Remorseful-Smell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

2.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,636

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$64

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-11 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

77% — —

Politics

16% 0% $-6

Sports

4% 0% $-64

Crypto

3% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$60	64¢	$64	+$4	06-11 08:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$1.9K	12,346	0	+12,346	open	—	05-22 13:28
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	5	$621	708	0	+708	open	—	04-24 07:16
highest temperature in hong kong on april 6 2026 28c	2	$446	249	247	+2	open	—	04-06 17:51
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	9	$367	312	212	+100	open	—	03-24 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?	23	$324	378	377	+1	open	—	04-26 04:34
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	7	$312	320	315	+5	open	—	04-19 05:58
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 27c	8	$307	454	0	+454	open	—	04-09 06:32
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	3	$264	508	200	+308	open	—	04-03 10:00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$241	956	956	+0	open	—	04-11 05:13
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	2	$199	100	200	-100	open	—	03-26 05:23
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	18	$194	139	139	+0	open	—	03-28 07:02
highest temperature in hong kong on april 5 2026 24c	9	$193	298	298	+0	open	—	04-05 14:19
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$168	218	218	+0	open	—	04-24 05:36
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	16	$160	230	230	+0	open	—	03-29 07:30
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	4	$158	200	0	+200	open	—	04-07 14:19
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 28c	13	$157	97	96	+1	open	—	04-23 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	2	$156	214	150	+64	open	—	04-28 04:47
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	2	$152	100	98	+2	open	—	04-04 13:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 17c	5	$148	120	116	+4	open	—	04-07 05:57
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 23c	4	$145	210	39	+171	open	—	04-23 15:08
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	12	$140	200	195	+5	open	—	04-24 01:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	32	$139	159	159	+0	open	—	04-15 06:12
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	10	$133	500	300	+200	open	—	03-24 14:20
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	4	$132	176	176	+0	open	—	04-24 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	4	$131	150	150	+0	open	—	04-27 05:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 17:16
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	9	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	04-14 05:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	3	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 16:35
highest temperature in madrid on april 7 2026 23corhigher	6	$113	152	0	+152	open	—	04-07 14:34
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 29c	15	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:38:48	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0xc899b7…
06-09 10:11:24	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x44a0e5…
06-08 04:16:18	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0xaffee1…
05-22 13:28:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,268	0¢	$1	0xd80968…
05-21 15:56:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,300	0¢	$3	0xce776b…
05-21 02:27:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$16	0x841fd6…
05-20 03:12:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	666	1¢	$5	0x2b841b…
05-19 03:15:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$11	0x089dd9…
05-16 11:34:34	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,110	0¢	$3	0x0fb122…
05-15 14:51:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	950	80¢	$759	0xc0f3ef…
05-15 14:51:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x5a8446…
05-15 14:19:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0x6306e5…
05-15 14:19:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	308	77¢	$237	0xd7cff8…
05-15 14:18:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	72	77¢	$55	0x32c95f…
05-15 14:18:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	696	77¢	$535	0x0d8f25…
05-10 14:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x898e98…
05-10 14:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x279332…
05-10 14:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf98604…
05-10 11:23:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x51c3f8…
05-10 07:24:32	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	No	SELL	220	2¢	$4	0x5b2b28…
05-09 17:16:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x572212…
05-09 15:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x200ee2…
05-07 19:24:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	48¢	$38	0x4cb853…
05-07 19:21:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9701b6…
05-04 22:20:58	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0x010054…
05-03 19:15:50	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x7073d7…
04-28 10:52:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9af5de…
04-28 09:13:32	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0x8ce2c9…
04-28 08:17:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5fbc99…
04-28 07:52:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc3e3e8…
04-28 07:52:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	251	4¢	$10	0xd85c08…
04-28 06:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x92e497…
04-28 06:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0d61a9…
04-28 06:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	36	61¢	$22	0xe6c86a…
04-28 06:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	36	62¢	$22	0xa70a53…
04-28 05:38:14	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0xfae65c…
04-28 04:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x0524df…
04-28 04:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	150	84¢	$126	0xd06ced…
04-28 04:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x732bc6…
04-28 04:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xe7b7ae…
04-28 04:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0x04bf78…
04-28 02:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x9bda97…
04-28 01:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xb67023…
04-28 01:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	106	7¢	$7	0xce9d68…
04-28 00:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x7cb3b0…
04-27 20:25:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0x7e1702…
04-27 15:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x17d894…
04-27 15:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	226	6¢	$14	0x45f940…
04-27 14:48:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xadb9e5…
04-27 14:18:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7bb83f…
04-27 14:04:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x103faf…
04-27 14:03:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x0b66a7…
04-27 11:34:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x5d77bd…
04-27 10:06:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x1de666…
04-27 09:57:34	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x6e4473…
04-27 09:12:46	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf6fb63…
04-27 09:12:46	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xebb13a…
04-27 09:12:46	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5a0a0d…
04-27 09:12:40	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x9b080c…
04-27 09:12:38	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x287d5e…
04-27 09:12:36	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xbf65f4…
04-27 09:12:36	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x63a83d…
04-27 09:09:42	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x22f444…
04-27 08:59:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x929eb6…
04-27 08:59:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x21bf40…
04-27 08:30:32	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	105	12¢	$12	0x611cb7…
04-27 08:30:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	195	12¢	$23	0x05a8c6…
04-27 08:08:14	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xe0f4dd…
04-27 05:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0xf60254…
04-27 05:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0xee3e25…
04-27 05:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$6	0xe4761e…
04-27 05:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x64ba1f…
04-27 05:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xc72705…
04-27 05:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	75	82¢	$61	0x3548fc…
04-27 04:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xcd868f…
04-27 04:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xc395ec…
04-27 04:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	72	67¢	$48	0xbaa33e…
04-27 04:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x305d7a…
04-27 01:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0x36039e…
04-27 01:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x6c1c97…
04-27 01:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xd58829…
04-27 01:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x9c698f…
04-27 00:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0xbd656c…
04-27 00:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0xa800af…
04-27 00:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x3b926c…
04-27 00:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x395084…
04-27 00:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x66bb80…
04-26 20:43:12	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x1c6afd…
04-26 14:55:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb74e3…
04-26 14:54:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xcbdcee…
04-26 14:44:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0xca7cc0…
04-26 14:43:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb6970f…
04-26 14:43:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2763ce…
04-26 14:08:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc73897…
04-26 14:08:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xba355c…
04-26 11:52:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x02e226…
04-26 11:51:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x7af2a8…
04-26 11:41:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x6e6b7c…
04-26 11:35:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xacfbc8…
04-26 11:21:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x64328c…