Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
open
Total volume
$12,115
Trades
411
Unique wallets
141
Liquidity
$1,320
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2025-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 05:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.8¢
(top1%: 96% YES on $47
vs crowd: 95% YES on $9.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $1.6K | $28 | +$1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $5.3K | $43 | +$5.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $167 | $295 | $128 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 86 | $1.9K | $78 | +$1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $45 | $2 | +$43 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $375 | $59 | +$316 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $151 | $18 | +$133 |
| Median | 9 | $16 | $133 | $117 |
| Below median | 22 | $147 | $53 | +$95 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $484 | $2 | +$482 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $1.4K | $2 | +$1.4K |
| unranked | 77 | $6.3K | $177 | +$6.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x73e7…c504 | Yes | +4,352 | $4,245 | $4,245 | 6 | 06-23 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f28…1cee | No | +3,000 | $132 | $132 | 13 | 06-22 17:51 |
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | +1,550 | $1,372 | $1,372 | 24 | 06-12 08:20 |
| Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | No | +1,360 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-22 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b1b…01df | Yes | +1,025 | $980 | $980 | 1 | 06-22 17:24 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +899 | $1 | $2 | 12 | 07-06 16:11 |
| Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | No | +703 | $108 | $151 | 8 | 06-06 22:51 |
| Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | +485 | $484 | $484 | 1 | 07-07 17:13 |
| Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | +399 | $-7 | $14 | 54 | 07-08 05:02 |
| Prudent-Foam 0x1bfd…40d0 | Yes | +307 | $306 | $306 | 3 | 06-29 20:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +232 | $20 | $28 | 11 | 07-02 15:38 |
| Bubbly-Gossip 0x8f33…bebc | Yes | +203 | $194 | $194 | 4 | 06-22 17:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +195 | $167 | $167 | 10 | 06-22 17:51 |
| Faint-Cereal 0xea4b…eb8c | No | +116 | $11 | $13 | 3 | 06-16 04:16 |
| Popular-Channel 0xb10f…56f4 | No | +105 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-23 11:33 |
| Elementary-Kennel 0x4a79…b31e | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-28 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x713c…41bb | Yes | +68 | $64 | $148 | 3 | 06-22 17:51 |
| Dual-Rhubarb 0xa6eb…21b9 | No | +54 | $4 | $16 | 2 | 06-14 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-28 08:46 |
| Unhappy-Fireman 0x0390…f0d5 | No | +43 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-11 07:15 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +39 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-22 17:34 |
| Bite-Sized-Genetics 0x5a96…4e13 | Yes | +38 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-22 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | No | +38 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xecf2…a1c0 | No | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 17:33 |
| Inferior-Snack 0x357d…7e16 | No | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-06 16:11 |
| Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | +28 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-07 18:45 |
| Funny-Lot-Remains 0x089c…66f6 | No | +27 | $-0 | $20 | 2 | 05-30 10:29 |
| Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | Yes | +26 | $21 | $132 | 13 | 07-03 20:04 |
| Peaceful-Stereo 0x35d5…077c | Yes | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-28 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d0c…39a7 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-28 16:09 |
| Agile-Barstool 0x20f2…00c2 | Yes | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-31 10:21 |
| Academic-Internet 0xb329…c71b | Yes | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-30 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x81d6…be2c | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-06 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x52bf…5b2c | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a85…c52e | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 09:13 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-29 01:14 |
| Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-05 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e1…8710 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf953…8d1f | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 13:10 |
| Flat-Dame 0x53fb…e92a | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 17:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-20 20:30 |
| Academic-Ball 0x3ece…af79 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 06:12 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 14:11 |
| Yellow-Carbon 0xba5a…9fb6 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-03 16:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 05:02:17 | Honest-Breakthrough 0x8923…1571 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x95e9e9… |
| 07-08 05:02:17 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x95e9e9… |
| 07-07 18:45:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3f7…7f63 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xdda760… |
| 07-07 18:45:14 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdda760… |
| 07-07 18:45:14 | (anonymous) 0xb77a…d769 | No | SELL | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdda760… |
| 07-07 17:44:04 | (anonymous) 0xc0ef…77a5 | No | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46a943… |
| 07-07 17:44:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3f7…7f63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x46a943… |
| 07-07 17:13:25 | Both-Picnic 0xa62f…413e | Yes | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xbac40b… |
| 07-07 17:13:25 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 215 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbac40b… |
| 07-07 17:13:25 | Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | BUY | 485 | 100¢ | $484 | 0xbac40b… |
| 07-07 17:13:25 | (anonymous) 0xc3f7…7f63 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbac40b… |
| 07-07 17:13:25 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbac40b… |
| 07-07 10:53:34 | Rectangular-Widget 0xac25…07b3 | No | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f1987… |
| 07-07 10:53:34 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f1987… |
| 07-06 18:08:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3f7…7f63 | No | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x782952… |
| 07-06 18:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x271e…1597 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x782952… |
| 07-06 16:11:58 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | SELL | 69 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xbb5513… |
| 07-06 16:11:58 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbb5513… |
| 07-06 16:11:58 | (anonymous) 0xad2a…adfc | Yes | SELL | 127 | 96¢ | $121 | 0xbb5513… |
| 07-06 16:11:58 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbb5513… |
| 07-06 16:11:58 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xbb5513… |
| 07-06 14:30:17 | (anonymous) 0x81d6…be2c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x643337… |
| 07-06 14:30:17 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x643337… |
| 07-06 08:39:04 | Dimpled-Boy 0x98d9…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xf9f0a0… |
| 07-06 08:39:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3f7…7f63 | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf9f0a0… |
