Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
open
Total volume
$1,936
$3,732 in 24h
Trades
102
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$1,710
Latest YES mid
89¢
Latest NO mid
11¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 01:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+21.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $124
vs crowd: 79% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $5 | $77 | $72 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $115 | $115 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 66 | $1.2K | $129 | +$1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $124 | — | +$124 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $647 | $23 | +$624 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $58 | $58 |
| Median | 14 | $103 | $31 | +$72 |
| Below median | 17 | $35 | $12 | +$24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $34 | $3 | +$30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $226 | $126 | +$100 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $5 | $67 | $62 |
| unranked | 8 | $30 | $2 | +$28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Circular-Pronoun 0x6f22…e113 | Yes | +412 | $354 | $354 | 2 | 05-13 00:46 |
| Dependable-Pavement 0x5a2b…c3cb | No | +265 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 05-12 21:57 |
| Remorseful-Smell 0xde72…b5b1 | Yes | +252 | $220 | $220 | 2 | 05-13 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | +238 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 05-12 23:42 |
| Concerned-Flung 0x662e…4b20 | Yes | +149 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 05-12 23:17 |
| Plump-Prey 0x855e…de25 | Yes | +133 | $121 | $121 | 3 | 05-13 00:58 |
| Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | Yes | +127 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-12 01:29 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +83 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 05-13 01:31 |
| Muddy-Jewelry 0xde0d…387c | Yes | +69 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-12 11:02 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +64 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-12 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | +62 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | No | +60 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 00:17 |
| Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | +52 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-12 21:36 |
| Pleasing-Bagpipe 0xf420…eab9 | Yes | +49 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-12 23:08 |
| Royal-Manhunt 0x276b…a5fa | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 21:32 |
| Gloomy-History 0xe2f7…36c9 | Yes | +43 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 01:13 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +38 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 01:06 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-11 20:23 |
| Naughty-Mattock 0x886a…0944 | Yes | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 01:03 |
| Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | Yes | +26 | $9 | $196 | 6 | 05-13 01:17 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 07:46 |
| Whirlwind-Ethyl 0x7fbc…9f90 | Yes | +24 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 11:07 |
| Bland-Emitter 0x4112…20ba | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-13 00:38 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 06:21 |
| Half-Sidecar-Theft 0x5680…b385 | Yes | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 00:21 |
| Indelible-Generosity 0x245a…d2c8 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:31 |
| Unusual-Inlaws 0x278e…6a5e | Yes | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 22:31 |
| Doting-Analytics 0x85ac…e7dc | No | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 18:27 |
| Royal-Fortune 0x85c8…4066 | Yes | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Jaunty-Malice-Marten 0x0e5c…c55d | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8bc…37d1 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:36 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 11:37 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 12:57 |
| Bouncy-Piety 0x47cf…5732 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa12f…9f41 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:17 |
| Forked-Rope 0xd576…f247 | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:43 |
| Damaged-Gastropod 0x40a4…3d8a | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:51 |
| Watery-Boatyard 0x4477…fb85 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:17 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 05:18 |
| Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:48 |
| Scented-Nylon 0x77fe…baf3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 11:27 |
| Frequent-Bachelor 0x2997…9ec6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:36 |
| Pessimistic-Condition 0xf255…a6e8 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Bold-Faucet 0x6bd0…eda6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5340…ba2b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:17 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Double-Tracksuit 0x3e42…c476 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 01:31:21 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x56775e… |
| 05-13 01:17:49 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0xe72596… |
| 05-13 01:13:11 | Remorseful-Smell 0xde72…b5b1 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 91¢ | $120 | 0xe7ae31… |
| 05-13 01:06:53 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x826edb… |
| 05-13 01:03:12 | Naughty-Mattock 0x886a…0944 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x9c46cd… |
| 05-13 01:02:25 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xe0b445… |
| 05-13 01:02:22 | Bouncy-Piety 0x47cf…5732 | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x81dd3a… |
| 05-13 01:00:51 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x119126… |
| 05-13 00:58:41 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | Yes | SELL | 206 | 91¢ | $187 | 0x9b6bb2… |
| 05-13 00:58:36 | Plump-Prey 0x855e…de25 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 92¢ | $95 | 0x7f8534… |
| 05-13 00:56:16 | Plump-Prey 0x855e…de25 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xdc2daa… |
| 05-13 00:56:12 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xf3795c… |
| 05-13 00:56:09 | Plump-Prey 0x855e…de25 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 91¢ | $22 | 0xd2716f… |
| 05-13 00:53:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x0a1d77… |
| 05-13 00:51:10 | Damaged-Gastropod 0x40a4…3d8a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xf3484d… |
| 05-13 00:47:59 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | No | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x784975… |
| 05-13 00:46:19 | Circular-Pronoun 0x6f22…e113 | Yes | BUY | 288 | 90¢ | $260 | 0xb59c35… |
| 05-13 00:38:16 | Bland-Emitter 0x4112…20ba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x4a6c39… |
| 05-13 00:37:38 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x54ad2b… |
| 05-13 00:37:38 | Bland-Emitter 0x4112…20ba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x125f0a… |
