Aged-Compass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$147

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

3,784

Trades

31,861

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$58

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-01 05:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

100% 55% +$22,876

Crypto

0% 52% -$246

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes		-300	-$206	20¢	$-58	+$147	09-04 06:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	76	$11.6K	11,053	11,053	+0	Yes	+$58	08-09 18:37
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 26?	6	$11.1K	5,596	5,596	+0	No	+$80	08-25 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on September 16?	6	$10.9K	5,506	5,506	+0	No	+$101	09-15 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	15	$10.2K	5,164	5,164	+0	open	—	11-01 03:02
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 20?	18	$9.7K	4,924	4,924	+0	No	+$111	08-19 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	15	$9.3K	4,688	4,688	+0	No	+$84	07-01 01:19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?	36	$9.2K	4,760	4,760	+0	No	+$44	08-15 00:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 28?	17	$8.6K	4,330	4,330	+0	No	+$26	06-28 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	17	$8.6K	4,596	4,596	+0	No	+$24	09-16 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	18	$7.5K	3,797	3,797	+0	Yes	+$23	09-21 06:44
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on August 27?	3	$7.0K	3,535	3,535	+0	No	+$32	08-26 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 30?	29	$6.7K	3,383	3,383	+0	No	+$76	06-29 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on June 26?	38	$6.4K	4,290	2,145	+2,145	No	+$54	06-25 20:14
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	6	$6.0K	3,138	3,138	+0	No	-$13	09-01 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?	5	$6.0K	3,043	3,043	+0	No	+$96	06-24 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 17?	6	$5.7K	2,906	2,906	+0	No	+$103	07-16 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 7?	70	$5.5K	3,177	3,177	+0	Yes	+$76	07-07 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	47	$5.5K	3,377	3,377	+0	Yes	+$200	07-11 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	104	$5.4K	3,474	3,474	+0	Yes	+$954	10-01 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 4?	5	$5.3K	2,721	2,721	+0	No	+$118	10-03 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 10?	8	$5.3K	2,718	2,718	+0	No	+$111	10-09 16:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 19?	10	$5.2K	2,604	2,604	+0	No	+$50	07-18 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 2?	11	$5.1K	2,584	2,584	+0	No	+$81	07-01 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	85	$5.0K	2,723	2,723	+0	open	—	10-31 21:08
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 25?	5	$5.0K	2,525	2,525	+0	No	+$23	08-24 16:19
Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?	32	$5.0K	2,501	2,501	+0	No	+$34	05-01 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 10?	5	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$47	09-09 16:47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 29?	3	$4.8K	2,449	2,449	+0	No	+$47	07-28 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?	40	$4.7K	2,499	2,499	+0	No	+$37	07-12 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 26?	14	$4.6K	2,559	2,559	+0	No	+$43	10-25 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcf7a18…
11-01 06:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x679b62…
11-01 06:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x2b2386…
11-01 06:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0ac487…
11-01 06:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x94c1be…
11-01 06:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	312	92¢	$288	0x6f6b5d…
11-01 06:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x0c459e…
11-01 06:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x9c3292…
11-01 06:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	75	85¢	$64	0xe24039…
11-01 05:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xbe97f7…
11-01 05:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x1ea375…
11-01 05:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x95feec…
11-01 05:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x1eb6db…
11-01 05:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdee014…
11-01 05:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc6174e…
11-01 05:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x3da88a…
11-01 05:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xcc88d5…
11-01 05:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xbbb9db…
11-01 05:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x74d851…
11-01 05:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xf47eb6…
11-01 05:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x9c706a…
11-01 05:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x363764…
11-01 05:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdfb644…
11-01 05:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x477ae2…
11-01 05:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x1b1037…
11-01 05:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x60e0d2…
11-01 03:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	534	100¢	$534	0xb9ab29…
11-01 03:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	1,997	100¢	$1,995	0x48ac55…
11-01 03:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xa03a58…
11-01 03:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6b01cb…
11-01 03:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2be91c…
11-01 03:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x798339…
11-01 03:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf78b5c…
11-01 03:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	SELL	469	100¢	$468	0x755fb1…
11-01 02:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5,064	99¢	$5,000	0x3e2513…
10-31 21:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x838c97…
10-31 21:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9b117b…
10-31 21:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0x0b04d4…
10-31 21:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	419	100¢	$418	0x2695cf…
10-31 19:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdb9475…
10-31 19:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd501e1…
10-31 19:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1199f0…
10-31 19:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8101e4…
10-31 19:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe8e393…
10-31 19:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x62eb28…
10-31 19:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1bae87…
10-31 19:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x73af8f…
10-31 19:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9fde9e…
10-31 19:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x21dbb1…
10-31 19:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x541779…
10-31 19:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xee1d75…
10-31 19:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x39fb81…
10-31 19:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd6fd9c…
10-31 19:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x64a49f…
10-31 19:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x889736…
10-31 19:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa05e76…
10-31 19:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x18ad5c…
10-31 19:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x322651…
10-31 18:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xab6599…
10-31 18:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xa6f014…
10-31 18:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9a91ff…
10-31 17:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x202198…
10-31 17:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd8ffc9…
10-31 17:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x88df2e…
10-31 17:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x85fb09…
10-31 17:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb91530…
10-31 17:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd0ae51…
10-31 17:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb711ff…
10-31 17:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xec74f2…
10-31 17:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb26915…
10-31 17:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9e923b…
10-31 17:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe1d50e…
10-31 17:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5d2ff4…
10-31 17:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x75e238…
10-31 17:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xbd5d7d…
10-31 17:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6bcb1f…
10-31 17:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9aea61…
10-31 17:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x249991…
10-31 17:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9f50cc…
10-31 17:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xce5a90…
10-31 17:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x36cb2c…
10-31 17:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x976259…
10-31 17:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa59e17…
10-31 17:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5bc88e…
10-31 17:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x43ce38…
10-31 17:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3d7552…
10-31 17:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf30b1f…
10-31 17:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x972142…
10-31 17:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9eb0ae…
10-31 17:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xbe366f…
10-31 17:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd5e2e6…
10-31 17:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9f9478…
10-31 17:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc24a61…
10-31 17:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9239f9…
10-31 17:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4c6eed…
10-31 17:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4c5480…
10-31 17:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb65e29…
10-31 17:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9349db…
10-31 17:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x223afe…
10-31 17:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x3e88a2…