Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7eb…2bd5f3
whale hot
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Realized P&L
+$9.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.14K
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
2,155
Trades
14,669
lifetime
Volume
$1.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$9.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 283 days
Categories
Politics
66% 62% +$21,062
Other
28% 57% -$11,744
Tech
3% 72% +$1,465
Sports
2% 57% -$1,055
Crypto
1% 62% -$113
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$271
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +1,235 $1,083 100¢ $1.2K +$146 10-25 19:40
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +1,083 $782 98¢ $1.1K +$277 10-23 23:39
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +1,000 $354 98¢ $980 +$625 10-24 02:42
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1,250 $1,094 72¢ $894 -$200 10-25 06:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,272 $936 70¢ $884 -$52 10-27 06:44
perim island no longer under houthi control by october 31 20260916 No +600 $348 98¢ $589 +$241 10-22 09:22
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,321 $502 35¢ $462 -$40 10-27 11:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +422 $395 97¢ $410 +$15 10-27 16:38
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +412 $283 99¢ $406 +$123 10-27 05:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $377 68¢ $405 +$28 10-25 04:10
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +1,848 $389 15¢ $268 -$121 08-22 21:44
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +339 $328 72¢ $242 -$85 10-26 05:52
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,121 $202 21¢ $236 +$34 10-22 22:08
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +200 $75 99¢ $197 +$123 10-01 21:27
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +450 $86 35¢ $158 +$72 10-19 02:11
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +200 $142 69¢ $137 -$5 10-17 06:59
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +140 $120 96¢ $135 +$15 10-27 07:04
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +200 $126 66¢ $131 +$5 10-24 20:33
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +150 $45 80¢ $120 +$75 10-27 11:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +165 $71 72¢ $118 +$47 09-14 04:27
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +935 $194 12¢ $112 -$82 10-15 20:45
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 Yes +400 $120 26¢ $102 -$18 08-07 12:33
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +150 $81 50¢ $75 -$6 10-27 19:45
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +165 $135 42¢ $70 -$65 10-27 06:22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +77 $57 80¢ $62 +$5 10-25 18:56
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +60 $53 96¢ $58 +$5 10-10 21:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$1 10-24 22:54
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +632 $55 8¢ $47 -$7 09-28 20:55
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +60 $25 79¢ $47 +$22 09-14 05:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $76 18¢ $36 -$40 08-02 02:22