Bruised-Steppingstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.22K

Unrealized P&L

+$684

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

8,557

Trades

65,499

lifetime

Volume

$896.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$23.9K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-27 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 180 days

Categories

Other

67% 38% -$1,842

Politics

29% 41% +$9,928

Sports

4% 60% +$1,164

Tech

0% 0% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 758 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+24,505	$18,114	76¢	$18.7K	+$632	10-27 14:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+5,000	$4,500	92¢	$4.6K	+$75	10-15 09:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+782	$641	79¢	$618	-$23	10-26 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	81	$65.6K	81,549	66,549	+15,000	Yes	+$5,605	06-17 04:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	134	$39.8K	36,751	33,243	+3,508	No	+$3,356	06-21 09:31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	32	$26.8K	20,875	15,875	+5,000	Yes	+$1,151	10-26 22:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	36	$25.6K	17,178	17,178	+0	open	—	10-08 19:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	40	$25.5K	15,181	15,181	+0	No	+$2,710	10-26 00:10
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	34	$25.0K	16,160	16,160	+0	Yes	-$617	07-06 22:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$18.1K	24,505	0	+24,505	open	—	10-27 14:07
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	25	$15.3K	9,409	9,409	+0	No	+$95	10-26 21:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$14.2K	29,000	29,000	+0	open	—	07-13 15:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$10.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	06-24 00:15
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	39	$9.5K	8,913	5,000	+3,913	No	-$301	10-26 22:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$9.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-17 20:33
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	16	$8.9K	20,371	20,354	+18	No	-$118	06-14 05:09
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	195	$8.9K	151,432	151,432	+0	No	+$1,706	06-26 19:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	50	$7.9K	29,051	16,645	+12,406	No	-$1,221	06-20 22:14
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	25	$7.6K	7,644	0	+7,644	No	+$38	06-25 01:57
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$7.5K	10,251	0	+10,251	Yes	+$1,207	06-21 21:53
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	14	$7.4K	6,788	6,788	+0	Yes	-$176	06-14 04:53
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	46	$4.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$1,114	07-17 01:00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-15 09:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$4.5K	4,036	2,000	+2,036	No	+$721	06-19 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	45	$4.0K	2,530	2,521	+9	Yes	+$862	04-27 03:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	33	$3.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$679	07-13 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	48	$3.6K	5,007	4,796	+212	No	+$2,649	04-25 04:31
highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 46 47f	1	$3.3K	3,269	0	+3,269	No	+$13	04-21 16:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$2.6K	3,023	400	+2,623	Yes	+$856	06-15 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?	18	$2.3K	2,225	1,618	+607	No	+$645	06-13 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?	25	$2.2K	2,315	1,494	+822	Yes	+$474	06-27 03:47
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	13	$2.2K	3,006	3,006	+0	LOUD	-$831	10-18 09:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$2.1K	4,851	4,851	+0	No	+$3	04-23 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:07:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4,505	78¢	$3,514	0xa3d36b…
10-27 11:34:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20,000	73¢	$14,600	0x9c075b…
10-26 22:37:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	74¢	$3,695	0x3e6f85…
10-26 22:26:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,913	5¢	$93	0xb6a0b0…
10-26 22:21:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3,916	68¢	$2,678	0xd1283c…
10-26 22:21:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	611	68¢	$416	0x57bc01…
10-26 22:21:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	123	65¢	$80	0x8ad035…
10-26 22:21:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,918	65¢	$1,897	0x03329f…
10-26 21:30:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xf0fac0…
10-26 21:30:33	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xb49255…
10-26 21:30:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x5d1d0b…
10-26 21:30:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x578815…
10-26 21:30:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0xc87001…
10-26 21:29:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0xe1cd2a…
10-26 21:29:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xd322fd…
10-26 21:29:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x0cae37…
10-26 21:29:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	943	82¢	$773	0x5f894e…
10-26 21:28:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x5dc771…
10-26 21:27:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$0	0xc4a33b…
10-26 21:27:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xbdd677…
10-26 21:27:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$24	0xa14cbb…
10-26 21:27:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,018	82¢	$834	0xcc07b6…
10-26 21:22:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	123	82¢	$100	0xc25405…
10-26 21:22:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x2ffbb2…
10-26 21:22:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	239	82¢	$196	0x5063c2…
10-26 21:21:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x51d454…
