Loud-Juggernaut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$665

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

4,036

Trades

10,568

lifetime

Volume

$53.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$82

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-22 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Other

80% 54% -$604

Crypto

20% 73% -$53

Politics

0% 60% -$8

Sports

0% 30% -$8

Tech

0% 50% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+183	$49	26¢	$49	-$1	10-18 16:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-15	-$12	94¢	$-14	-$2	06-02 16:16
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+40	$13	35¢	$14	+$1	10-10 17:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-25	-$5	17¢	$-4	+$1	07-15 14:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-25	-$2	6¢	$-2	+$0	07-11 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$492	258	258	+0	Down	-$8	05-16 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 9?	6	$288	148	148	+0	No	+$7	07-09 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?	3	$271	138	138	+0	No	+$4	07-07 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?	7	$261	134	134	+0	No	+$4	07-11 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 4?	4	$246	126	126	+0	No	+$6	07-04 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 5?	2	$236	124	124	+0	No	+$10	07-05 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	5	$231	121	121	+0	No	+$11	07-10 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?	6	$203	107	107	+0	No	+$10	07-09 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 4?	4	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$3	07-04 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 9?	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$6	07-09 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 16?	3	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$10	07-16 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 22?	4	$186	97	97	-0	No	+$8	07-22 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 5?	2	$186	98	98	+0	No	+$9	07-05 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 10?	3	$183	94	94	+0	No	+$4	07-10 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 21?	2	$181	98	98	+0	No	+$15	07-21 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 15?	6	$177	92	92	+0	No	+$6	07-15 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?	4	$177	94	94	+0	No	+$11	07-08 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?	2	$176	90	90	+0	No	+$4	07-05 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	2	$171	88	88	+0	No	+$4	06-29 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?	3	$167	86	86	-0	No	+$5	07-04 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 8?	3	$164	86	86	+0	No	+$8	07-08 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 7?	2	$163	83	83	+0	No	+$2	07-07 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 28?	5	$160	83	83	+0	No	+$6	06-28 11:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	3	$156	85	85	+0	No	+$13	07-19 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 20?	2	$156	84	84	+0	No	+$13	07-20 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 12?	4	$156	80	80	+0	No	+$4	07-12 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	2	$154	79	79	+0	No	+$3	06-23 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 2?	3	$154	79	79	+0	No	+$5	07-02 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 11?	3	$153	78	78	+0	No	+$2	07-11 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 19?	2	$153	80	80	+0	No	+$7	07-19 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 16:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x3f2df8…
10-22 16:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5640b4…
10-22 16:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd0d0de…
10-22 16:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6de342…
10-22 16:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x2c943f…
10-22 16:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0xbdf303…
10-21 23:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x18cf13…
10-21 18:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x79bc4f…
10-21 18:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd6a7e7…
10-21 18:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x379806…
10-21 17:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x605d8b…
10-21 17:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7b815a…
10-21 17:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x42039d…
10-21 17:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xf7fd7f…
10-21 16:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$0	0x44b7ef…
10-21 16:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xfe6c11…
10-21 16:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x38f8eb…
10-21 16:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x55c5ad…
10-21 16:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd4b74a…
10-20 18:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x2e1da1…
10-20 16:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x66bb70…
10-20 16:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xed9bbb…
10-20 15:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x611a1b…
10-20 15:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xab313a…
10-20 15:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x7d8f68…
10-20 15:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8d31fd…
10-20 15:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0a98d6…
10-19 10:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x0e1fb0…
10-19 09:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7d4f87…
10-19 09:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x675639…
10-19 09:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x9aa07a…
10-19 09:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1c953a…
10-19 06:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x7e8b2a…
10-18 19:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xd4027c…
10-18 18:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x1497d6…
10-18 18:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xc541da…
10-18 18:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc856c4…
10-18 17:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xdfece5…
10-18 17:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x17f47c…
10-18 17:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc47aeb…
10-18 17:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x08b776…
10-18 16:52:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x03d1fd…
10-17 05:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7b8014…
10-17 05:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x6070a2…
10-17 05:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x04deab…
10-17 05:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe32aa0…
10-17 05:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x547c23…
10-17 05:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xa9e14b…
10-11 17:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x5d503f…
10-11 16:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9b34bc…
10-11 16:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xdee5f4…
10-11 16:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xca45d9…
10-11 16:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa45892…
10-11 16:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xac0643…
10-11 15:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xffd1d8…
10-11 15:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0xcf6a88…
10-11 15:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0e4e85…
10-11 15:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdd3861…
10-11 15:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xf0539f…
10-11 15:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x37c468…
10-11 15:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa4efb3…
10-11 15:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9d4cc0…
10-11 14:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd3f0de…
10-11 14:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x867197…
10-11 14:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x685456…
10-11 14:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xef6eae…
10-11 14:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x71e02e…
10-11 14:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe4ca96…
10-11 14:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x4346c8…
10-11 14:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7dffee…
10-11 14:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7ef335…
10-11 14:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4069dd…
10-11 14:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd82247…
10-11 14:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2c1096…
10-11 12:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc95646…
10-11 12:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x630faa…
10-11 12:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0xcb8a4f…
10-11 12:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xee9013…
10-11 03:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x7ddead…
10-10 18:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xe47dbc…
10-10 17:59:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0xe1a1b7…
10-10 17:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x507fce…
10-10 17:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x32589a…
10-10 17:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x683dfc…
10-10 17:35:12	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x302773…
10-10 17:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4c73b9…
10-10 17:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5ebed7…
10-10 17:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x8ce0c2…
10-10 17:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1f7f18…
10-10 17:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe8142b…
10-10 17:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd349e7…
10-10 16:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0c5176…
10-10 15:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xccb997…
10-10 15:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x95625c…
10-10 15:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x333d44…
10-10 15:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x936557…
10-10 15:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd1fd64…
10-10 15:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x72b34a…
10-10 15:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0c8273…
10-10 15:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xdde662…