Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$104
$1,849 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,882
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 14:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $23 | $29 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $37 | $36 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| Median | 6 | — | $23 | $23 |
| Below median | 9 | $8 | $2 | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $6 | $1 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Plain-Roast 0xa336…43f1 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 05-13 08:39 |
| Odd-Canoe 0x6e2a…967b | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 12:20 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Easy-Discussion 0xc65a…a48e | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 21:24 |
| Healthy-Perp 0xd05f…0ba5 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 15:38 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 08:39 |
| Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:14 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:21 |
| Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:55 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:19 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:43 |
| Feline-Differential 0xce4e…1747 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:15 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:19:18 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x9172b8… |
| 05-14 13:43:01 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x93f19d… |
| 05-14 12:20:48 | Odd-Canoe 0x6e2a…967b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x92f904… |
| 05-14 12:19:20 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x59b2fd… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xda3c2d… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xc965e5… |
| 05-14 09:59:25 | Healthy-Perp 0xd05f…0ba5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x76ca3d… |
| 05-14 08:19:21 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd39946… |
| 05-14 03:15:10 | Feline-Differential 0xce4e…1747 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $2 | 0xab727d… |
| 05-14 01:55:10 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x5018b7… |
| 05-14 01:09:56 | Plain-Roast 0xa336…43f1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x1d9d37… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x66902f… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xe06cc4… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x9b60b2… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8662ab… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x311fa6… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xafde5c… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x2a196f… |
| 05-13 21:24:32 | Easy-Discussion 0xc65a…a48e | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xa417b9… |
| 05-13 21:21:44 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xba7b39… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x91a4b3… |
| 05-13 17:37:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x1d4067… |
| 05-13 17:37:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0x2304e8… |
| 05-13 17:37:32 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x6f057d… |
| 05-13 15:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x8592b4… |
| 05-13 14:53:33 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xa011b5… |
| 05-13 12:23:26 | Bony-Retailer 0xa259…6597 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x0ac5e4… |
| 05-13 09:58:11 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x5ce4e7… |
| 05-13 08:39:28 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x8f0b9e… |
| 05-13 08:39:26 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x18c780… |
| 05-13 08:39:26 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xf1cf61… |
| 05-13 08:39:24 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x54681d… |
| 05-13 05:14:16 | Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x6a4919… |
| 05-13 05:12:30 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x992290… |
| 05-13 05:12:09 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x9941a3… |