Granular-Forebear — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$311

Unrealized P&L

+$64

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

11,622 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.40K

$355.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$155

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 11-04 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

99% 42% +$21,895

Crypto

1% 50% -$269

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+200	$56	52¢	$105	+$49	10-13 03:26
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+150	$35	34¢	$50	+$16	10-23 04:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	45	$5.4K	3,311	3,311	+0	Yes	+$177	05-13 08:51
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	64	$4.0K	3,219	2,961	+258	No	-$573	04-23 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	17	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$410	06-06 11:26
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 27c	49	$3.2K	2,167	2,143	+24	No	-$15	04-17 03:25
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 27c	15	$3.2K	1,807	1,788	+19	No	+$380	04-21 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	31	$2.8K	2,045	2,045	+0	Yes	+$522	06-08 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	25	$2.8K	1,455	1,455	+0	Yes	+$145	06-07 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?	6	$2.7K	1,352	1,352	+0	No	+$8	06-14 16:43
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	6	$2.7K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$369	08-07 05:02
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	16	$2.4K	2,765	2,265	+500	No	-$1,106	09-02 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	46	$2.2K	1,592	1,592	+0	Yes	+$862	06-05 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	39	$2.1K	1,654	1,654	+0	Yes	+$614	05-06 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	31	$2.1K	1,352	1,352	+0	Yes	+$257	06-14 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	18	$2.0K	1,134	1,132	+2	Yes	+$117	04-28 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	50	$1.9K	1,553	1,553	+0	Yes	+$550	05-12 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	52	$1.9K	1,248	1,248	+0	Yes	+$57	05-25 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	47	$1.9K	1,384	1,384	+0	Yes	+$540	05-05 16:17
highest temperature in hong kong on april 5 2026 24c	50	$1.9K	2,426	2,242	+184	No	-$39	04-05 13:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11?	7	$1.9K	985	985	+0	Yes	+$68	06-11 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	22	$1.9K	1,295	1,295	-0	Yes	+$708	08-09 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?	7	$1.8K	1,093	1,093	-0	No	+$320	06-20 05:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?	7	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$263	06-12 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	3	$1.8K	921	921	+0	No	+$27	05-12 03:30
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	45	$1.8K	1,202	1,187	+15	Yes	+$278	04-17 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?	22	$1.8K	1,050	1,050	+0	Yes	+$175	07-13 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?	25	$1.8K	1,209	1,209	+0	Yes	+$546	06-02 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	30	$1.7K	1,510	756	+754	Yes	+$355	05-10 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?	39	$1.7K	1,297	1,297	+0	Yes	+$545	05-25 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	19	$1.7K	2,196	471	+1,725	Yes	+$84	05-21 07:17
highest temperature in hong kong on april 15 2026 28c	36	$1.7K	1,683	1,638	+45	Yes	+$245	04-15 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:07:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x24a61c…
11-04 03:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	SELL	52	90¢	$46	0x958014…
11-04 03:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x37155f…
11-04 03:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa6cc97…
11-04 03:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0x2ce4ad…
11-04 03:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0xe9c8c1…
11-04 03:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0x15686a…
11-04 03:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x8d5ddf…
11-04 03:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x613ae9…
11-04 02:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	115	38¢	$44	0x321078…
11-04 01:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0xe36fe9…
11-03 17:26:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	152	9¢	$14	0x14eaa5…
11-03 17:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	115	15¢	$17	0x230631…
11-03 09:41:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	182	19¢	$34	0xa180c8…
11-03 05:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0bfe75…
11-03 05:08:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0xeceae8…
11-03 05:08:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x2bfc19…
11-03 04:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x416ca2…
11-03 04:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xd8694b…
11-03 04:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0xcb0d6d…
11-03 03:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	172	54¢	$93	0xea2e44…
11-03 00:36:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x48b2de…
11-03 00:34:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	No	BUY	43	83¢	$35	0xb27dd2…
11-03 00:33:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	110	74¢	$82	0x08742f…
11-02 20:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xcc34ab…
11-02 20:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x5220ef…
11-02 19:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0xd8ce3c…
11-02 17:46:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe904af…
11-02 17:46:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x891c41…
11-02 17:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x6ea6ad…
11-02 16:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xca0e04…
11-02 14:21:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0x9c9902…
11-02 05:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x812aad…
11-02 05:06:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0x28b4bb…
11-02 05:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0xd68acb…
11-02 03:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xfd3408…
11-02 02:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0xd62162…
11-02 00:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	93	38¢	$35	0x6a9d0a…
11-02 00:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x44a837…
11-02 00:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x76a26f…
11-02 00:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xffb542…
11-02 00:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xbfa84b…
11-02 00:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xa00c26…
11-02 00:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x61a85c…
11-01 17:12:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	56	21¢	$12	0x4ff55c…
11-01 17:11:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x5459e8…
11-01 16:57:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x797af8…
11-01 16:57:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xd2329a…
11-01 16:57:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x139704…
11-01 16:57:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	70	38¢	$26	0xa14942…
11-01 16:57:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x16b070…
10-31 17:19:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0xc0edae…
10-31 17:07:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xbb9076…
10-31 17:07:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x484db4…
10-31 17:02:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x253b91…
10-31 16:59:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xc57f52…
10-31 04:34:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0xa456cf…
10-31 03:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	160	6¢	$10	0x896d69…
10-30 18:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	160	33¢	$53	0x19bf88…
10-30 18:01:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$0	0xcfbac0…
10-30 15:22:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	105	13¢	$14	0x53b0c0…
10-30 10:41:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0xd3d219…
10-30 09:41:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x8af49b…
10-30 05:49:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0xf30fbe…
10-30 04:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x5408cf…
10-30 04:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xbe658f…
10-30 04:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x3ce7c4…
10-30 04:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x9912bc…
10-30 04:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x1c97a9…
10-30 04:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0x13ad29…
10-30 04:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x83bec5…
10-30 04:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x5fbdb2…
10-30 04:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x5860de…
10-30 03:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x7ac111…
10-30 03:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0xf81255…
10-30 03:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0xbbff26…
10-30 02:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfab2a8…
10-30 02:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x4e907b…
10-29 21:51:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x70f617…
10-29 21:38:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xe90a5d…
10-29 13:48:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x868222…
10-29 03:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x720977…
10-29 02:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x255ef3…
10-29 02:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xa84c79…
10-29 02:38:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$117	0x97196a…
10-28 19:38:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x0d6f94…
10-28 19:34:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	83	72¢	$60	0x922d9c…
10-28 19:00:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0x169eaf…
10-28 17:31:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x1046b1…
10-28 05:09:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x6574ff…
10-28 03:48:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$67	0x53b54d…
10-28 02:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x4569b4…
10-28 01:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0xe957e8…
10-28 01:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x1c66d7…
10-28 00:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd3e398…
10-28 00:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xfb7e94…
10-28 00:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x24f03a…
10-28 00:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe1826c…
10-28 00:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x68e512…
10-27 23:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6f0748…