	+0	open	—	03-31 09:26
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	4	$113	173	86	+88	open	—	04-03 03:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c	4	$110	61	60	+0	open	—	03-17 15:17
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 24c	2	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	04-23 11:12
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 23c	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	04-21 09:48
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 22c	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-21 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$99	79	79	+0	open	—	05-03 19:17
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 21c	5	$97	182	182	+0	open	—	03-29 02:56
highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 22c	2	$88	49	49	+0	open	—	03-24 10:42
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$88	81	41	+40	open	—	03-17 12:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 14c	2	$84	147	147	+0	open	—	03-19 11:43
highest temperature in beijing on march 25 2026 23c	2	$84	47	47	+0	open	—	03-24 10:42
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	4	$80	108	108	+0	open	—	03-28 10:12
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 22c	4	$74	58	58	+0	open	—	03-29 03:41
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 18c	4	$74	75	75	+0	open	—	03-26 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	2	$74	45	45	+0	open	—	04-26 16:28
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 23c	2	$71	48	47	+0	open	—	04-22 07:20
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 21c	2	$71	116	113	+4	open	—	04-01 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$68	49	49	+0	Up	+$28	05-06 08:03
highest temperature in beijing on april 19 2026 20c	2	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	04-18 17:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 22c	2	$60	130	0	+130	open	—	04-02 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	2	$60	72	0	+72	open	—	04-28 03:20
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 20c	2	$59	128	124	+4	open	—	04-01 23:36
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 19c	2	$58	34	34	+0	open	—	03-22 02:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$57	147	147	+0	open	—	05-02 00:20
btc updown 5m 1774017600	4	$56	37	37	+0	open	—	03-20 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 16:25:51	btc updown 15m 1781195400	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x85eae0…
06-11 16:16:45	btc updown 15m 1781194500	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xbafd70…
06-11 15:54:52	btc updown 15m 1781193600	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x55a694…
06-11 15:15:28	btc updown 15m 1781190900	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x571ad5…
06-11 15:13:55	btc updown 15m 1781190000	Down	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x8823b7…
06-11 14:57:04	btc updown 15m 1781190000	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x5d77c1…
06-11 14:31:55	btc updown 15m 1781188200	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x0678d5…
06-11 13:59:25	btc updown 15m 1781186400	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xfeac3c…
06-11 13:56:39	btc updown 15m 1781185500	Down	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x231be7…
06-11 13:44:54	btc updown 15m 1781185500	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3366e0…
06-11 13:33:46	btc updown 15m 1781184600	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xcec696…
06-11 13:25:25	btc updown 15m 1781183700	Up	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x44697f…
06-11 13:14:19	btc updown 15m 1781183700	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xa8d895…
06-11 13:00:43	btc updown 15m 1781182800	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfdc9f2…
06-11 12:47:52	btc updown 15m 1781181900	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x68b921…
06-11 10:35:03	btc updown 15m 1781174700	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x21da49…
06-09 16:42:24	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x25aa84…
06-09 16:28:10	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x1152df…
06-09 16:14:54	btc updown 15m 1781021700	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x3bbe96…
06-09 15:58:37	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x8d7cbd…
06-09 15:46:37	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x454080…
06-09 15:46:22	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x2dab89…
06-09 15:45:42	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xbfb1d4…
06-09 15:28:25	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x7eb1a2…
06-09 15:15:10	btc updown 15m 1781018100	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x9c5095…
06-09 15:10:52	btc updown 15m 1781017200	Down	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x303dd8…
06-09 15:00:49	btc updown 15m 1781017200	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xfb6c08…
06-09 14:44:21	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x38489a…
06-09 14:29:06	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x197afd…
06-09 14:15:13	btc updown 15m 1781014500	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x7daba5…
06-09 14:10:34	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Up	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x372a81…
06-09 14:02:30	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xcc42b5…
06-09 13:41:30	btc updown 15m 1781012700	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xa5e1cc…
06-09 13:41:04	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xd883d4…
06-09 13:31:58	btc updown 15m 1781011800	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x807f1d…
