Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$205
Trades
35
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,033
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 15:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $75 | $75 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $8 | $93 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $36 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $55 | $55 |
| Median | 7 | — | $33 | $33 |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $13 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $27 | $27 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-14 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +35 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-15 09:00 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 7 | 05-15 14:29 |
| Graceful-Patriot 0x8c70…1d71 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 10:19 |
| Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-15 12:06 |
| Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:37 |
| Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 02:55 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-15 13:41 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-15 08:34 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 12:09 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 08:39 |
| Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 08:30 |
| Short-Hatchet 0x7ad7…b931 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:15 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 10:15 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 08:14 |
| Beloved-Millennium 0xa8c2…e6c5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 15:41 |
| Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 07:19 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 13:10 |
| Wide-Eyed-Literature 0x4198…959c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:04 |
| Trifling-Compass 0x1d39…5c77 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 15:41:27 | Beloved-Millennium 0xa8c2…e6c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x918c1a… |
| 05-15 14:29:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xc4c617… |
| 05-15 14:29:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x55f3db… |
| 05-15 13:41:24 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x423dd8… |
| 05-15 13:34:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x36d14f… |
| 05-15 13:10:55 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x088181… |
| 05-15 13:01:04 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xf66b76… |
| 05-15 12:09:24 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xdb0fe9… |
| 05-15 12:06:19 | Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | No | BUY | 16 | 83¢ | $13 | 0x403c53… |
| 05-15 10:19:39 | Graceful-Patriot 0x8c70…1d71 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb22287… |
| 05-15 10:15:39 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x4e73ce… |
| 05-15 10:15:24 | Short-Hatchet 0x7ad7…b931 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x13fb51… |
| 05-15 09:37:13 | Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb7a019… |
| 05-15 09:36:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x77c2fa… |
| 05-15 09:31:53 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x7f650d… |
| 05-15 09:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 35 | 80¢ | $28 | 0x493b95… |
| 05-15 08:34:27 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x8544c4… |
| 05-15 08:30:04 | Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x96e78d… |
| 05-15 08:29:15 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x6e17c4… |
| 05-15 08:00:58 | Trifling-Compass 0x1d39…5c77 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xa5cbfc… |
| 05-15 07:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xf08e67… |
| 05-15 04:59:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5ac673… |
| 05-15 02:55:35 | Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x667d9f… |
| 05-15 00:58:12 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x90862b… |
| 05-15 00:37:50 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9fb043… |
| 05-14 23:17:24 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xb0d61f… |
| 05-14 22:40:02 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3e343b… |
| 05-14 17:19:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x78e1d9… |
| 05-14 17:19:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xea6240… |
| 05-14 17:19:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x43d83f… |
| 05-14 16:11:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8db291… |
| 05-14 16:11:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x1648c1… |
| 05-14 09:04:07 | Wide-Eyed-Literature 0x4198…959c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x37a3c9… |
| 05-14 08:39:23 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x7f9865… |
| 05-14 08:14:01 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x12795c… |