Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$280
$1,326 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$224
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 13:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $2 | $47 | $45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $110 | $40 | +$71 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $28 | $46 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $17 | $15 |
| Below median | 7 | $10 | $14 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $14 | $4 | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $53 | $23 | +$30 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limp-Hatred 0x7c48…6b72 | Yes | +102 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 20:27 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +42 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +36 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-13 08:39 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-13 09:53 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 05-14 00:41 |
| Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | +23 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 01:22 |
| Tough-Artichoke 0x98e1…5516 | No | +16 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 09:19 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 06:54 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:17 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 05:16 |
| Second-Rainy 0xeb61…9969 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 05:01 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 13:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b69…374a | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:26 |
| Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 15:18 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:07 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:18 |
| Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Uneven-Cooking 0xf9a7…610c | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 08:54 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:27 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Sunny-Sum-Den 0x4eab…2caa | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:19 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:08 |
| Oily-Functionality 0x672f…13cc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:27:35 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x02d3f6… |
| 05-14 13:27:14 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x8aeacd… |
| 05-14 13:19:20 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1c8c49… |
| 05-14 13:18:08 | Dimpled-Boy 0x98d9…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x5a9146… |
| 05-14 13:09:20 | Jaded-Ottoman 0x899f…c012 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x0f2740… |
| 05-14 13:07:54 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xccffc7… |
| 05-14 13:05:48 | Oily-Functionality 0x672f…13cc | No | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x1e369b… |
| 05-14 12:19:13 | Sunny-Sum-Den 0x4eab…2caa | Yes | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xfa5ec9… |
| 05-14 12:00:12 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x4dbac5… |
| 05-14 11:00:12 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x018c1a… |
| 05-14 11:00:09 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 37 | 45¢ | $17 | 0x46f65e… |
| 05-14 08:54:11 | Uneven-Cooking 0xf9a7…610c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xf25ec9… |
| 05-14 05:01:22 | Second-Rainy 0xeb61…9969 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x5d4f8c… |
| 05-14 01:22:14 | Shrill-Netsuke 0x3f30…f8de | Yes | BUY | 23 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xc93c1c… |
| 05-14 00:41:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x992de2… |
| 05-14 00:35:01 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x552eef… |
| 05-13 22:25:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x1c17b2… |
| 05-13 22:12:38 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x2384a7… |
| 05-13 22:12:34 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xd564ce… |
| 05-13 21:36:50 | Bruised-Steppingstone 0xf73f…ee53 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 45¢ | $25 | 0x414ffe… |
| 05-13 20:27:55 | Limp-Hatred 0x7c48…6b72 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 49¢ | $50 | 0x3998b4… |
| 05-13 19:37:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xb11125… |
| 05-13 09:53:05 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0xca3aba… |
| 05-13 09:19:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0x4ec48d… |
| 05-13 09:19:15 | Tough-Artichoke 0x98e1…5516 | No | BUY | 16 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x5f908e… |
| 05-13 08:39:49 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0xfb81a2… |
| 05-13 07:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x914f…2ae5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xc84d15… |
| 05-13 07:39:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 16 | 53¢ | $8 | 0x8456f7… |
| 05-13 07:31:27 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x94f198… |
| 05-13 06:54:08 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x52c8fa… |
| 05-13 06:06:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xd626b2… |
| 05-13 06:04:07 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0xcbfe03… |
| 05-13 06:04:07 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 42 | 40¢ | $17 | 0x9554fd… |
| 05-13 05:16:19 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 12 | 69¢ | $8 | 0x130801… |
| 05-13 05:09:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x6d7266… |
| 05-13 05:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x914f…2ae5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x676520… |
| 05-13 04:07:17 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xba8c0e… |
| 05-13 00:31:07 | (anonymous) 0xdceb…481a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x03fb5b… |
| 05-13 00:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x5b69…374a | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x0405ff… |
| 05-13 00:26:26 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x28f939… |
| 05-13 00:08:42 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x47a96d… |
| 05-12 22:18:06 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xbf8617… |
| 05-12 22:17:50 | (anonymous) 0xdceb…481a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x2459e4… |
| 05-12 22:17:50 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0xec31c7… |
| 05-12 15:18:06 | Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x3d04a3… |