Granular-Forebear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$61

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

1,101

Trades

11,533

lifetime

Volume

$352.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$152

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-28 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Other

99% 42% +$21,585

Crypto

1% 50% -$269

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+200	$56	51¢	$102	+$46	10-13 03:26
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+150	$35	33¢	$50	+$15	10-23 04:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	45	$5.4K	3,311	3,311	+0	Yes	+$177	05-13 08:51
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	64	$4.0K	3,219	2,961	+258	No	-$573	04-23 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	17	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$410	06-06 11:26
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 27c	49	$3.2K	2,167	2,143	+24	No	-$15	04-17 03:25
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 27c	15	$3.2K	1,807	1,788	+19	No	+$380	04-21 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	31	$2.8K	2,045	2,045	+0	Yes	+$522	06-08 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	25	$2.8K	1,455	1,455	+0	Yes	+$145	06-07 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	6	$2.7K	1,352	1,352	+0	No	+$8	06-14 16:43
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	6	$2.7K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$369	08-07 05:02
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	16	$2.4K	2,765	2,265	+500	No	-$1,106	09-02 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	46	$2.2K	1,592	1,592	+0	Yes	+$862	06-05 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	39	$2.1K	1,654	1,654	+0	Yes	+$614	05-06 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	31	$2.1K	1,352	1,352	+0	Yes	+$257	06-14 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	18	$2.0K	1,134	1,132	+2	Yes	+$117	04-28 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	50	$1.9K	1,553	1,553	+0	Yes	+$550	05-12 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	52	$1.9K	1,248	1,248	+0	Yes	+$57	05-25 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	47	$1.9K	1,384	1,384	+0	Yes	+$540	05-05 16:17
highest temperature in hong kong on april 5 2026 24c	50	$1.9K	2,426	2,242	+184	No	-$39	04-05 13:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11?	7	$1.9K	985	985	+0	Yes	+$68	06-11 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	22	$1.9K	1,295	1,295	-0	Yes	+$708	08-09 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?	7	$1.8K	1,093	1,093	-0	No	+$320	06-20 05:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?	7	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$263	06-12 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	3	$1.8K	921	921	+0	No	+$27	05-12 03:30
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	45	$1.8K	1,202	1,187	+15	Yes	+$278	04-17 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	22	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$175	07-13 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	25	$1.8K	1,209	1,209	+0	Yes	+$546	06-02 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	30	$1.7K	1,510	756	+754	Yes	+$355	05-10 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?	39	$1.7K	1,297	1,297	+0	Yes	+$545	05-25 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	19	$1.7K	2,196	471	+1,725	Yes	+$84	05-21 07:17
highest temperature in hong kong on april 15 2026 28c	36	$1.7K	1,683	1,638	+45	Yes	+$245	04-15 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:09:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x6574ff…
10-28 03:48:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$67	0x53b54d…
10-28 02:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x4569b4…
10-28 01:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0xe957e8…
10-28 01:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x1c66d7…
10-28 00:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd3e398…
10-28 00:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xfb7e94…
10-28 00:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x24f03a…
10-28 00:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe1826c…
10-28 00:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x68e512…
10-27 23:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6f0748…
10-27 23:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x0bbf40…
10-27 23:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0b603f…
10-27 22:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x12f117…
10-27 18:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd2bbf2…
10-27 15:01:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0xfa88b3…
10-27 14:54:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x1e3be3…
10-27 14:09:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xe816a1…
10-27 13:10:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x73b31f…
10-27 04:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	65	51¢	$33	0xe70b13…
10-27 04:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x68f505…
10-27 04:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	118	32¢	$38	0x8dee05…
10-27 03:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x173c9a…
10-27 03:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0xd3c033…
10-26 19:17:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	240	81¢	$195	0x46962e…
10-26 19:17:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	89	79¢	$71	0xee71ac…
10-26 19:17:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x324ff5…
10-26 18:52:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xfbd21d…
10-26 17:37:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xa3df7e…
10-26 14:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x666f13…
10-26 08:22:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	198	65¢	$129	0xea20e7…
10-26 07:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	242	41¢	$99	0xc4ecfd…
10-26 07:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x77839c…
10-26 01:49:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	108	55¢	$59	0x56890e…
10-25 16:32:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xc18ffd…
10-25 15:19:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x3d8eed…
10-25 15:14:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x763409…
10-25 15:14:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x80e884…
10-25 13:04:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xaac2fa…
10-25 06:55:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x1d7420…
10-25 06:29:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x5aa466…
10-25 06:08:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x7417ef…
10-25 06:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x66e4d0…
10-25 06:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb2b3be…
10-25 05:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	110	37¢	$41	0x49e36e…
10-25 05:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	90	37¢	$33	0x2b014f…
10-24 19:48:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	37	42¢	$15	0xe573e4…
10-24 19:48:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0xccec72…
10-24 19:47:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x6955fb…
10-24 16:49:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x580f42…
10-24 16:25:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	70	55¢	$39	0x757ec3…
10-24 15:39:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdaee61…
10-24 15:39:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x130971…
10-24 15:38:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x28cc1d…
10-24 15:38:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x1f3b69…
10-24 15:38:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x07d5d0…
10-24 14:51:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe2b0cb…
10-24 14:43:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x94ceff…
10-24 14:43:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5806c4…
10-24 14:42:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2935a2…
10-24 14:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x753777…
10-24 14:10:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xfa9ec7…
10-24 14:06:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x51fad9…
10-24 07:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	66	12¢	$8	0xc98601…
10-24 06:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xa5783d…
10-24 06:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xe3c22c…
10-24 06:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	65	10¢	$7	0xb82983…
10-24 05:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x195adb…
10-24 05:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xf56edb…
10-24 05:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc1b03d…
10-24 05:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xc237b8…
10-24 05:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0x124d2a…
10-24 05:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x9056f8…
10-24 05:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x6c5319…
10-24 05:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x6784a8…
10-24 05:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xbcf785…
10-24 03:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xb06b03…
10-24 01:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	222	7¢	$16	0x571a73…
10-24 01:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcf8c91…
10-24 01:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x538d10…
10-24 01:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	165	5¢	$8	0x563bd0…
10-24 01:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x26be7e…
10-24 01:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0d691d…
10-24 01:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0137c1…
10-24 01:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x02d52e…
10-24 01:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x955af0…
10-24 01:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x57786e…
10-24 01:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x6043b5…
10-24 01:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf9cfbe…
10-24 01:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x9a8935…
10-24 01:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xfbd5d2…
10-24 01:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x6a82b5…
10-24 01:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe238cd…
10-24 01:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x5be852…
10-24 01:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x88a213…
10-24 01:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x60cbd9…
10-24 00:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xf30c16…
10-24 00:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x658d5e…
10-24 00:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xf20799…
10-24 00:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x6261a0…