| 07-06 08:39:04 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf9f0a0… |
| 07-04 00:58:01 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f9557… |
| 07-04 00:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x4177…bbe4 | No | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f9557… |
| 07-03 20:04:50 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7641d1… |
| 07-03 20:04:50 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7641d1… |
| 07-02 22:22:49 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1f3a06… |
| 07-02 22:22:49 | (anonymous) 0xb662…9a81 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x1f3a06… |
| 07-02 15:38:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 66 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x010750… |
| 07-02 15:38:59 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x010750… |
| 07-02 15:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x8132…8219 | Yes | SELL | 302 | 98¢ | $295 | 0x010750… |
| 07-01 20:23:32 | (anonymous) 0xdc9e…a540 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x5da256… |
| 07-01 20:23:32 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5da256… |
| 06-30 21:08:11 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ab8d1… |
| 06-30 21:08:11 | Academic-Internet 0xb329…c71b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x7ab8d1… |
| 06-30 21:07:01 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a1620… |
| 06-30 21:07:01 | Academic-Internet 0xb329…c71b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2a1620… |
| 06-30 07:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x21e6…02f8 | No | SELL | 254 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9294de… |
| 06-30 07:07:49 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0x9294de… |
| 06-30 07:07:49 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 178 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9294de… |
| 06-30 03:38:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6595f7… |
| 06-30 03:38:14 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | SELL | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6595f7… |
| 06-30 03:37:52 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | BUY | 66 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x610c12… |
| 06-30 03:37:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 66 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x610c12… |
| 06-29 20:34:13 | Prudent-Foam 0x1bfd…40d0 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x8ba572… |
| 06-29 20:34:13 | Corny-Infusion 0x0074…1cb6 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x8ba572… |
| 06-29 07:02:46 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x636e38… |
| 06-29 07:02:46 | (anonymous) 0xe0eb…456e | No | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x636e38… |
| 06-28 20:39:04 | Prudent-Foam 0x1bfd…40d0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xbcfc02… |
| 06-28 20:39:04 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcfc02… |
| 06-28 20:28:53 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43910e… |
| 06-28 20:28:53 | Prudent-Foam 0x1bfd…40d0 | Yes | BUY | 238 | 100¢ | $237 | 0x43910e… |
| 06-28 16:09:32 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b6eb4… |
| 06-28 16:09:32 | (anonymous) 0x1d0c…39a7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x5b6eb4… |
| 06-28 10:02:34 | Present-Pine 0x7a7c…eca0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa33952… |
| 06-28 10:02:34 | (anonymous) 0x1d36…736d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa33952… |
| 06-28 08:46:01 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x3fc437… |
| 06-28 08:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x3fc437… |
| 06-27 20:18:31 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | SELL | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x08d8ab… |
| 06-27 20:18:31 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x08d8ab… |
| 06-27 20:18:31 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 86 | 98¢ | $85 | 0x08d8ab… |
| 06-27 19:53:28 | (anonymous) 0xfb4b…c624 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x798a3e… |
| 06-27 19:53:28 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x798a3e… |
| 06-27 12:53:04 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x01a18c… |
| 06-27 12:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x7365…61b0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x01a18c… |
| 06-27 10:30:52 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3f0e04… |
| 06-27 10:30:52 | (anonymous) 0xac70…dfb1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x3f0e04… |
| 06-27 01:17:14 | Wicked-Hops 0x860d…6071 | No | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd266f… |
| 06-27 01:17:14 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd266f… |
| 06-26 23:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x6d30…e602 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6f24af… |
| 06-26 23:10:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f24af… |
| 06-26 19:31:04 | (anonymous) 0xf7af…f0c9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbfe8b8… |
| 06-26 19:31:04 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbfe8b8… |
| 06-26 12:36:26 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | SELL | 141 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7bb4b4… |
| 06-26 12:36:26 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…adb9 | Yes | SELL | 141 | 98¢ | $139 | 0x7bb4b4… |
| 06-26 12:16:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d9342… |
| 06-26 12:16:38 | Admirable-Capon 0x3594…dc58 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1d9342… |
| 06-26 07:30:38 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x004ebc… |
| 06-26 07:30:38 | Attractive-Gutter 0xcbcc…4a86 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x004ebc… |
| 06-25 12:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x0520…4458 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x415269… |
| 06-25 12:51:04 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x415269… |
| 06-25 12:07:37 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x45296d… |
| 06-25 12:07:37 | Tight-Luncheonette 0x00ba…c5ff | Yes | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x45296d… |
| 06-24 12:29:58 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 97 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ba563… |
| 06-24 12:29:58 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe31483… |
| 06-24 12:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x33fe…da25 | No | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe31483… |
| 06-24 12:29:58 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 97 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8f873… |
| 06-24 12:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x8bbf…d9ad | No | SELL | 97 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8f873… |
| 06-24 12:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x938c…9f55 | No | SELL | 97 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ba563… |
| 06-24 12:29:56 | Avaricious-Drainage 0x661d…1d3e | No | SELL | 300 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x26ce26… |
| 06-24 12:29:56 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x26ce26… |
| 06-24 10:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x3091…914d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x3d5c30… |
| 06-24 10:37:49 | Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | No | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3d5c30… |
| 06-24 10:08:28 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4ab511… |
| 06-24 10:08:28 | Bewitched-Hassock 0xb8e8…ef2b | No | SELL | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ab511… |
| 06-24 10:08:28 | (anonymous) 0xa1af…e231 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4ab511… |