Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
open
Total volume
$577
$2,184 in 24h
Trades
87
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$1,770
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 23:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $72 | $72 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $85 | $317 | $232 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | — | $45 | $45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $28 | $2 | +$26 |
| Median | 9 | $1 | $238 | $237 |
| Below median | 11 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $15 | $4 | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $33 | $97 | $64 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe-Downturn 0x51f6…9f18 | No | +213 | $187 | $187 | 1 | 05-11 16:28 |
| Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | +80 | $23 | $24 | 3 | 05-11 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | +70 | $23 | $24 | 3 | 05-11 23:32 |
| 100xFarmer 0x6345…6718 | Yes | +63 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 20:33 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +60 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7f5…1ad7 | No | +53 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 23:07 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +35 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Pleasant-Elevator 0x01c9…6dea | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-11 14:47 |
| Playful-Tissue 0x12e1…51f6 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 13:22 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +28 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-11 19:44 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:01 |
| Yellow-Establishment 0xdf5c…6d37 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 22:13 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Noted-Mechanic 0x1828…6946 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 08:42 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 10:23 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:34 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 15:16 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:03 |
| Gloomy-History 0xe2f7…36c9 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:41 |
| Trained-Pet-Embassy 0x0a15…8e9e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:44 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 11:33 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Acrobatic-Pants 0xbaa5…2fce | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:41 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:16 |
| Rusty-Aspect 0x68df…108e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 23:38:24 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x4ed907… |
| 05-11 23:33:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x4b22d9… |
| 05-11 23:33:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xec7e5b… |
| 05-11 23:33:37 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 28¢ | $16 | 0xd3a285… |
| 05-11 23:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xedc84b… |
| 05-11 23:32:20 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0xd5aad8… |
| 05-11 23:32:17 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x3f8b84… |
| 05-11 23:31:54 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x897210… |
| 05-11 23:31:54 | (anonymous) 0x64ca…67d7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x3eeca4… |
| 05-11 23:31:49 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x9d3e4d… |
| 05-11 23:23:12 | (anonymous) 0xb3da…b638 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 32¢ | $19 | 0xa293e1… |
| 05-11 23:23:11 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xb7e8a8… |
| 05-11 23:23:09 | Granular-Forebear 0x01ce…27a2 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 28¢ | $19 | 0xcf81c4… |
| 05-11 23:07:55 | (anonymous) 0xf7f5…1ad7 | No | BUY | 53 | 76¢ | $40 | 0xccce5a… |
| 05-11 23:01:01 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x7fca49… |
| 05-11 22:13:00 | Yellow-Establishment 0xdf5c…6d37 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xb18017… |
| 05-11 21:17:14 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x7fbd1b… |
| 05-11 20:33:50 | 100xFarmer 0x6345…6718 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x40e42e… |
| 05-11 19:44:59 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xeff348… |
| 05-11 19:04:46 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | No | SELL | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x195c0e… |
| 05-11 18:22:47 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x6f8a99… |
| 05-11 16:28:05 | Severe-Downturn 0x51f6…9f18 | No | BUY | 213 | 88¢ | $187 | 0x794f99… |
| 05-11 14:47:24 | Pleasant-Elevator 0x01c9…6dea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x16710d… |
| 05-11 14:26:11 | Pleasant-Elevator 0x01c9…6dea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x1d0945… |
| 05-11 13:43:17 | Pleasant-Elevator 0x01c9…6dea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd16c22… |
| 05-11 13:22:38 | Playful-Tissue 0x12e1…51f6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xab4de6… |
| 05-11 13:14:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0xde54d7… |
| 05-11 13:14:30 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x26171b… |
| 05-11 13:14:07 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x185457… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x31ace0… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x01e445… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x324ed8… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x89f9f5… |
| 05-11 11:33:16 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xeb4d70… |
| 05-11 11:08:02 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xd05d16… |
| 05-11 10:41:35 | Gloomy-History 0xe2f7…36c9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb484e6… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x96826d… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5ef50a… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x204372… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1917bd… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0f4a79… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xa40ce3… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xf7680b… |
| 05-11 08:42:17 | Noted-Mechanic 0x1828…6946 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x649dec… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x383fc5… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x2314ca… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x19630a… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd7af4a… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xcb6462… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb8e522… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xdd1adb… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xb73fa3… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4931e7… |
| 05-11 05:39:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x4703a5… |
| 05-11 05:02:36 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xd54e4f… |
| 05-11 05:02:34 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xe6c28b… |
| 05-11 04:58:54 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 56 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x0ce63c… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1c9cdb… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x28229d… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x264a8d… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb151be… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfd5dde… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdb1a55… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5477f4… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb34028… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x33df4d… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2a8160… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 33 | 86¢ | $28 | 0x2af3da… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x943251… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa8003c… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x4149d9… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x36ca07… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x407ca0… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2f802f… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbbd56d… |
| 05-11 04:34:10 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6117f7… |
| 05-11 01:44:56 | Trained-Pet-Embassy 0x0a15…8e9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xad9c3a… |
| 05-11 00:54:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x48a631… |
| 05-11 00:12:17 | Rusty-Aspect 0x68df…108e | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x5f8e81… |
| 05-10 15:16:13 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xeeaf31… |
| 05-10 14:16:36 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xbb2b7c… |
| 05-10 14:06:06 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x846ee0… |
| 05-10 13:27:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x97e1ad… |
| 05-10 12:10:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x0bda87… |
| 05-10 11:56:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0xd9d1b4… |
| 05-10 10:41:14 | Acrobatic-Pants 0xbaa5…2fce | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xed5276… |
| 05-10 07:03:24 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x309df5… |