Reflecting-Migrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

976

Trades

1,644

lifetime

Volume

$9.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-07 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

100% 74% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 20?	5	$50	64	+64	Yes	-$50	07-19 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 11?	4	$40	56	+56	Yes	-$40	09-10 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 7?	4	$40	55	+55	Yes	-$40	09-06 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 12?	4	$40	55	+55	No	+$15	09-11 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 9?	4	$40	55	+55	No	+$15	09-08 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 19?	4	$40	47	+47	No	+$7	07-18 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?	4	$34	65	+65	Yes	-$34	07-06 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 1?	3	$31	43	+43	No	+$12	07-31 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 10?	3	$31	36	+36	No	+$5	07-09 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?	3	$31	42	+42	Yes	-$31	09-10 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 7?	3	$31	39	+39	No	+$8	09-06 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 8?	3	$30	34	+34	Yes	-$30	09-07 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 3?	3	$30	38	+38	No	+$8	09-02 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 2?	3	$30	39	+39	Yes	-$30	08-01 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30?	3	$30	45	+45	No	+$15	07-29 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?	3	$30	40	+40	No	+$10	07-08 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 9?	3	$30	40	+40	No	+$10	09-08 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 5?	3	$30	37	+37	No	+$7	09-04 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	3	$30	49	+49	Yes	-$30	09-09 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on July 31?	3	$30	37	+37	No	+$7	07-30 23:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?	3	$30	45	+45	No	+$15	07-14 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 21?	3	$29	38	+38	No	+$9	07-20 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	6	$29	37	+37	No	+$8	09-24 21:47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or higher on April 30?	6	$27	95	+95	Yes	-$27	04-29 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?	5	$26	38	+38	No	+$12	06-04 23:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 28?	5	$26	40	+40	No	+$14	04-27 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24?	5	$25	35	+35	Yes	-$25	09-23 16:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?	5	$25	38	+38	Yes	-$25	06-08 20:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	5	$25	40	+40	No	+$15	04-27 21:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18?	5	$25	31	+31	Yes	-$25	09-17 23:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 22:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5ea6ee…
10-07 08:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x78f960…
10-05 20:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 6?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x115f85…
10-05 19:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 7?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa9d774…
10-05 17:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf1f197…
10-05 14:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 7?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x9a7fd2…
10-05 05:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xde1d48…
10-04 21:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xa0a242…
10-03 23:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f21a7…
10-03 23:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x15397c…
10-03 22:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x59467d…
10-02 23:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x975530…
10-02 15:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xaed83b…
10-02 15:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x4737b0…
10-02 05:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2d7b56…
10-01 22:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfc92f7…
10-01 21:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5b5a2c…
10-01 21:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xc8efa5…
10-01 16:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x37b402…
10-01 16:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x72a806…
10-01 16:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x564ebb…
10-01 05:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x7a0c62…
09-30 22:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd7b74c…
09-30 22:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc92141…
09-30 17:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x742c0b…
09-30 16:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 1?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xf78454…
09-30 16:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x93d626…
09-30 16:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xeb8d3e…
09-30 16:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x381d28…
09-29 21:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xdd4313…
09-29 21:13:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x1a5a3e…
09-29 20:30:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x02c2d8…
09-29 16:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x679288…
09-29 16:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe44ccc…
09-29 16:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 30?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6a12cd…
09-29 08:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe9919a…
09-29 06:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfeaded…
09-28 23:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x7e7a7d…
09-28 22:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7226e4…
09-28 21:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x6bb7a9…
09-28 16:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6e2df3…
09-28 05:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xea163e…
09-27 23:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x63e8c5…
09-27 22:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe035f7…
09-27 21:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 28?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xcfb31a…
09-27 17:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x9dcb5b…
09-27 17:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0f36a2…
09-27 16:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0f8d61…
09-27 16:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe1a66a…
09-27 16:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x7c7c8e…
09-26 21:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5d0d2a…
09-26 19:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6fc150…
09-26 14:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x1a3590…
09-26 14:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x0d8428…
09-26 10:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xfe4216…
09-26 09:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x774ae7…
09-26 08:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 27?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2a1efc…
09-26 05:46:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 27?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd45886…
09-26 00:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9546b3…
09-25 23:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 26?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0d4a8d…
09-25 22:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 26?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9d16bd…
09-25 22:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x46a379…
09-25 22:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcd5a82…
09-25 21:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7a5b27…
09-25 16:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 26?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xec1ae9…
09-25 16:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1af929…
09-25 16:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfd2811…
09-25 10:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb1e321…
09-25 05:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 26?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x297980…
09-25 05:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 26?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x60e9c6…
09-25 05:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 26?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x513dc6…
09-24 21:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x35ac7d…
09-24 21:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1194b4…
09-24 11:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 25?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd8c614…
09-24 11:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x897a9c…
09-24 08:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 25?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8a14f6…
09-24 08:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 25?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5df752…
09-24 05:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 25?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3c5ede…
09-24 03:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x0e419e…
09-23 20:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xd7a97a…
09-23 16:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc7e5ad…
09-23 16:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x34f13c…
09-23 16:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdb1872…
09-23 15:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 25?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3a8f9e…
09-23 13:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x690fba…
09-23 11:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0c4843…
09-23 06:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 24?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xe88d30…
09-23 05:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2c6940…
09-23 05:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x26305e…
09-23 00:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 24?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1bf2e0…
09-22 22:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xecb72a…
09-22 20:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1d46d3…
09-22 16:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xde0fee…
09-22 16:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x62dfef…
09-22 14:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x874be1…
09-22 14:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 23?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf38996…
09-22 12:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7a758b…
09-22 11:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1ed65c…
09-22 08:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x98c845…
09-22 06:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x62a0a7…