Broken-Consensus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

15,689

Trades

97,211

lifetime

Volume

$91.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-30 04:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

100% 87% +$1,381

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	132	$545	573	-573	Yes	-$28	04-24 16:05
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	93	$383	450	-450	Yes	-$67	04-18 00:24
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 17c	131	$317	632	-632	Yes	-$315	04-17 08:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	132	$293	637	-637	No	+$293	04-17 08:46
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 19c	67	$274	324	-324	Yes	-$50	04-16 21:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	82	$263	394	-394	Yes	-$131	05-13 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	53	$235	254	-254	Yes	-$18	05-10 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	75	$232	366	-366	Yes	-$134	05-06 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	63	$228	283	-283	Yes	-$55	04-27 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	63	$208	292	-292	Yes	-$84	05-01 15:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 29c	53	$205	238	-238	Yes	-$33	04-13 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	72	$203	347	-347	No	+$203	04-25 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?	51	$201	242	-242	Yes	-$41	04-25 09:14
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 28c	46	$192	226	-226	Yes	-$34	04-13 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	46	$190	220	-220	Yes	-$30	05-13 06:47
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 64 65f	62	$189	274	-274	Yes	-$85	04-24 21:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?	66	$189	316	-316	Yes	-$127	04-30 17:45
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	57	$187	274	-274	Yes	-$87	04-17 12:52
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 17c	56	$183	269	-269	Yes	-$86	04-13 07:55
highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 27c	47	$179	225	-225	Yes	-$46	04-12 07:44
highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 10c	39	$174	187	-187	Yes	-$12	04-22 14:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	61	$174	299	-299	Yes	-$125	05-01 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?	39	$171	183	-183	Yes	-$13	05-16 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	48	$167	226	-226	Yes	-$59	05-15 07:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 13 2026 19c	38	$167	182	-182	Yes	-$15	04-13 06:40
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	58	$166	271	-271	Yes	-$105	04-19 10:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	73	$163	347	-347	Yes	-$184	04-15 04:27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	46	$163	211	-211	Yes	-$49	05-06 23:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	63	$159	293	-293	Yes	-$134	05-04 21:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	45	$158	207	-207	Yes	-$48	04-27 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 04:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x02c669…
07-30 04:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe15177…
07-30 04:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x233f23…
07-30 04:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3434be…
07-30 04:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd2fda6…
07-30 04:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa6bae1…
07-30 04:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6637aa…
07-30 04:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x686962…
07-30 04:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4cc011…
07-30 04:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd85367…
07-30 04:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9f3b88…
07-30 04:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf90b55…
07-30 04:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5c9914…
07-30 04:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6e654f…
07-30 04:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xc09232…
07-30 04:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x89d682…
07-30 04:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x880c4d…
07-30 04:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xba34bd…
07-30 04:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x691b4b…
07-30 04:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x83122f…
07-30 04:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x95fc75…
07-30 04:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x566dce…
07-30 04:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x08ec92…
07-30 04:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdc65b4…
07-30 04:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x103134…
07-30 04:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xe06c8f…
07-30 04:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x040ff5…
07-30 04:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9534a0…
07-30 04:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x89c59e…
07-30 04:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8010ba…
07-30 04:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0xaa64d2…
07-30 04:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8decdf…
07-30 04:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xaba33d…
07-30 04:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x82bd7a…
07-30 04:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x79c466…
07-30 04:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xbc18a7…
07-30 04:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x9cd748…
07-30 04:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0cfb27…
07-30 04:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa668c2…
07-30 04:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x72bf74…
07-30 04:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf99861…
07-30 04:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xef47af…
07-30 04:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2eadf8…
07-30 04:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfde421…
07-30 04:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x087add…
07-30 04:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xd27659…
07-30 04:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xada9d7…
07-30 04:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3dadb0…
07-30 04:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd62f08…
07-30 04:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1cce4b…
07-30 04:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3a9be5…
07-30 04:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf812d2…
07-30 04:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbf63a2…
07-30 04:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x54576a…
07-30 04:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x09fe65…
07-30 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x948811…
07-30 04:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x94e685…
07-30 04:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd9bf17…
07-30 04:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x17d3c7…
07-30 04:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb808af…
07-30 04:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xefe9a1…
07-30 04:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd7facd…
07-30 04:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x3f8827…
07-30 04:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3118e3…
07-30 04:03:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa9af1f…
07-30 04:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 31?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3ff422…
07-30 04:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdc5c77…
07-05 02:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6d3a12…
07-05 02:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa5f798…
07-05 02:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6acaf7…
07-05 02:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdf1317…
07-05 02:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1db1ee…
07-05 02:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd034b4…
07-05 02:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xab1ea4…
07-05 02:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x852deb…
07-05 02:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x5f0603…
07-05 02:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x358b6c…
07-05 02:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x99d1a2…
07-05 02:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5de76e…
07-05 02:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x27ecbe…
07-05 02:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x0aeca8…
07-05 02:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x633ec4…
07-05 02:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x1af8ef…
07-05 02:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x07e749…
07-05 02:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0ac704…
07-05 02:10:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xa059ef…
07-05 02:10:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe88c29…
07-05 02:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe67d10…
07-05 02:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x54d492…
07-05 02:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xbd9b23…
07-05 01:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x083359…
07-05 01:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 5?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x321191…
07-05 01:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 5?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x75adb3…
07-05 01:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3df4dd…
07-05 01:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe7b227…
07-05 01:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x81290b…
07-05 01:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xafb074…
07-05 01:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa1bf81…
07-05 01:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xcc9623…
07-05 01:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x303486…