Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?
open
Total volume
$312
$3,723 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,322
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 15:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $28 | $256 | $228 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $3 | $34 | $31 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $40 | $38 |
| Median | 4 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $200 | $196 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +176 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 05-07 11:01 |
| Exalted-Knifeedge 0x5868…64c8 | Yes | +133 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 12:35 |
| Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | +95 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 11:25 |
| Short-Insurance 0x261c…8b76 | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 16:12 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 18:45 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +33 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-07 09:20 |
| Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 07:03 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | Yes | +28 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 02:13 |
| Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 15:42 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 15:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-07 15:01 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 14:01 |
| Bitter-Humanity 0x9bd5…ac4d | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 13:14 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 10:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 07:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 15:42:14 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xfe9178… |
| 05-07 15:01:29 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x6da46e… |
| 05-07 15:01:27 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x78c8e9… |
| 05-07 14:56:05 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x13138c… |
| 05-07 14:01:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x990020… |
| 05-07 13:14:20 | Bitter-Humanity 0x9bd5…ac4d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4d0397… |
| 05-07 12:35:44 | Exalted-Knifeedge 0x5868…64c8 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x82faa9… |
| 05-07 11:25:20 | Official-Hyena 0x8e37…9a37 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x99546e… |
| 05-07 11:14:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb1af8c… |
| 05-07 11:01:13 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 176 | 96¢ | $169 | 0x899eb9… |
| 05-07 10:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x3870ae… |
| 05-07 09:20:56 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 33 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xe4ee2e… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8c240a… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa81828… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x6057a1… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x978a8c… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6765e6… |
| 05-07 08:09:29 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x4fa315… |
| 05-07 08:09:23 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdb1943… |
| 05-07 08:09:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5f2971… |
| 05-07 08:08:27 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb90412… |
| 05-07 08:08:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfb1532… |
| 05-07 08:08:26 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x96d9cf… |
| 05-07 08:08:08 | Tangible-Philosophy 0x3afe…075d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x24afd5… |
| 05-07 07:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0945b1… |
| 05-07 07:44:29 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x40787a… |
| 05-07 07:44:29 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x954bb2… |
| 05-07 07:44:24 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xe0adc9… |
| 05-07 07:03:21 | Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0ac50d… |
| 05-07 06:48:17 | Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7b6afc… |
| 05-07 02:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x49fb12… |
| 05-07 01:13:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x803930… |
| 05-07 00:53:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd522ae… |
| 05-06 18:45:04 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x23fd5c… |
| 05-06 16:12:17 | Short-Insurance 0x261c…8b76 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2ac8ab… |