Bruised-Steppingstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.17K

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved (90d)

2,951

Trades (90d)

16,450

65,564 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$452.5K

$1.08M lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$12.6K

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-31 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Other

57% 38% -$1,843

Politics

40% 42% +$23,838

Sports

3% 60% +$1,164

Tech

0% 0% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 758 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+30,000	$6,600	29¢	$8.5K	+$1,950	10-30 00:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+3,564	$2,530	72¢	$2.6K	+$53	10-30 22:36
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+4,234	$1,312	35¢	$1.5K	+$169	10-31 03:24
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	+13	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	10-28 01:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	81	$65.6K	81,549	66,549	+15,000	Yes	+$5,605	06-17 04:18
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	19	$51.2K	26,600	26,600	+0	No	+$1,645	10-28 13:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	43	$45.4K	30,840	30,840	+0	open	—	10-27 20:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	134	$39.8K	36,751	33,243	+3,508	No	+$3,356	06-21 09:31
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	23	$39.6K	39,381	19,381	+20,000	Yes	+$8,496	10-29 15:16
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	108	$32.9K	20,132	20,132	+0	Yes	+$6,078	10-28 00:07
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	32	$26.8K	20,875	15,875	+5,000	Yes	+$1,151	10-26 22:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	36	$25.6K	17,178	17,178	+0	open	—	10-08 19:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	40	$25.5K	15,181	15,181	+0	No	+$2,710	10-26 00:10
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	34	$25.0K	16,160	16,160	+0	Yes	-$617	07-06 22:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	20	$19.2K	60,000	30,000	+30,000	open	—	10-30 00:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	31	$17.4K	10,782	10,782	+0	open	—	10-29 17:47
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	25	$15.3K	9,409	9,409	+0	No	+$95	10-26 21:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$14.2K	29,000	29,000	+0	open	—	07-13 15:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$10.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	06-24 00:15
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	39	$9.5K	8,913	5,000	+3,913	No	-$301	10-26 22:26
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$9.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-28 00:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$9.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-17 20:33
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	16	$8.9K	20,371	20,354	+18	No	-$118	06-14 05:09
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	195	$8.9K	151,432	151,432	+0	No	+$1,706	06-26 19:53
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	50	$7.9K	29,051	16,645	+12,406	No	-$1,221	06-20 22:14
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	25	$7.6K	7,644	0	+7,644	No	+$38	06-25 01:57
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$7.5K	10,251	0	+10,251	Yes	+$1,207	06-21 21:53
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	14	$7.4K	6,788	6,788	+0	Yes	-$176	06-14 04:53
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	46	$4.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$1,114	07-17 01:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$4.5K	4,036	2,000	+2,036	No	+$721	06-19 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	45	$4.0K	2,530	2,521	+9	Yes	+$862	04-27 03:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	33	$3.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$679	07-13 14:06
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	7	$3.8K	3,105	3,105	+0	open	—	10-29 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	48	$3.6K	5,007	4,796	+212	No	+$2,649	04-25 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:24:18	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	31¢	$37	0x0738f9…
10-31 02:51:52	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x0a57ea…
10-31 02:28:16	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xc3e90e…
10-31 02:28:10	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x84606a…
10-31 02:27:36	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x4ef98e…
10-31 02:27:33	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0xa52b86…
10-31 02:27:31	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8596ca…
10-31 02:27:30	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	857	31¢	$266	0xaf5b32…
10-31 02:27:30	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,177	31¢	$985	0x3f89ad…
10-30 22:36:07	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,151	71¢	$1,527	0x10f4db…
10-30 21:10:12	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0b2a24…
10-30 21:01:07	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x21aec1…
10-30 20:05:43	Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	906	71¢	$643	0x0c81f3…
10-30 00:16:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,450	26¢	$4,017	0x28869e…
10-30 00:15:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,111	26¢	$549	0x35c233…
10-30 00:06:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xba085a…
10-30 00:05:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x78f9c1…
10-30 00:05:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x3d20a2…
10-29 23:41:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,400	26¢	$3,224	0xe58f16…
10-29 17:47:58	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	469	5¢	$25	0x17645e…
10-29 17:47:56	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	86	95¢	$82	0x4914ab…
10-29 17:47:55	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12,674	0¢	$38	0xfca45a…
10-29 17:47:53	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	SELL	130	97¢	$126	0x22ac05…
10-29 17:47:52	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	400	98¢	$394	0x746a64…
10-29 17:47:50	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,693	81¢	$1,363	0x32395f…
10-29 17:47:50	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	3,105	60¢	$1,866	0x2b1cd2…
