Remorseful-Smell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$439

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

581

Trades

2,946

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-15 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

87% 43% +$1,200

Politics

8% 40% -$1,826

Sports

3% 59% +$234

Crypto

1% 42% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$1.9K	12,346	0	+12,346	No	-$1,929	05-22 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	44	$1.6K	1,021	1,021	+0	Yes	-$103	05-13 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?	9	$1.1K	645	645	+0	Yes	+$41	05-10 08:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?	18	$664	627	627	+0	Yes	+$506	05-12 08:30
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	5	$621	708	0	+708	No	+$87	04-24 07:16
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 26?	4	$461	263	263	+0	No	+$65	05-26 12:35
highest temperature in hong kong on april 6 2026 28c	2	$446	249	247	+2	Yes	+$49	04-06 17:51
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	9	$367	312	212	+100	No	+$23	03-24 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	25	$345	691	691	+0	No	+$256	05-10 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	34	$333	787	787	+0	Yes	+$155	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?	23	$324	378	377	+1	No	+$31	04-26 04:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?	10	$321	257	257	+0	Yes	+$168	04-29 15:58
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	7	$312	320	315	+5	Yes	+$219	04-19 05:58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 24?	4	$312	186	186	+0	Yes	+$60	05-24 16:39
highest temperature in hong kong on april 9 2026 27c	8	$307	454	0	+454	No	-$307	04-09 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	30	$299	324	324	+0	Yes	+$103	05-12 05:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?	7	$274	212	212	+0	Yes	+$145	04-30 01:32
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	3	$264	508	200	+308	Yes	+$136	04-03 10:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?	2	$258	620	0	+620	No	-$258	07-21 11:40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 11?	10	$252	220	220	+0	Yes	+$171	05-11 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?	5	$244	223	188	+35	No	+$4	05-17 10:00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$241	956	956	+0	No	+$37	04-11 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?	27	$234	460	460	+0	Yes	-$86	05-08 05:22
Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	13	$233	506	428	+78	No	+$80	07-17 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	7	$226	311	311	+0	Yes	+$115	05-02 07:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 24?	5	$214	127	127	+0	No	+$14	05-25 07:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 2?	9	$210	128	128	+0	Yes	+$26	05-03 02:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?	31	$206	181	181	+0	Yes	+$154	05-02 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?	15	$199	245	245	+0	No	+$16	05-11 06:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	2	$199	100	200	-100	Yes	+$35	03-26 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 12:15:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x8f16ed…
10-15 12:15:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5e63f0…
10-15 12:15:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3da285…
10-15 12:15:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xfc9a27…
10-15 12:10:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xd57a8d…
08-28 02:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xe27b4e…
08-27 20:57:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	135	3¢	$4	0x747057…
08-27 19:23:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x1dd57e…
08-27 19:20:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x03abc0…
08-27 18:46:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9da68b…
08-27 18:31:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe67750…
08-27 18:14:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x08ece0…
08-27 11:44:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe95030…
08-27 11:44:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xb9d8dd…
08-27 11:21:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x1a068c…
08-26 23:38:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x9e3a81…
08-26 21:59:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x2d5a77…
08-26 21:51:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	87	4¢	$3	0xbe5fc9…
08-25 23:28:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	354	0¢	$1	0xcf6325…
08-25 23:07:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaaa8aa…
08-25 22:08:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0xbf5073…
08-25 12:03:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$7	0x0449a9…
08-25 07:41:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x463a80…
08-25 06:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xcf1680…
08-25 05:12:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x1a2eab…
08-25 04:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdf8537…
08-25 04:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x146cd6…
08-25 02:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x61df01…
08-25 01:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0x15a8dd…
08-25 01:45:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	110	9¢	$10	0x600791…
08-24 21:24:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0xb33730…
08-24 05:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x631725…
08-24 05:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x33c935…
08-24 05:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x44f523…
08-24 05:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x1170d8…
08-24 04:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0xb1431e…
08-24 04:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	No	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0xfb56de…
08-24 04:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xfe051b…
08-24 04:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x726d66…
08-24 04:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xe4e539…
08-24 04:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xf56958…
08-24 04:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x6cea6f…
08-24 03:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2883e1…
08-24 03:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe6d22d…
08-23 20:20:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x3dfda6…
08-23 18:52:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc12a76…
08-23 03:38:33	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x2cc4a4…
08-23 03:36:58	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x9aa5ad…
08-22 22:12:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 23?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xe8e494…
08-22 22:12:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 23?	No	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xbc6955…
08-22 22:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xce2368…
08-22 22:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x010359…
08-22 21:48:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf7fab7…
08-22 21:48:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x712c8c…
08-22 21:45:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xa4066a…
08-22 21:36:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x707bc9…
08-22 21:35:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xc591ab…
08-22 21:35:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x0a6538…
08-22 21:32:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xebbf4b…
08-22 21:32:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xffa6d2…
08-22 21:07:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 23?	No	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xeb4e9b…
08-22 20:53:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x470714…
08-22 20:20:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x82e230…
08-21 18:34:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x722640…
08-20 01:33:13	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x883657…
08-16 04:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xaff85b…
08-16 04:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x84d019…
08-16 04:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x74d194…
08-16 04:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x512908…
08-16 04:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x47bdea…
08-16 04:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x26cb1a…
08-16 04:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x12011a…
08-16 04:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x20463f…
08-14 07:45:57	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x76981b…
08-13 08:29:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xf1f5e6…
08-13 08:29:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xbd5761…
08-13 08:29:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x23fffd…
08-13 08:29:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xb92697…
08-13 08:29:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x8a32a0…
08-13 08:29:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x22bad1…
08-13 08:29:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xb5727d…
08-13 08:29:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x02a3a5…
08-13 08:28:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x103b8d…
08-13 08:28:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x34c647…
08-13 08:28:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x2b3a39…
08-13 08:28:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xd6719e…
08-13 08:28:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x86a66e…
08-13 06:41:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x35af9f…
08-13 00:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	77	62¢	$48	0xba93a8…
08-12 21:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xfb7331…
08-11 22:09:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x7863ba…
08-11 22:08:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0xdbfa72…
08-11 22:08:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x20be60…
08-11 15:31:15	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x1ab45e…
08-11 11:02:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x74f112…
08-11 11:01:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x67a1e4…
08-11 11:01:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf63a9b…
08-10 05:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x0b0030…
08-10 05:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x7a9b05…
08-06 05:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x495d41…