Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$141
$1,043 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,689
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 15:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-58.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5
vs crowd: 59% YES on $124)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $70 | $46 | +$24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 5 | $4 | $6 | $2 |
| Below median | 5 | $24 | $9 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | $20 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 8 | $22 | $11 | +$11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +33 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-06 17:41 |
| Oval-Darn 0xcfc2…eeae | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 13:55 |
| Mundane-Chamber 0x1f4c…ea41 | Yes | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-07 10:25 |
| Perky-Mastication 0x7427…46c8 | Yes | +27 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 15:24 |
| Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 06:48 |
| Fearful-Eternity 0x30e6…b0fc | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 17:44 |
| Sparse-Burning 0xb99c…177a | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 12:55 |
| Weepy-Pruner 0x0b4b…1f63 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 01:18 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 12:46 |
| Unimportant-Stepson 0x0a22…23a7 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 23:21 |
| Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 14:41 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 09:45 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 05:18 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 18:36 |
| Loud-Juggernaut 0x025e…bb39 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 17:33 |
| Brisk-Leopard 0xe487…b2d1 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 15:06 |
| Cheery-Pizza 0x6cb5…b230 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 21:51 |
| Velvety-Conditioner 0xcfad…896f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 06:08 |
| Intentional-Anarchy 0xe03c…c61b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:23 |
| Acrobatic-Pants 0xbaa5…2fce | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 14:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 15:24:32 | Perky-Mastication 0x7427…46c8 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0xe2541f… |
| 05-07 15:06:16 | Brisk-Leopard 0xe487…b2d1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x446665… |
| 05-07 14:41:06 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x528e65… |
| 05-07 14:09:36 | Acrobatic-Pants 0xbaa5…2fce | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x304dd6… |
| 05-07 13:55:52 | Oval-Darn 0xcfc2…eeae | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xbe7605… |
| 05-07 13:44:31 | Monstrous-Corporation 0x1811…593e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0xe803be… |
| 05-07 12:55:36 | Sparse-Burning 0xb99c…177a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xd0b70d… |
| 05-07 12:46:25 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x21b40c… |
| 05-07 12:01:14 | Pretty-Lord 0x6ccc…49dc | Yes | SELL | 35 | 35¢ | $12 | 0x52fe27… |
| 05-07 10:25:38 | Mundane-Chamber 0x1f4c…ea41 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0x6f75e6… |
| 05-07 09:45:17 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x3c30f3… |
| 05-07 09:45:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x0afc9d… |
| 05-07 09:45:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xbe0029… |
| 05-07 09:23:46 | Intentional-Anarchy 0xe03c…c61b | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x29d304… |
| 05-07 06:48:48 | Zesty-Number 0x79d0…4dff | Yes | BUY | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xa5e3e8… |
| 05-07 06:08:23 | Velvety-Conditioner 0xcfad…896f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x1b682d… |
| 05-07 06:04:16 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | BUY | 12 | 47¢ | $6 | 0x75f870… |
| 05-07 05:18:11 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xa62265… |
| 05-07 01:18:12 | Weepy-Pruner 0x0b4b…1f63 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xac95f3… |
| 05-06 23:21:49 | Unimportant-Stepson 0x0a22…23a7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x6260dd… |
| 05-06 21:51:10 | Cheery-Pizza 0x6cb5…b230 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xd3fda1… |
| 05-06 18:36:20 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x1d2342… |
| 05-06 17:44:17 | Fearful-Eternity 0x30e6…b0fc | No | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x6aa34e… |
| 05-06 17:41:09 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 33 | 60¢ | $20 | 0xee3cee… |
| 05-06 17:33:08 | Loud-Juggernaut 0x025e…bb39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x4929f8… |