Elementary-Kennel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$4.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$53

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-06 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

43% 0% $-2

Other

41% — —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes		+343	$48	14¢	$46	$-2	06-06 14:41
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No		+100	$10	7¢	$7	$-3	05-28 03:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$583	300	300	+0	open	—	04-08 02:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	17	$549	558	739	-181	open	—	03-19 20:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$470	270	270	+0	open	—	04-14 08:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 08:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 07:37
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$230	200	200	+0	Yes	$-2	04-27 05:54
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	3	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:51
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	7	$162	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 18:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 13:16
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$141	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 00:39
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	12	$133	190	240	-50	open	—	03-19 19:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	05-23 10:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	15	$84	856	856	+0	open	—	05-22 14:00
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	05-29 03:14
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	2	$76	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 15:02
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	05-29 03:10
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	3	$63	100	100	+0	open	—	05-05 11:09
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	5	$59	88	88	+0	open	—	03-25 00:20
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 10:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 80 99	2	$55	300	300	+0	open	—	03-19 20:29
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	2	$54	85	85	+0	open	—	03-23 17:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	2	$50	71	71	+0	open	—	03-24 11:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$48	343	0	+343	open	—	06-06 14:41
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	4	$46	125	125	+0	open	—	05-16 07:36
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	4	$43	85	85	+0	open	—	05-29 03:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	24	24	+0	open	—	05-13 07:52
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 02:11
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 120 139	2	$29	97	97	+0	open	—	03-20 20:31
mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 11:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 14:41:43	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	14¢	$48	0xcc376c…
06-06 11:57:58	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x624691…
06-06 11:23:57	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x329e5c…
06-06 11:23:48	mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x477b46…
06-06 11:07:09	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6c7580…
06-06 11:06:24	mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x57cdfa…
06-06 10:54:00	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x1252d7…
06-06 10:51:45	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x53efd2…
06-06 10:50:10	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0fe644…
06-06 10:10:03	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xbc2c66…
06-06 10:06:16	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x705deb…
06-06 09:49:43	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x912815…
06-06 09:44:55	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe3f34a…
06-03 15:14:15	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	667	1¢	$5	0x2eb79b…
06-03 14:38:13	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$6	0x44e2a3…
06-03 14:36:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x11f28f…
06-02 03:05:46	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x821631…
06-02 02:41:21	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xa64784…
06-02 02:39:25	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x467102…
06-02 02:34:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf42b98…
06-02 02:33:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x681525…
06-02 02:28:43	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x434a34…
06-02 02:28:10	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x898b19…
06-02 02:11:39	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xecf33d…
06-02 02:10:38	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xc10eef…
05-29 03:21:18	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xc92724…
05-29 03:19:54	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	17¢	$9	0x8654d8…
05-29 03:14:02	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x1db7b8…
05-29 03:13:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xe894a9…
05-29 03:10:04	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x62e8bd…
05-29 03:09:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x1ffff5…
05-28 03:49:40	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x508eaf…
05-28 03:46:39	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x636f74…
05-27 19:57:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0x7cc4ba…
05-25 03:25:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x1b40bc…
05-23 12:57:22	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0xcf0670…
05-23 12:55:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0x084fe1…
05-23 10:53:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x4d1e46…
05-22 14:00:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x84942b…
05-18 11:34:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xc24beb…
05-18 03:40:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9f6749…
05-18 03:25:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf166ee…
05-16 07:52:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0xce3ff2…
05-16 07:50:32	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x654034…
05-16 07:36:27	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0xd5691e…
05-16 07:34:46	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x72e9b4…
05-16 07:28:38	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x94420f…
05-16 07:26:46	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xcd6d53…
05-13 07:52:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x9043b7…
05-13 07:52:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x92b7ed…
05-13 07:08:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x76e464…
05-13 06:48:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xfa9303…
05-06 19:14:19	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4950e7…
05-06 14:43:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	836	3¢	$24	0xd6fb80…
05-06 13:16:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x775bee…
05-06 12:35:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x83ce14…
05-06 12:29:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0x784530…
05-06 12:26:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0x2d54cd…
05-06 12:21:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$3	0xe06479…
05-06 11:52:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xeeede7…
05-06 11:49:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xd9f775…
05-06 11:43:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x32c3f3…
05-06 11:38:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	135	2¢	$3	0x7b2e69…
05-06 11:34:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x79edfe…
05-06 11:33:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb1dc85…
05-06 11:18:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x7bc21f…
05-06 11:16:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x2c7180…
05-06 08:24:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0xb8939d…
05-06 08:20:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x56f8ad…
05-06 08:18:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x775ba7…
05-05 11:22:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0x1e617e…
05-05 11:09:34	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xec8663…
05-05 11:08:00	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	85	32¢	$27	0xb90b21…
05-05 11:08:00	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x080a04…
05-01 19:04:26	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	502	4¢	$20	0xb3821e…
04-28 00:39:50	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$43	0x2e5db1…
04-27 07:34:26	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x0f93ab…
04-27 05:54:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x11bbc9…
04-27 05:54:34	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x1da91b…
04-23 11:00:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xa33f82…
04-23 08:08:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xd234cd…
04-23 07:48:08	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x7612a1…
04-23 07:47:56	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x764b39…
04-19 11:05:32	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 160 179	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xba1ae3…
04-14 08:54:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	270	86¢	$232	0x702946…
04-14 08:37:23	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	270	88¢	$238	0xf3f58f…
04-14 08:13:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x75f5d1…
04-14 05:50:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xd28f93…
04-08 07:37:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x3043a1…
04-08 06:00:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	92¢	$76	0x84934e…
04-08 06:00:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x82470a…
04-08 05:49:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x66882b…
04-08 05:43:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xd14ab7…
04-08 05:27:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb46691…
04-08 05:18:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x33e78b…
04-08 02:00:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x9d07fb…
04-08 01:59:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2a03c6…
04-08 01:57:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x47f691…
04-08 01:56:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xe1cb9e…
04-08 01:53:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xddef0d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	43	$10.1M	16,505	06-10 03:36
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	41	$331.7K	5,790	06-09 18:06
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	39	$200.6K	15,974	06-09 09:59
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	39	$4.17K	775	06-09 18:09
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	38	$55.9K	1,102	06-10 03:10
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	34	$12.9K	1,292	06-06 22:51
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	29	$14.9K	3,474	05-06 23:02
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	28	$59.7K	331	06-08 20:15