Easy-Discussion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$266

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

1,918

Trades

2,975

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-04 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

100% 71% -$233

Politics

0% 0% -$33

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 4?	3	$47	40	10	+30	No	+$2	06-03 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 4?	3	$47	40	10	+30	No	+$2	06-03 08:34
highest temperature in london on march 11 2026 14c	3	$40	26	26	+0	No	$0	03-11 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 4?	3	$38	35	10	+25	No	+$2	06-03 20:49
highest temperature in toronto on march 1 2026 neg 5c	4	$35	21	21	+0	No	+$6	03-01 22:19
highest temperature in paris on march 8 2026 15c	2	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	03-08 15:19
highest temperature in london on march 3 2026 13c	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$7	03-03 13:27
highest temperature in paris on march 9 2026 16c	3	$34	19	19	+0	No	+$4	03-09 11:51
highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 3c	3	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$6	03-03 06:53
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	1	$33	1,618	0	+1,618	No	-$33	07-04 08:24
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 7c	4	$33	66	51	+15	No	+$13	03-18 05:34
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 15c	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$7	03-02 13:52
highest temperature in miami on march 8 2026 82 83f	4	$32	19	19	+0	No	+$7	03-08 19:20
highest temperature in chicago on february 10 2026 40 41f	5	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$4	02-10 15:55
highest temperature in london on march 3 2026 15c	2	$31	19	19	+0	No	+$6	03-03 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?	4	$31	38	0	+38	Yes	-$31	06-01 20:01
highest temperature in paris on february 24 2026 17c	3	$29	17	17	+0	No	+$4	02-24 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-09 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 12?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-11 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 4?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-03 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 4?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-03 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 9?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-08 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 6?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-05 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 6?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-05 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-10 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 6?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-05 07:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 8?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-07 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 8?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-07 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 4?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-03 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 12?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	06-11 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 08:24:08	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	1,618	2¢	$33	0xb932bc…
06-12 13:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x202d07…
06-12 12:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x7c754b…
06-12 04:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xdba43c…
06-12 02:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x3e3b0a…
06-12 02:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa1ff31…
06-12 01:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x231a38…
06-12 01:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x590227…
06-12 00:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x029a90…
06-12 00:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x840b6a…
06-11 23:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xbd77bd…
06-11 23:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x712cad…
06-11 23:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x42d405…
06-11 23:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x24b29e…
06-11 22:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x723aea…
06-11 18:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x6d50c0…
06-11 17:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xef148d…
06-11 17:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 12?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x2d8907…
06-11 12:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0xb2128a…
06-11 08:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x732a88…
06-11 08:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe531e7…
06-11 08:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb8a6f8…
06-11 05:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x3092aa…
06-11 02:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7f7770…
06-11 01:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x88104f…
06-11 01:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc4c2ec…
06-11 00:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9cd69d…
06-10 23:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x1b5c39…
06-10 22:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xbf98b0…
06-10 20:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2565c9…
06-10 18:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 11?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xa1cbd8…
06-10 17:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x065d22…
06-10 14:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0xf7c9be…
06-10 09:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x9b634e…
06-10 07:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd7abd9…
06-10 07:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf3d31b…
06-10 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf0b1f1…
06-10 06:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x836e6d…
06-10 06:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaaaba8…
06-10 05:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x49e532…
06-10 05:23:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 10?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6ce504…
06-10 04:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x0c5f1f…
06-10 03:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x67ce0e…
06-10 01:57:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 10?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x9248ac…
06-10 01:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4b11b3…
06-10 00:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd6a5ae…
06-10 00:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 10?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x81fab4…
06-09 23:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8a51eb…
06-09 23:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcbc675…
06-09 22:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0xe2589c…
06-09 22:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x767c2d…
06-09 20:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 10?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x0dd373…
06-09 16:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 10?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xe002f4…
06-09 15:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd2fd9a…
06-09 09:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8011d8…
06-09 09:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x56a8d3…
06-09 06:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e3fb5…
06-09 05:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4c5a84…
06-09 03:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xaabac8…
06-09 03:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xa8d6d3…
06-09 00:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x18ad6d…
06-09 00:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x2a28f5…
06-09 00:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf8ba39…
06-08 23:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x0cc859…
06-08 22:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 10?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x91ed05…
06-08 21:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xdcfd6c…
06-08 21:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2a2b57…
06-08 19:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x478ed4…
06-08 18:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 9?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x3a53e5…
06-08 18:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xab341c…
06-08 17:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 9?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5294d2…
06-08 16:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbb1a0e…
06-08 16:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x4d625b…
06-08 14:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x31dd36…
06-08 13:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x36bfd2…
06-08 13:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x827818…
06-08 09:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 8?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x5fbd1c…
06-08 06:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xa96dfb…
06-08 06:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xcd8817…
06-08 04:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xff8ed2…
06-08 01:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xcbefa6…
06-08 00:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x0713f2…
06-07 23:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 8?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x8a55d6…
06-07 22:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc81fb0…
06-07 21:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 8?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x06ab80…
06-07 20:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 8?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x36a958…
06-07 20:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xbc4404…
06-07 18:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 8?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x983f55…
06-07 18:18:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 8?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcc23a5…
06-07 17:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on June 8?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xdb5e74…
06-07 17:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x38548a…
06-07 17:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 8?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$22	0xfea7f5…
06-07 14:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7dc9fa…
06-07 14:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x0107bf…
06-07 11:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x75565f…
06-07 09:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xd2cde6…
06-07 09:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x0e60a7…
06-07 09:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8687df…
06-06 18:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 7?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8a7d52…
06-06 18:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 7?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x2ab905…