Secret-Guava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved

3,449

Trades

24,542

lifetime

Volume

$131.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-19 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 205 days

Categories

Other

100% 29% -$14,904

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 13?	83	$362	1,624	+1,624	No	-$362	05-12 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 14?	80	$245	922	+922	No	-$245	05-13 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 23?	78	$230	1,263	+1,263	No	-$230	05-22 02:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?	12	$222	594	+594	No	-$222	05-12 07:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?	28	$197	459	+459	Yes	+$262	05-08 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	10	$194	782	+782	No	-$194	05-07 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 26?	28	$193	1,055	+1,055	No	-$193	05-25 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	1	$191	448	+448	No	-$191	10-16 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 18?	1	$191	465	+465	No	-$191	10-17 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	1	$191	408	+408	Yes	+$217	10-16 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18?	1	$191	412	+412	No	-$191	10-17 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	1	$191	433	+433	Yes	+$243	10-16 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?	48	$187	890	+890	No	-$187	05-06 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	29	$175	418	+418	No	-$175	05-07 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 26?	38	$171	803	+803	No	-$171	05-25 03:42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 7?	23	$168	583	+583	No	-$168	05-06 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 25?	25	$167	405	+405	Yes	+$239	05-24 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 8?	15	$165	538	+538	No	-$165	05-07 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 14?	38	$163	371	+371	No	-$163	05-13 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 14?	16	$161	392	+392	No	-$161	05-13 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 16?	18	$159	318	+318	No	-$159	05-15 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 16?	35	$158	419	+419	Yes	+$261	05-15 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 13?	15	$157	400	+400	No	-$157	05-12 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?	4	$156	559	+559	No	-$156	10-18 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 16?	14	$156	681	+681	Yes	+$524	05-15 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 16?	10	$156	409	+409	No	-$156	05-15 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	75	$154	1,233	+1,233	No	-$154	05-07 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?	28	$145	342	+342	Yes	+$197	05-12 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 30?	18	$143	371	+371	No	-$143	05-29 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?	13	$143	420	+420	No	-$143	05-08 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 12:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x654675…
10-19 12:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	210	19¢	$41	0xc5b4cf…
10-19 06:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	108	44¢	$48	0xa8b011…
10-19 01:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	122	7¢	$8	0xace400…
10-19 00:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xf8b033…
10-19 00:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0x717c55…
10-19 00:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	301	11¢	$33	0xbb6acd…
10-19 00:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	195	25¢	$49	0x371692…
10-18 13:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	165	28¢	$46	0xd1cabc…
10-18 12:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	120	28¢	$34	0x2b3fa7…
10-18 12:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2ac924…
10-18 12:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	269	28¢	$75	0xc86e23…
10-18 06:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	101	47¢	$48	0xec96a6…
10-17 12:04:29	highest temperature in sao paulo on october 18 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	114	42¢	$48	0x45bf5f…
10-17 06:04:26	highest temperature in amsterdam on october 18 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	59	44¢	$26	0xc77c44…
10-17 00:04:32	highest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	295	39¢	$116	0x627bdf…
10-17 00:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	465	41¢	$191	0xfb5f89…
10-17 00:04:30	highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x764638…
10-17 00:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	412	46¢	$191	0x887192…
10-17 00:04:29	highest temperature in chongqing on october 18 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	212	19¢	$40	0x519e22…
10-17 00:04:29	highest temperature in chengdu on october 18 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	167	28¢	$47	0x4fc46a…
10-16 12:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	185	21¢	$38	0x57b33c…
10-16 12:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x7f04bd…
10-16 06:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	433	44¢	$191	0xbbce63…
10-16 00:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	408	47¢	$191	0x8d8e27…
10-16 00:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xa6eeae…
10-16 00:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	448	43¢	$191	0x900461…
10-15 12:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x16a175…
10-15 12:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	492	27¢	$133	0xbd1ea8…
10-15 12:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	74	37¢	$27	0x6b36ee…
10-15 06:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	248	47¢	$116	0x97601b…
10-15 00:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	203	30¢	$61	0x1b5e66…
10-15 00:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	172	28¢	$48	0xf89ac8…
10-15 00:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf822c5…
10-15 00:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xb2ba55…
10-14 12:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x02b533…
10-14 12:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x95379c…
10-14 06:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x1570ae…
10-14 06:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x82d9c3…
10-14 00:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xd36b1c…
10-14 00:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4959d1…
10-14 00:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x4a37fa…
10-14 00:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x40bb34…
10-11 19:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	61	25¢	$15	0x827b61…
10-11 15:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8a3166…
10-11 15:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x64c610…
10-11 15:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x41f463…
10-11 15:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x21e830…
10-11 12:10:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x435e28…
10-11 12:04:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	70	26¢	$18	0x94c0aa…
10-11 12:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x22fb5d…
10-11 12:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x8c053a…
10-11 10:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x86de6b…
10-11 10:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x832906…
10-11 09:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xa62890…
10-11 09:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x0fed47…
10-11 09:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x6d5f40…
10-11 08:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x7874e5…
10-11 06:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc4d1a5…
10-11 06:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x75296f…
10-11 06:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xade609…
10-11 06:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	87	13¢	$11	0xcd2cc1…
10-11 06:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xb496dc…
10-11 06:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	75	33¢	$24	0xf4cc25…
10-11 00:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2b3a24…
10-11 00:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	145	12¢	$17	0xfbfe31…
10-11 00:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0d688e…
10-11 00:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x5d339b…
10-11 00:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x455c1f…
10-11 00:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdcb47d…
10-11 00:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6539d4…
10-11 00:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3f3c23…
10-11 00:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4f357b…
10-11 00:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x03c120…
10-11 00:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0xa038d6…
10-11 00:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x242174…
10-11 00:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0xdede71…
10-11 00:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	63	12¢	$8	0x67f119…
10-11 00:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	62	12¢	$7	0x0cfe95…
10-11 00:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xf2782a…
10-10 06:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x0fece8…
10-10 06:04:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$24	0xc36c33…
10-10 06:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	277	9¢	$24	0xb5758e…
10-10 04:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x41e1ce…
10-10 03:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xf2b78f…
10-10 03:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x57ff72…
10-10 03:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x69402a…
10-10 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x91a2e3…
10-10 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5e2019…
10-10 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f8467…
10-10 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x2c499e…
10-10 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x26b359…
10-10 02:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x026967…
10-10 02:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf15c53…
10-10 01:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x09b9f5…
10-10 00:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x546267…
10-10 00:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x69a840…
10-10 00:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x614a3c…
10-10 00:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xee4a6d…
10-10 00:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x814d25…