Aged-Compass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$147

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

3,784

Trades

31,834

lifetime

Volume

$1.30M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$58

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-31 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

100% 55% +$22,876

Crypto

0% 52% -$246

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes		-300	-$206	20¢	$-58	+$147	09-04 06:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	76	$11.6K	11,053	11,053	+0	Yes	+$58	08-09 18:37
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 26?	6	$11.1K	5,596	5,596	+0	No	+$80	08-25 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on September 16?	6	$10.9K	5,506	5,506	+0	No	+$101	09-15 16:12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 20?	18	$9.7K	4,924	4,924	+0	No	+$111	08-19 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	15	$9.3K	4,688	4,688	+0	No	+$84	07-01 01:19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?	36	$9.2K	4,760	4,760	+0	No	+$44	08-15 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 28?	17	$8.6K	4,330	4,330	+0	No	+$26	06-28 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	17	$8.6K	4,596	4,596	+0	No	+$24	09-16 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	18	$7.5K	3,797	3,797	+0	Yes	+$23	09-21 06:44
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on August 27?	3	$7.0K	3,535	3,535	+0	No	+$32	08-26 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 30?	29	$6.7K	3,383	3,383	+0	No	+$76	06-29 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on June 26?	38	$6.4K	4,290	2,145	+2,145	No	+$54	06-25 20:14
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	6	$6.0K	3,138	3,138	+0	No	-$13	09-01 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?	5	$6.0K	3,043	3,043	+0	No	+$96	06-24 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 17?	6	$5.7K	2,906	2,906	+0	No	+$103	07-16 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 7?	70	$5.5K	3,177	3,177	+0	Yes	+$76	07-07 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	47	$5.5K	3,377	3,377	+0	Yes	+$200	07-11 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	104	$5.4K	3,474	3,474	+0	Yes	+$954	10-01 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 4?	5	$5.3K	2,721	2,721	+0	No	+$118	10-03 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 10?	8	$5.3K	2,718	2,718	+0	No	+$111	10-09 16:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 19?	10	$5.2K	2,604	2,604	+0	No	+$50	07-18 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 2?	11	$5.1K	2,584	2,584	+0	No	+$81	07-01 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	85	$5.0K	2,723	2,723	+0	open	—	10-31 21:08
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 25?	5	$5.0K	2,525	2,525	+0	No	+$23	08-24 16:19
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	32	$5.0K	2,501	2,501	+0	No	+$34	05-01 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 10?	5	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$47	09-09 16:47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 29?	3	$4.8K	2,449	2,449	+0	No	+$47	07-28 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?	40	$4.7K	2,499	2,499	+0	No	+$37	07-12 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 26?	14	$4.6K	2,559	2,559	+0	No	+$43	10-25 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 1?	2	$4.5K	2,485	2,485	+0	No	+$482	09-30 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x838c97…
10-31 21:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9b117b…
10-31 21:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0x0b04d4…
10-31 21:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	419	100¢	$418	0x2695cf…
10-31 19:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdb9475…
10-31 19:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd501e1…
10-31 19:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1199f0…
10-31 19:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8101e4…
10-31 19:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe8e393…
10-31 19:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x62eb28…
10-31 19:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1bae87…
10-31 19:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x73af8f…
10-31 19:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9fde9e…
10-31 19:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x21dbb1…
10-31 19:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x541779…
10-31 19:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xee1d75…
10-31 19:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x39fb81…
10-31 19:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd6fd9c…
10-31 19:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x64a49f…
10-31 19:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x889736…
10-31 19:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa05e76…
10-31 19:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x18ad5c…
10-31 19:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x322651…
10-31 18:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xab6599…
10-31 18:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xa6f014…
10-31 18:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9a91ff…
10-31 17:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x202198…
10-31 17:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd8ffc9…
10-31 17:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x88df2e…
10-31 17:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x85fb09…
10-31 17:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb91530…
10-31 17:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd0ae51…
10-31 17:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb711ff…
10-31 17:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xec74f2…
10-31 17:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb26915…
10-31 17:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9e923b…
10-31 17:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe1d50e…
10-31 17:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5d2ff4…
10-31 17:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x75e238…
10-31 17:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xbd5d7d…
10-31 17:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6bcb1f…
10-31 17:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9aea61…
10-31 17:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x249991…
10-31 17:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9f50cc…
10-31 17:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xce5a90…
10-31 17:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x36cb2c…
10-31 17:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x976259…
10-31 17:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa59e17…
10-31 17:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5bc88e…
10-31 17:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x43ce38…
10-31 17:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3d7552…
10-31 17:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf30b1f…
10-31 17:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x972142…
10-31 17:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9eb0ae…
10-31 17:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xbe366f…
10-31 17:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd5e2e6…
10-31 17:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9f9478…
10-31 17:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc24a61…
10-31 17:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9239f9…
10-31 17:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4c6eed…
10-31 17:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4c5480…
10-31 17:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb65e29…
10-31 17:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9349db…
10-31 17:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x223afe…
10-31 17:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x3e88a2…
10-31 17:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x784df3…
10-31 17:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x14562a…
10-31 17:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x942333…
10-31 17:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xaa8b4b…
10-31 17:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xecb68a…
10-31 17:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe31776…
10-31 17:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf18fbe…
10-31 17:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd1490a…
10-31 17:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf19565…
10-31 17:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe879f3…
10-31 17:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd01d66…
10-31 17:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6bb9f5…
10-31 17:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4c7712…
10-31 17:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0c63e0…
10-31 17:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3740ed…
10-31 17:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4fe6fe…
10-31 17:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb66fcc…
10-31 17:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf100af…
10-31 17:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3b644c…
10-31 17:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8af4df…
10-31 17:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xee57ff…
10-31 17:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6a124f…
10-31 17:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x73e998…
10-31 17:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xeefb74…
10-31 17:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x699a24…
10-31 17:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x85e216…
10-31 17:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa197bd…
10-31 17:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x19d98f…
10-31 17:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x02eea9…
10-31 17:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8d9fc7…
10-31 17:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9b138e…
10-31 17:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf6a58f…
10-31 17:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6b083f…
10-31 17:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0d4abe…
10-31 17:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa15b05…