Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
open
Total volume
$2,551
Trades
140
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$1,320
Latest YES mid
90¢
Latest NO mid
10¢
End date
2025-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-12 14:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+11.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $8
vs crowd: 89% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $1.5K | $15 | +$1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $42 | $4 | +$38 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $71 | $146 | $74 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $183 | $62 | +$120 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $91 | $18 | +$73 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $128 | $6 | +$122 |
| Median | 4 | $11 | $133 | $121 |
| Below median | 10 | $24 | $45 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | $0 | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1.4K | — | +$1.4K |
| unranked | 22 | $131 | $24 | +$108 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | +1,550 | $1,372 | $1,372 | 24 | 06-12 08:20 |
| Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | No | +703 | $108 | $151 | 8 | 06-06 22:51 |
| Faint-Cereal 0xea4b…eb8c | No | +120 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-28 03:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +119 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 06-11 06:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +106 | $90 | $90 | 4 | 06-12 08:20 |
| Elementary-Kennel 0x4a79…b31e | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-28 03:49 |
| Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 23:23 |
| Dual-Rhubarb 0xa6eb…21b9 | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x713c…41bb | Yes | +67 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-10 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f28…1cee | No | +67 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 10:08 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | +64 | $5 | $17 | 9 | 06-03 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8536…3da3 | Yes | +59 | $59 | $162 | 2 | 06-10 21:45 |
| Unhappy-Fireman 0x0390…f0d5 | No | +43 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-11 07:15 |
| Inferior-Snack 0x357d…7e16 | No | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 01:05 |
| Funny-Lot-Remains 0x089c…66f6 | No | +27 | $-0 | $20 | 2 | 05-30 10:29 |
| True-Parallelogram 0xe54b…aa14 | Yes | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-30 23:45 |
| Peaceful-Stereo 0x35d5…077c | Yes | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-28 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd59b…d1ac | Yes | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-30 10:29 |
| Agile-Barstool 0x20f2…00c2 | Yes | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-31 10:21 |
| Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | Yes | +13 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 06-06 20:21 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 01:14 |
| Admirable-Patroller 0x1ca3…f137 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-04 14:11 |
| Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-05 21:17 |
| Portly-Azimuth 0xa862…d1b7 | No | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 21:19 |
| Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 15:30 |
| Academic-Ball 0x3ece…af79 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 06:12 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | +5 | $3 | $17 | 2 | 06-08 08:57 |
| Yellow-Carbon 0xba5a…9fb6 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-03 16:16 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 09:59 |
| Fluid-Residue 0x74c1…8f03 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 12:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 14:53:40 | Naughty-Dart 0xbe50…fda4 | No | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3b88ef… |
| 06-12 14:53:40 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x3b88ef… |
| 06-12 08:20:54 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 86¢ | $67 | 0x3ad63c… |
| 06-12 08:20:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x3ad63c… |
| 06-12 08:20:54 | Jittery-Stage 0x3841…70ca | Yes | SELL | 142 | 86¢ | $122 | 0x3ad63c… |
| 06-11 07:15:30 | Unhappy-Fireman 0x0390…f0d5 | No | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x3a2abd… |
| 06-11 07:15:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 86¢ | $25 | 0x3a2abd… |
| 06-11 07:15:30 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x3a2abd… |
| 06-11 06:12:52 | Academic-Ball 0x3ece…af79 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x86003c… |
| 06-11 06:12:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x86003c… |
| 06-10 21:45:45 | (anonymous) 0x8536…3da3 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 87¢ | $51 | 0xa19985… |
| 06-10 21:45:45 | Plaintive-Harald 0xdd1c…63a3 | No | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa19985… |
| 06-10 21:45:45 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 86¢ | $42 | 0xa19985… |
| 06-10 11:16:42 | Troubled-Karate-Backburn 0xa8e0…70e2 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 93¢ | $111 | 0x2bb356… |
| 06-10 11:16:42 | (anonymous) 0x8536…3da3 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 93¢ | $111 | 0x2bb356… |
| 06-10 10:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x713c…41bb | Yes | BUY | 67 | 96¢ | $64 | 0xba4fdb… |
| 06-10 10:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x9f28…1cee | No | BUY | 67 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xba4fdb… |
| 06-09 09:59:01 | Idealistic-Supporter 0x79d6…d2e2 | No | SELL | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xf88531… |
| 06-09 09:59:01 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf88531… |
| 06-09 09:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x6845…3ae6 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 93¢ | $27 | 0xf88531… |
| 06-08 15:55:07 | Unhappy-Fireman 0x0390…f0d5 | No | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xba086d… |
| 06-08 15:55:07 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xba086d… |
| 06-08 08:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xd25d…fbd9 | No | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2b7451… |
| 06-08 08:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x2b7451… |
| 06-07 23:08:10 | Damp-Endorsement 0xb85d…4ac4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x5a6ee8… |
| 06-07 23:08:10 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x5a6ee8… |
| 06-06 22:51:36 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xf32dcc… |
| 06-06 22:51:36 | Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | No | BUY | 72 | 14¢ | $10 | 0xf32dcc… |
| 06-06 22:51:36 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xf32dcc… |