| 05-13 00:36:36 | (anonymous) 0xb8bc…37d1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x79e77e… |
| 05-13 00:21:25 | Half-Sidecar-Theft 0x5680…b385 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x628f9e… |
| 05-13 00:18:10 | Remorseful-Smell 0xde72…b5b1 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 83¢ | $100 | 0x44b36f… |
| 05-13 00:17:21 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | No | BUY | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0xbd8936… |
| 05-13 00:17:20 | Watery-Boatyard 0x4477…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xd7f224… |
| 05-13 00:16:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x07811f… |
| 05-13 00:16:20 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xe7bd27… |
| 05-13 00:16:20 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x75019b… |
| 05-13 00:16:20 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x20bc12… |
| 05-13 00:16:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x0c6939… |
| 05-13 00:16:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x276195… |
| 05-13 00:02:46 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xcc29b2… |
| 05-12 23:42:23 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 45 | 19¢ | $9 | 0x2278b5… |
| 05-12 23:31:15 | Indelible-Generosity 0x245a…d2c8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xc3ec64… |
| 05-12 23:17:18 | (anonymous) 0x5340…ba2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x70b07a… |
| 05-12 23:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xa12f…9f41 | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x4d3053… |
| 05-12 23:17:11 | Concerned-Flung 0x662e…4b20 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 83¢ | $124 | 0x5cf927… |
| 05-12 23:13:39 | (anonymous) 0xb4de…f9c4 | No | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x9d0d41… |
| 05-12 23:08:07 | Pleasing-Bagpipe 0xf420…eab9 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 83¢ | $41 | 0x383ff3… |
| 05-12 22:36:00 | Frequent-Bachelor 0x2997…9ec6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x7b589c… |
| 05-12 22:31:41 | Unusual-Inlaws 0x278e…6a5e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 78¢ | $9 | 0x6abdd6… |
| 05-12 22:22:42 | Circular-Pronoun 0x6f22…e113 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 76¢ | $94 | 0x6eba98… |
| 05-12 21:57:27 | Dependable-Pavement 0x5a2b…c3cb | No | BUY | 265 | 30¢ | $79 | 0x98ee05… |
| 05-12 21:43:04 | Forked-Rope 0xd576…f247 | No | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xbd3a14… |
| 05-12 21:36:35 | Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 75¢ | $39 | 0x1a50f7… |
| 05-12 19:16:23 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x4defc9… |
| 05-12 19:01:34 | Pessimistic-Condition 0xf255…a6e8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x1859ae… |
| 05-12 18:27:35 | Doting-Analytics 0x85ac…e7dc | No | BUY | 12 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x4aa1ec… |
| 05-12 17:46:26 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 193 | 30¢ | $58 | 0x03a26f… |
| 05-12 17:36:31 | Bold-Faucet 0x6bd0…eda6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x0c48ab… |
| 05-12 17:26:36 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0x5a87d7… |
| 05-12 17:26:27 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x12af56… |
| 05-12 17:22:14 | Royal-Fortune 0x85c8…4066 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xf6df7b… |
| 05-12 17:22:05 | Royal-Fortune 0x85c8…4066 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x52295a… |
| 05-12 16:01:26 | Jaunty-Malice-Marten 0x0e5c…c55d | No | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xf5f7a4… |
| 05-12 14:37:58 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x2457dc… |
| 05-12 13:23:00 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 73¢ | $40 | 0xe13143… |
| 05-12 13:22:55 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 72¢ | $54 | 0xc9e488… |
| 05-12 12:57:48 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x511069… |
| 05-12 11:37:48 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x09737f… |
| 05-12 11:27:37 | Scented-Nylon 0x77fe…baf3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xbdab84… |
| 05-12 11:07:44 | Whirlwind-Ethyl 0x7fbc…9f90 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 61¢ | $15 | 0xbfa755… |
| 05-12 11:02:29 | Muddy-Jewelry 0xde0d…387c | Yes | BUY | 69 | 60¢ | $42 | 0xc397cc… |
| 05-12 08:52:36 | Tired-Synod 0xe750…7bd6 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 58¢ | $24 | 0xd7c5e6… |
| 05-12 08:22:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x71194b… |
| 05-12 08:22:30 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x84d333… |
| 05-12 07:46:18 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 25 | 62¢ | $15 | 0x2016ae… |
| 05-12 06:21:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xa102dd… |
| 05-12 06:01:08 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0xbe507b… |
| 05-12 05:20:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xa07740… |
| 05-12 05:14:50 | Windy-Weeder 0x71c9…9626 | Yes | SELL | 122 | 18¢ | $22 | 0x5940e2… |
| 05-12 02:48:59 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xbc6d93… |
| 05-12 01:29:02 | Violent-Spirituality 0xc60b…d9f7 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 14¢ | $18 | 0x945895… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Gloomy-History 0xe2f7…36c9 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 20¢ | $9 | 0x5ae2a4… |
| 05-12 01:13:17 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xc587c4… |
| 05-12 01:13:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x9c7f98… |
| 05-12 00:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x415d94… |
| 05-12 00:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xb79c90… |
| 05-12 00:33:16 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 64 | 90¢ | $58 | 0x0190d3… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7a9c72… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3ee616… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x30c56e… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2c61d2… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x493d55… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb0d555… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8978a1… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8376b9… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6effda… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xac6d6b… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc1de1e… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x59bf0e… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbf56a7… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd56731… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4d8fd5… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb4e258… |
| 05-11 23:52:01 | Tired-Synod 0xe750…7bd6 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xd171f9… |
| 05-11 21:32:52 | Royal-Manhunt 0x276b…a5fa | Yes | BUY | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xc8a7df… |
| 05-11 20:23:04 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x44db56… |
| 05-11 14:21:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa5aa24… |
| 05-11 05:18:39 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x12e0d1… |