06-09 13:15:31	btc updown 15m 1781010900	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x40010a…
06-09 13:03:06	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x1a5564…
06-09 12:44:24	btc updown 15m 1781009100	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x061b1f…
06-09 12:16:04	btc updown 15m 1781007300	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x321f13…
06-09 12:01:30	btc updown 15m 1781006400	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x596b59…
06-09 11:48:19	btc updown 15m 1781005500	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x333163…
06-09 11:36:55	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x13cb1c…
06-09 10:09:58	btc updown 15m 1781000100	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x8e998d…
06-09 09:51:22	btc updown 15m 1780998300	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x065d76…
06-09 09:07:46	btc updown 15m 1780996500	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x4abf5e…
06-09 00:05:34	btc updown 15m 1780963200	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xfdf6e0…
06-08 23:22:19	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7ca7cb…
06-08 12:37:30	btc updown 15m 1780922700	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x675f69…
06-08 12:26:55	btc updown 15m 1780921800	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x79110a…
06-08 12:00:28	btc updown 15m 1780920000	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3c7cdf…
06-05 18:35:57	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x008390…
06-05 18:05:24	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd42cf…
06-05 17:02:04	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x77a411…
06-05 16:03:28	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x39c8ae…
06-04 13:45:12	btc updown 5m 1780580700	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0bd500…
06-04 13:41:42	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2b1bc2…
06-04 13:35:12	btc updown 5m 1780580100	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x544d36…
06-04 13:29:24	btc updown 5m 1780579800	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x962c99…
06-04 13:28:45	btc updown 5m 1780579500	Down	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x7bc38c…
06-04 13:25:22	btc updown 5m 1780579500	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x152a5e…
06-04 13:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780579200	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa87083…
06-04 13:15:22	btc updown 5m 1780578900	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2786d0…
06-04 13:09:52	btc updown 5m 1780578600	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xda932c…
06-04 13:01:40	btc updown 5m 1780578000	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1da701…
06-04 12:55:09	btc updown 5m 1780577700	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x280bbe…
06-04 12:48:46	btc updown 5m 1780577400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x015da9…
06-04 12:27:16	btc updown 5m 1780576200	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd58e57…
06-04 12:27:04	btc updown 15m 1780576200	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x820d2a…
06-04 12:08:19	btc updown 5m 1780575000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8a0ec2…
06-04 11:56:58	btc updown 15m 1780574400	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x869906…
06-04 11:42:09	btc updown 15m 1780573500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8276f4…
06-04 02:06:58	btc updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x413fea…
06-04 01:35:55	btc updown 15m 1780537500	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd9ebe6…
06-04 00:52:31	btc updown 15m 1780534800	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe3abc2…
06-04 00:38:31	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe2c9a0…
06-04 00:37:00	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Down	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xd56b5d…
06-04 00:27:31	btc updown 15m 1780532100	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe56431…
06-04 00:27:03	btc updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4b7d6a…
06-04 00:22:54	btc updown 15m 1780532100	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x93dc2e…
06-04 00:01:37	btc updown 15m 1780531200	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd4b87d…
06-03 10:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9a600c…
06-03 10:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x2073e3…
06-03 10:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7666d1…
06-03 10:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xc1b43a…
06-03 10:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb0854c…
06-02 17:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd720ff…
06-02 17:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd29e99…
06-02 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xcb81c3…
06-02 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x02a87f…
06-02 17:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf497e3…
06-02 17:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d2367…
06-02 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xff5e2d…
06-02 15:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x31116f…
06-02 15:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x689bda…
06-02 15:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x21dcbb…
06-02 15:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5002fe…
06-02 15:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc28993…
06-02 15:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcb56e3…
06-02 15:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2bb0f2…
06-02 15:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x2ed4a7…