| 06-06 22:51:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 86¢ | $50 | 0xf32dcc… |
| 06-06 20:21:55 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x732a3a… |
| 06-06 20:21:55 | Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | No | BUY | 129 | 14¢ | $18 | 0x732a3a… |
| 06-06 20:21:55 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 86¢ | $109 | 0x732a3a… |
| 06-06 11:03:16 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0xe29e86… |
| 06-06 11:03:16 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0xe29e86… |
| 06-05 23:23:16 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x362b72… |
| 06-05 23:23:16 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x362b72… |
| 06-05 23:23:16 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 96¢ | $70 | 0x362b72… |
| 06-05 21:19:03 | Portly-Azimuth 0xa862…d1b7 | No | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7c2c7f… |
| 06-05 21:19:03 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7c2c7f… |
| 06-05 21:17:30 | Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x54db3e… |
| 06-05 21:17:30 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x54db3e… |
| 06-05 21:07:27 | Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbd9a1c… |
| 06-05 21:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbd9a1c… |
| 06-05 19:50:37 | Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | No | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7e0fc7… |
| 06-05 19:50:37 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x7e0fc7… |
| 06-05 19:50:37 | Frigid-Smoke 0xbfaa…2eac | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x7e0fc7… |
| 06-05 19:31:39 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc746d9… |
| 06-05 19:31:39 | Frigid-Smoke 0xbfaa…2eac | Yes | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc746d9… |
| 06-05 19:31:22 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb58014… |
| 06-05 19:31:22 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb58014… |
| 06-05 19:31:22 | Frigid-Smoke 0xbfaa…2eac | Yes | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xb58014… |
| 06-05 19:27:18 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6ec587… |
| 06-05 19:27:18 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x6ec587… |
| 06-05 19:27:18 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6ec587… |
| 06-05 19:08:12 | Frigid-Smoke 0xbfaa…2eac | Yes | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x665710… |
| 06-05 19:08:12 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x665710… |
| 06-05 18:48:31 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x364329… |
| 06-05 18:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x364329… |
| 06-05 18:48:31 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x364329… |
| 06-05 15:30:06 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | No | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7cf8c3… |
| 06-05 15:30:06 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x7cf8c3… |
| 06-05 13:22:16 | Frigid-Smoke 0xbfaa…2eac | Yes | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0xe25ab0… |
| 06-05 13:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x8c5d…15d8 | No | SELL | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe25ab0… |
| 06-05 04:26:39 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x710c80… |
| 06-05 04:26:39 | Formal-Turf 0xc21e…94b2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x710c80… |
| 06-04 14:11:24 | Plaintive-Harald 0xdd1c…63a3 | No | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xdcfaeb… |
| 06-04 14:11:24 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xdcfaeb… |
| 06-04 14:11:24 | (anonymous) 0x8c5d…15d8 | No | BUY | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xdcfaeb… |
| 06-04 14:11:24 | Admirable-Patroller 0x1ca3…f137 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xdcfaeb… |
| 06-04 13:13:37 | Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | No | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4e1937… |
| 06-04 13:13:37 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4e1937… |
| 06-04 13:13:37 | Admirable-Patroller 0x1ca3…f137 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4e1937… |
| 06-04 13:13:37 | Plaintive-Harald 0xdd1c…63a3 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4e1937… |
| 06-03 16:16:57 | Yellow-Carbon 0xba5a…9fb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x7e6f9c… |
| 06-03 16:16:57 | Idealistic-Supporter 0x79d6…d2e2 | No | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7e6f9c… |
| 06-03 15:32:48 | Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 95¢ | $81 | 0xacfbf5… |
| 06-03 15:32:48 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xacfbf5… |
| 06-03 15:32:48 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xacfbf5… |
| 06-03 15:32:48 | Avaricious-Drainage 0x661d…1d3e | Yes | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0xacfbf5… |
| 06-03 15:32:48 | Idealistic-Supporter 0x79d6…d2e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xacfbf5… |
| 06-03 15:32:48 | Plaintive-Harald 0xdd1c…63a3 | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xacfbf5… |
| 06-02 08:44:13 | Plaintive-Harald 0xdd1c…63a3 | No | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9a0a9c… |
| 06-02 08:44:13 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x9a0a9c… |
| 05-31 10:21:39 | Agile-Barstool 0x20f2…00c2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x4361f0… |
| 05-31 10:21:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4361f0… |
| 05-31 10:21:39 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x4361f0… |
| 05-31 04:58:40 | Idealistic-Supporter 0x79d6…d2e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x7b6a4a… |
| 05-31 04:58:40 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x7b6a4a… |
| 05-31 04:58:40 | Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | No | SELL | 179 | 12¢ | $21 | 0x7b6a4a… |
| 05-31 04:58:40 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0x7b6a4a… |
| 05-31 04:58:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 96 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x7b6a4a… |
| 05-31 03:39:55 | Harmful-Lining 0xb1c9…de18 | No | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3d6f48… |
| 05-31 03:39:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3d6f48… |
| 05-30 23:45:35 | True-Parallelogram 0xe54b…aa14 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 84¢ | $19 | 0x4688ba… |
| 05-30 23:45:35 | Inferior-Snack 0x357d…7e16 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x4688ba… |
| 05-30 23:45:35 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x4688ba… |
| 05-30 12:38:47 | Fluid-Residue 0x74c1…8f03 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x48f825… |
| 05-30 12:38:47 | Idealistic-Supporter 0x79d6…d2e2 | No | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x48f825… |
| 05-30 10:29:59 | Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | No | BUY | 79 | 25¢ | $20 | 0xbc84f5… |