Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$928
$1,823 in 24h
Trades
78
Unique wallets
57
Liquidity
$3,376
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 13:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $5
vs crowd: 6% YES on $892)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $10 | $70 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $40 | $759 | $719 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $2 | $256 | $254 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $10 | $53 | $43 |
| Median | 10 | $14 | $59 | $45 |
| Below median | 12 | $1 | $107 | $106 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $6 | $60 | $54 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $107 | $106 |
| unranked | 4 | $10 | $200 | $190 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unwilling-Tattler 0xa1f5…78a8 | No | +245 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-11 04:32 |
| Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | +242 | $199 | $199 | 3 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | +91 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 05-11 10:58 |
| Well-Informed-Cereal 0x1de8…0e79 | No | +60 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 00:13 |
| Likely-Optimisation 0x298e…107e | No | +60 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 00:13 |
| Content-Clover 0xe744…67a8 | No | +60 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 00:14 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +41 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +37 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 00:04 |
| Nervous-Illness 0x98cd…4478 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 21:31 |
| Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 10:21 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +35 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Informal-Barracks 0x37fd…68af | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:42 |
| Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-11 13:09 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 04:37 |
| Supportive-Basket-Fringe 0x4c48…1c17 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:32 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Frizzy-Street 0xd0f9…ed8a | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-11 03:12 |
| Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe68a…b402 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 12:03 |
| Foolish-Sender 0x2af4…907f | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5434…4493 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 19:08 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 10:23 |
| Superior-Warning 0xc58a…e589 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Yellow-Supervision 0xc599…b1d2 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:34 |
| Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 15:16 |
| Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 09:18 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Another-Prison 0x48a7…4eda | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 01:15 |
| Quarterly-Study 0x4d36…674a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 13:14:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x52ce05… |
| 05-11 13:14:28 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x8b3a37… |
| 05-11 13:14:07 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x59a1a5… |
| 05-11 13:12:55 | Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | BUY | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xac6020… |
| 05-11 13:12:17 | Unwieldy-Stamp 0x506b…b0fe | Yes | SELL | 56 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x768846… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x5a05ac… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Superior-Warning 0xc58a…e589 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6bb363… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Yellow-Supervision 0xc599…b1d2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa9a725… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6eae55… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x5434…4493 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xac5db9… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Foolish-Sender 0x2af4…907f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x29ae4a… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Unwieldy-Stamp 0x506b…b0fe | Yes | BUY | 56 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xa18d8f… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x7d5198… |
| 05-11 13:09:31 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xe20e7d… |
| 05-11 12:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xe68a…b402 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf87f14… |
| 05-11 11:08:02 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xd74df8… |
| 05-11 10:58:03 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x5a8cb0… |
| 05-11 10:32:02 | Quarterly-Study 0x4d36…674a | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe2e082… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x394231… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6399c1… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x14e79f… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x71877b… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x25cb2d… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x2df5a3… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xdd2a46… |
| 05-11 10:21:11 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x0fc1e1… |
| 05-11 09:56:52 | Shameful-Dictionary 0x8a25…ba81 | No | BUY | 83 | 86¢ | $72 | 0x0e7cfe… |
| 05-11 07:40:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xe7086a… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xa64ca5… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb5979b… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x9ec1c5… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x5e529b… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9335c2… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf5f2c5… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbdb4e5… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3f3827… |
| 05-11 04:42:25 | Informal-Barracks 0x37fd…68af | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xd4b950… |
| 05-11 04:38:45 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x9341a9… |
| 05-11 04:38:39 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | BUY | 59 | 83¢ | $49 | 0x8e5309… |
| 05-11 04:38:25 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | BUY | 173 | 82¢ | $142 | 0x0cb951… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe68d7e… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x870cd0… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x650294… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x078164… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x09d801… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x02c432… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x51a7f5… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd0a8c4… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc6290a… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 33 | 82¢ | $27 | 0xdd167c… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7ed8b4… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8e4d50… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0f1ace… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xb03ecc… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x839ec8… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xfaaeb1… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xffc729… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xca91da… |
| 05-11 04:32:48 | Unwilling-Tattler 0xa1f5…78a8 | No | BUY | 245 | 82¢ | $200 | 0x50d337… |
| 05-11 04:32:37 | Supportive-Basket-Fringe 0x4c48…1c17 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x57a326… |
| 05-11 03:12:25 | Frizzy-Street 0xd0f9…ed8a | No | BUY | 27 | 83¢ | $23 | 0x8c2378… |
| 05-11 02:34:24 | Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xd9f7b8… |
| 05-11 01:15:11 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x2b323b… |
| 05-11 00:54:15 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1ca9c7… |
| 05-11 00:53:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1b2dbf… |
| 05-11 00:14:02 | Content-Clover 0xe744…67a8 | No | BUY | 60 | 83¢ | $49 | 0xf64b80… |
| 05-11 00:13:55 | Well-Informed-Cereal 0x1de8…0e79 | No | BUY | 60 | 83¢ | $49 | 0x1f094f… |
| 05-11 00:13:55 | Likely-Optimisation 0x298e…107e | No | BUY | 60 | 83¢ | $49 | 0xe59b10… |
| 05-11 00:04:07 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 37 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x4b10cb… |
| 05-10 21:31:20 | Nervous-Illness 0x98cd…4478 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x874210… |
| 05-10 19:08:13 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x387a1c… |
| 05-10 15:16:13 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf49ea0… |
| 05-10 14:06:06 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbd57f9… |
| 05-10 13:27:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x83777f… |
| 05-10 12:10:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x7f7fc3… |
| 05-10 11:56:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0x05c94f… |
| 05-10 09:18:35 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xd18c52… |
| 05-10 05:02:44 | Another-Prison 0x48a7…4eda | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xf1128e… |