10-26 21:21:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2,304	82¢	$1,887	0x1e1de4…
10-26 21:20:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	899	82¢	$737	0x1cd650…
10-26 20:52:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x962e5e…
10-26 20:52:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3,481	82¢	$2,851	0xddc392…
10-26 20:52:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0x71022c…
10-26 20:51:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x879afd…
10-26 20:51:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	836	72¢	$600	0x285d82…
10-26 20:39:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6,732	77¢	$5,211	0xed923b…
10-26 19:33:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0x47f366…
10-26 19:30:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8,220	77¢	$6,362	0x934cc9…
10-26 17:48:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,887	72¢	$2,081	0x41dd9d…
10-26 17:48:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,520	72¢	$1,099	0x8dfe39…
10-26 17:47:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x36a78f…
10-26 17:46:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	531	72¢	$383	0x5a74f9…
10-26 17:46:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xe1acc2…
10-26 17:46:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x96c2ca…
10-26 17:46:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x7c8c54…
10-26 17:46:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0x386c75…
10-26 17:46:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,200	72¢	$865	0x21f9da…
10-26 17:46:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	191	72¢	$138	0x213fe0…
10-26 17:43:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9,409	81¢	$7,611	0x155d9f…
10-26 17:32:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x3faa04…
10-26 17:32:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x9047cf…
10-26 17:31:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	71	74¢	$52	0x9ee9d8…
10-26 17:26:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	431	69¢	$299	0x215d57…
10-26 16:29:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	206	92¢	$189	0x1a6e01…
10-26 16:29:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	163	92¢	$150	0xb0fd70…
10-26 16:29:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	343	92¢	$315	0xadae0e…
10-26 16:29:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	179	92¢	$164	0xa830aa…
10-26 16:29:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x4f68c8…
10-26 16:29:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xb7b4da…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xf1d50e…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	107	92¢	$98	0xdfdb78…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	90	92¢	$83	0xdb3ac8…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	67	92¢	$62	0x876473…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x4b1d7d…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	61	92¢	$56	0x43a6f8…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	77	92¢	$71	0x20e92a…
10-26 16:29:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x0019ca…
10-26 16:29:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	328	92¢	$301	0xb753f8…
10-26 16:29:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x93606a…
10-26 16:29:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	242	92¢	$222	0xcdb76c…
10-26 16:29:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	105	92¢	$96	0xc9dcd8…
10-26 16:29:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$23	0x530b29…
10-26 16:29:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	121	92¢	$111	0x312b7e…
10-26 16:29:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	174	92¢	$160	0x7a0cdb…
10-26 16:29:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x607924…
10-26 16:29:21	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x01e881…
10-26 16:29:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xfdc60d…
10-26 16:29:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	232	92¢	$213	0x92f614…
10-26 16:29:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x585e3e…
10-26 16:29:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	67	92¢	$61	0x423145…
10-26 16:29:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	191	92¢	$175	0xdf72de…
10-26 16:29:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe5738b…
10-26 16:29:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	77	92¢	$71	0xbcf1d8…
10-26 16:29:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0x6b258c…
10-26 16:29:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x4f3e5c…
10-26 16:29:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	116	92¢	$106	0x1fbc6d…
10-26 16:29:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	268	92¢	$246	0x3cee73…
10-26 16:29:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$919	0x149c46…
10-26 16:29:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x155cb1…
10-26 16:12:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	660	62¢	$412	0xcfa46c…
10-26 16:10:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x7bfbaa…
10-26 16:10:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	180	61¢	$110	0x662450…
10-26 16:10:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	73	61¢	$44	0x1b79e7…
10-26 16:10:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xa29ce3…
10-26 16:10:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x9d681f…
10-26 16:10:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	149	61¢	$91	0xb7c551…
10-26 16:10:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	110	61¢	$67	0xaa07c7…
10-26 16:10:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x7a21b9…
10-26 15:04:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,683	0x156a4d…
10-26 12:59:15	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x5185cd…
10-26 11:24:06	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x0069a4…
10-26 09:51:59	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x179ef1…