Exalted-Knifeedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$283

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

340

Trades

729

lifetime

Volume

$6.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-25 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

92% 49% -$257

Crypto

8% 33% -$24

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	4	$284	199	199	+0	Yes	-$34	05-23 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 22?	2	$205	109	109	+0	No	+$14	05-22 14:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	4	$189	197	197	+0	Yes	-$95	05-16 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 16?	2	$169	93	93	+0	No	+$16	05-16 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?	2	$164	90	90	+0	No	+$15	05-27 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	2	$143	78	78	+0	No	+$11	05-15 16:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?	2	$141	90	90	+0	No	-$2	05-23 08:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?	2	$141	75	75	+0	No	+$10	05-26 19:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?	2	$140	74	74	+0	No	+$4	05-23 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?	2	$129	71	71	+0	No	+$3	05-17 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?	2	$125	70	70	+0	No	+$14	05-16 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?	2	$122	67	67	+0	No	+$10	05-15 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	5	$117	466	189	+277	No	-$63	05-11 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 17?	2	$115	62	62	+0	No	+$9	05-17 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 25?	2	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$3	05-25 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 26?	2	$107	57	57	+0	No	-$1	05-25 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 27?	2	$105	55	55	+0	No	+$5	05-28 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 25?	2	$102	55	55	+0	No	+$7	05-25 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?	2	$101	57	57	+0	No	+$11	05-15 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?	2	$97	53	53	+0	No	+$4	05-27 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?	2	$91	47	47	+0	No	+$3	05-25 02:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	1	$89	101	0	+101	Yes	-$89	05-27 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?	1	$81	96	0	+96	No	+$15	05-21 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?	2	$79	52	52	+0	No	-$7	05-14 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	2	$78	43	43	+0	No	+$8	05-14 06:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?	1	$71	93	0	+93	Yes	-$71	05-23 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	6	$68	56	56	+0	No	+$12	10-22 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?	2	$68	128	128	+0	Yes	-$67	05-16 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?	1	$66	82	0	+82	No	+$16	05-17 13:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?	2	$61	35	35	+0	No	+$9	05-13 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xf0bdeb…
10-25 16:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe24b53…
10-25 16:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xff1c07…
10-25 16:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x64aa36…
10-25 16:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf60623…
10-25 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe75ebe…
10-25 16:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1fb748…
10-25 16:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbdcd19…
10-24 06:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1d46db…
10-23 22:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x150023…
10-23 21:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8518e4…
10-23 21:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe819ae…
10-23 21:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbab7fa…
10-23 21:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x177373…
10-23 21:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd8be4…
10-23 21:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x28a086…
10-23 21:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8ae2db…
10-23 21:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xb06320…
10-23 21:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7235a2…
10-23 21:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5b8d12…
10-23 21:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe54fa0…
10-23 21:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6a369d…
10-23 21:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x27d347…
10-23 21:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xed4d4a…
10-23 21:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x207574…
10-23 21:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x65c7a4…
10-23 21:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd5ee33…
10-23 21:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5858d1…
10-23 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x62edb4…
10-23 21:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x43c5c9…
10-23 21:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb1d563…
10-23 21:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaebbb4…
10-23 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x028a0a…
10-23 21:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe902b2…
10-23 20:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x78eea0…
10-23 20:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb25bc1…
10-23 20:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc17471…
10-23 20:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5dc05a…
10-23 20:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x49fdaf…
10-23 20:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x723f98…
10-23 20:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x538f1b…
10-23 20:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x918501…
10-23 20:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x32b8e4…
10-23 20:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x85c9b2…
10-23 20:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb9f4a5…
10-23 20:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x9234cb…
10-23 20:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbf9d63…
10-23 20:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xe2bc9c…
10-23 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xed1572…
10-23 20:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2e3f43…
10-23 20:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x3a453e…
10-23 20:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x266c76…
10-23 20:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xde65c8…
10-23 20:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xebc5bb…
10-23 20:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x247ed8…
10-23 20:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x67782e…
10-23 20:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xcf59fc…
10-23 20:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x07c3b4…
10-23 20:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x49f3be…
10-23 20:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x23312b…
10-23 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf5acb1…
10-23 20:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf1f59f…
10-23 20:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x19ef07…
10-23 20:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xeddebe…
10-23 20:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5b996d…
10-23 20:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x68b8a1…
10-23 20:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x513d42…
10-23 20:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x18df1c…
10-23 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x18d43c…
10-23 20:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9383f8…
10-23 20:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcba37d…
10-23 20:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x70660b…
10-23 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x24a8be…
10-23 20:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x103b5d…
10-23 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x57aff4…
10-23 20:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc2ea17…
10-23 20:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0ae3e3…
10-23 20:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa9ee7a…
10-23 20:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xfa2e79…
10-23 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x13c113…
10-23 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xceb0c2…
10-23 20:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3a71a9…
10-23 20:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6983f3…
10-23 20:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4d71a8…
10-23 20:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc56cda…
10-23 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x481ce6…
10-23 20:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x80c3f5…
10-23 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x19442f…
10-23 20:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1c7e2a…
10-23 20:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa17f2b…
10-23 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x81775b…
10-23 19:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xff1bd3…
10-23 19:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x083971…
10-23 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x1e9633…
10-23 19:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x07c5d5…
10-23 19:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1312dd…
10-23 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbe5098…
10-23 19:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8a768c…
10-23 19:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdfb8e9…
10-23 19:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x88dd68…