Dimpled-Boy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$142

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

Trades

9,210

lifetime

Volume

$266.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$741

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-18 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 50% $-9

Politics

28% 33% $-133

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+400	$315	72¢	$286	$-29	07-18 12:02
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+309	$280	91¢	$281	+$1	06-13 12:15
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	+160	$130	90¢	$144	+$13	07-10 00:13
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	No	+33	$28	92¢	$31	+$2	06-15 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	82	$8.7K	6,045	4,552	+1,492	open	—	01-31 13:37
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	56	$5.2K	2,757	2,757	+0	open	—	01-24 11:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	76	$4.7K	3,613	3,624	-10	open	—	03-01 01:35
highest temperature in seoul on january 20 neg 6c	32	$3.5K	2,005	2,005	+0	open	—	01-20 18:29
jang dong hyeok out as people power party leader by march 31 2026	80	$3.1K	1,580	1,867	-287	open	—	03-28 06:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	46	$2.5K	1,453	1,275	+178	open	—	01-31 04:14
yoon out of custody by march 31	23	$2.5K	544	2,032	-1,488	open	—	01-15 12:26
han duck soo in jail by january 31	13	$2.5K	1,280	1,280	+0	open	—	01-21 20:25
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	20	$2.4K	1,776	700	+1,076	open	—	01-31 06:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	60	$2.3K	1,308	1,318	-10	open	—	03-13 03:19
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	33	$2.1K	1,404	1,404	+0	open	—	01-29 23:23
highest temperature in seoul on february 1 0c	71	$1.9K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	02-01 13:12
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	9	$1.9K	1,748	200	+1,548	open	—	01-25 05:00
highest temperature in seoul on january 23 neg 2c	72	$1.8K	2,174	2,070	+104	open	—	01-23 10:13
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in january 2026	35	$1.8K	957	995	-38	open	—	01-31 00:22
will trump meet with keir starmer in january 2026	13	$1.8K	949	949	+0	open	—	01-27 09:45
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	73	$1.6K	1,266	701	+565	open	—	03-30 08:33
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$1.4K	721	763	-42	open	—	01-22 06:37
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	45	$1.4K	1,395	845	+550	open	—	03-09 08:08
highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 2c	14	$1.4K	741	741	+0	open	—	01-30 08:59
highest temperature in seoul on january 22 neg 5c	35	$1.3K	1,483	10	+1,473	open	—	01-22 11:43
highest temperature in seoul on february 9 2026 1c	12	$1.3K	733	733	+0	open	—	02-09 06:03
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 786	27	$1.3K	750	750	+0	open	—	03-01 05:24
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	6	$1.2K	1,081	129	+952	open	—	01-29 22:58
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 11c	21	$1.2K	657	657	+0	open	—	03-17 11:32
will kim keon hee be sentenced to prison by march 31	11	$1.1K	66	1,114	-1,048	open	—	01-22 06:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	33	$1.1K	1,886	1,831	+55	open	—	03-01 01:34
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	8	$1.1K	737	759	-22	open	—	01-03 06:44
highest temperature in seoul on february 2 neg 1c	23	$1.1K	1,735	487	+1,249	open	—	02-02 06:06
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	10	$1.1K	901	225	+676	open	—	01-27 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 12:02:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x961e48…
07-10 00:13:59	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x96de84…
07-10 00:13:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x5e26a9…
07-09 06:04:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xdaf03c…
07-06 08:39:04	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xf9f0a0…
06-28 00:23:55	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0xd20ded…
06-24 14:53:41	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$16	0xcbd9d5…
06-24 13:05:13	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0x987698…
06-16 01:22:49	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x75c24f…
06-15 21:26:31	Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	No	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0xece854…
06-15 07:01:46	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x0fe692…
06-15 06:22:10	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xba6757…
06-13 12:15:46	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6cbbc0…
06-11 05:14:54	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf36fd0…
06-11 05:13:52	Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaea833…
06-10 10:21:21	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x3959ac…
06-10 00:00:36	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0x0644dd…
06-09 14:27:30	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xbea5f9…
06-03 11:34:09	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x806b0a…
06-03 04:11:57	Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xfb704f…
06-02 18:35:39	Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x05e711…
06-01 21:30:40	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x79d3cb…
06-01 21:23:54	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xbffc22…
05-31 23:39:27	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0xaaac7f…
05-26 00:12:37	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x0da7a0…
05-26 00:12:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x12ce0b…
05-26 00:12:07	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	327	97¢	$317	0x7eb150…
05-26 00:11:53	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xb9a6d4…
05-26 00:11:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$104	0x2b5505…
05-26 00:11:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0x0fbb6d…
05-26 00:10:48	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xea5312…
05-26 00:10:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0x5cdfdd…
05-21 06:37:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd3c5c6…
05-21 01:37:37	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x813a21…
05-20 01:37:58	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x14841f…
05-18 22:46:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xbb5e7a…
05-18 22:45:24	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xeb579a…
05-18 06:37:53	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xe0bdd7…
05-15 19:49:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9f0aa1…
05-14 06:02:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xa294e0…
05-13 10:30:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x5c036b…
05-13 10:21:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x735c94…
05-12 23:03:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x510a86…
05-12 15:18:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x56b29c…
05-08 23:33:32	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x19f1e4…
05-08 23:29:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x3f9669…
05-08 23:27:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x98ee99…
05-08 22:56:07	Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0ebb94…
05-07 23:09:00	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa97d77…
05-07 15:53:15	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x68878f…
05-07 15:52:39	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0c8b7f…
05-07 15:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x299009…
05-07 15:48:16	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xac11ed…
05-06 15:54:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	138	95¢	$130	0x4db075…
05-06 15:52:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xe5e945…
05-06 15:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x7496cc…
05-05 09:04:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0x101330…
05-04 07:48:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3c8700…
05-04 07:47:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xbba284…
05-01 21:06:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf7b289…
04-29 23:30:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe45ca7…
04-28 09:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6d8262…
04-28 09:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xda761f…
04-28 09:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x734139…
04-28 09:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x2d9c50…
04-28 09:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x350d7c…
04-28 08:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0a2110…
04-28 08:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbff505…
04-28 08:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xe21044…
04-28 07:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa4b210…
04-28 07:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x879a05…
04-28 07:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xe76756…
04-28 06:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe9cdde…
04-28 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb3fdb5…
04-28 06:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd15a48…
04-28 06:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xf0d42d…
04-28 06:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xde4399…
04-28 06:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2807a4…
04-28 06:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3e4591…
04-28 06:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x1b68d0…
04-28 06:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x047044…
04-28 06:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x84f2d7…
04-28 05:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc566e1…
04-28 05:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x700461…
04-28 05:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa53c8a…
04-28 05:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x3186eb…
04-28 05:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x63ccf9…
04-28 04:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf0c865…
04-28 04:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x62c1e2…
04-28 04:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xa78f36…
04-28 04:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaddc77…
04-28 04:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5b3b49…
04-28 04:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x66d177…
04-28 04:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x96061f…
04-28 04:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcb06a1…
04-28 04:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2dd3b3…
04-28 04:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfbe15d…
04-28 03:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd5c18b…
04-28 03:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xcc17d6…
04-28 03:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb1bf5d…