10-29 17:47:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30,000	21¢	$6,300	0xdb2bd7…
10-29 17:47:32	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	10,782	80¢	$8,626	0xfb9d9b…
10-29 15:16:04	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	19,372	98¢	$19,062	0xd78f63…
10-29 13:34:13	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3,654	0¢	$7	0xb50fa2…
10-29 12:23:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb9fdaa…
10-29 11:49:56	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	168	0¢	$0	0x390112…
10-29 11:33:43	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9,132	0¢	$18	0x8022ce…
10-29 10:55:56	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x5e1589…
10-29 10:46:25	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	728	0¢	$1	0xac1702…
10-29 09:03:13	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$1	0x02c894…
10-29 08:41:41	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7,359	0¢	$31	0x6aa7f2…
10-29 00:16:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,565	17¢	$606	0xee4c6a…
10-29 00:13:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x87b0af…
10-29 00:06:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,800	17¢	$1,496	0xa8d385…
10-29 00:05:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,380	17¢	$1,255	0xf6b213…
10-29 00:00:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,820	17¢	$1,159	0x9280f0…
10-29 00:00:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,867	17¢	$487	0x075c20…
10-28 23:57:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xb5a326…
10-28 23:47:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x83e748…
10-28 23:37:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xbddf83…
10-28 23:37:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	114	17¢	$19	0x1271f7…
10-28 23:33:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0xa573b9…
10-28 23:33:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xa8d28b…
10-28 23:33:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	17¢	$42	0x126f31…
10-28 22:51:35	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xa55a11…
10-28 22:51:34	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xb3a13e…
10-28 22:51:14	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x007b6d…
10-28 22:51:13	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	306	60¢	$184	0xf4918c…
10-28 22:51:13	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	109	60¢	$66	0xd4b7c2…
10-28 21:22:34	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	2,180	63¢	$1,366	0xb919da…
10-28 21:08:20	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	605	81¢	$490	0x562918…
10-28 20:57:49	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0xf9ca94…
10-28 20:57:49	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4aea00…
10-28 20:07:53	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x3863de…
10-28 20:02:19	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xc68428…
10-28 20:02:07	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x8cee7a…
10-28 20:02:04	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x6e7bce…
10-28 20:02:04	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x5b92b9…
10-28 20:02:02	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	128	81¢	$104	0x36aae5…
10-28 20:02:01	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,126	81¢	$912	0xc76f22…
10-28 20:01:59	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x96b470…
10-28 20:01:53	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x06c160…
10-28 20:01:47	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	81¢	$873	0xc1bd3a…
10-28 20:01:44	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x2ed364…
10-28 20:01:43	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x8d57a6…
10-28 20:01:43	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	263	81¢	$213	0x7c7880…
10-28 20:01:40	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x94dd7d…
10-28 20:01:40	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	376	81¢	$304	0x899187…
10-28 20:01:40	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	535	81¢	$434	0x2e707a…
10-28 20:01:40	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	4,635	81¢	$3,755	0x2d28fb…
10-28 20:01:40	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x274d34…
10-28 19:42:04	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	526	81¢	$426	0x7599b5…
10-28 19:37:05	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x589fed…
10-28 19:35:37	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xf6a6e4…
10-28 19:16:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0xd38ae8…
10-28 18:59:25	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	376	81¢	$305	0x4914d2…
10-28 13:00:44	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5,129	100¢	$5,119	0x3de339…
10-28 07:41:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	212	92¢	$196	0x43264e…
10-28 07:38:28	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	388	92¢	$359	0xfa05db…
10-28 07:22:37	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,000	95¢	$2,850	0x8dadbf…
10-28 06:52:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6,973	97¢	$6,764	0xe6a942…
10-28 06:50:37	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0x65b56b…
10-28 06:49:10	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xbc3c62…
10-28 06:49:05	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2a145f…
10-28 06:47:43	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,470	97¢	$1,426	0x10816d…
10-28 06:45:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	995	97¢	$965	0x77bb6d…
10-28 06:21:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x560ea8…
10-28 06:16:16	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8,000	99¢	$7,888	0xdbaf3c…
10-28 06:00:52	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	4,822	2¢	$96	0x62fa08…
10-28 05:55:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	174	93¢	$162	0x6069d3…
10-28 05:55:10	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	106	93¢	$98	0x34f7db…
10-28 05:54:52	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	268	93¢	$249	0xf17cda…
10-28 05:53:35	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	3,000	2¢	$60	0x684017…
10-28 03:21:18	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	4,999	2¢	$115	0x8d13df…