Prudent-Foam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.74K

Unrealized P&L

+$321

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,707

lifetime

Volume

$675.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$396

Open exposure

$49.1K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

72% 90% +$6,001

Tech

23% 96% +$670

Crypto

4% 100% +$51

Politics

1% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+30,524	$30,127	99¢	$30.1K	+$15	10-23 16:04
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	+14,290	$14,108	98¢	$14.0K	-$118	10-26 02:49
gta vi released before november 2026	No	+3,697	$3,349	100¢	$3.7K	+$344	10-22 17:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+1,000	$995	100¢	$996	+$1	10-25 17:23
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	+217	$216	98¢	$212	-$4	10-26 19:16
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	+24	$23	100¢	$24	+$1	10-24 06:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+0	-$81	93¢	$0	+$81	05-31 05:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gta 6 cost 100	205	$162.1K	163,627	0	+163,627	No	+$1,534	03-01 06:28
GTA VI released before June 2026?	553	$100.9K	101,643	800	+100,843	No	+$1,569	05-27 07:14
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	29	$35.6K	29,129	6,747	+22,383	Yes	+$254	10-22 17:19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$30.1K	30,524	0	+30,524	open	—	10-23 16:04
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	126	$27.2K	0	55,561	-55,561	cancelled	-$556	05-27 20:59
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	19	$18.8K	18,922	0	+18,922	Yes	+$99	10-21 16:16
will mrbeast hit 470 million subscribers by march 31 822	19	$17.2K	17,472	0	+17,472	Yes	+$260	03-05 19:41
gta vi released before november 2026	13	$14.6K	9,317	5,620	+3,697	open	—	10-22 17:19
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	19	$14.5K	6,260	8,837	-2,577	Yes	+$11	01-31 13:00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	23	$14.3K	14,367	76	+14,290	open	—	10-26 02:49
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	1	$11.9K	11,895	0	+11,895	Yes	+$12	01-31 17:24
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	3	$10.0K	10,029	0	+10,029	No	+$13	03-31 23:57
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$9.7K	9,639	100	+9,539	Spain	+$25	07-19 22:05
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	43	$9.5K	9,714	0	+9,714	No	+$166	06-28 20:43
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	15	$9.5K	9,890	0	+9,890	Yes	+$366	07-06 11:26
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	26	$9.0K	5,563	5,281	+282	Yes	+$1,569	05-17 12:40
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	32	$8.5K	7,692	2,000	+5,692	Yes	-$138	04-27 18:17
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	4	$8.4K	8,470	0	+8,470	No	+$28	05-31 17:14
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in less than 1 hour	7	$8.3K	8,393	0	+8,393	No	+$140	01-25 01:52
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	20	$8.1K	7,669	499	+7,169	No	+$68	02-13 20:30
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	1	$8.0K	8,066	0	+8,066	No	+$81	07-08 11:00
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	2	$7.4K	7,428	0	+7,428	Yes	+$15	02-08 13:04
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	9	$7.3K	7,340	0	+7,340	No	+$43	09-27 03:48
will mrbeast hit 472 million subscribers by march 31	13	$6.9K	6,995	0	+6,995	Yes	+$91	03-16 19:03
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	15	$6.9K	7,138	0	+7,138	Yes	+$271	05-19 15:47
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	28	$6.2K	6,307	0	+6,307	Yes	+$144	05-19 15:15
will mrbeast hit 460 million subscribers by january 31	3	$6.1K	6,113	0	+6,113	Yes	+$47	01-03 18:16
gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	31	$5.8K	5,886	60	+5,826	No	+$110	07-31 09:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	3	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	01-31 16:58
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	28	$4.9K	4,891	0	+4,891	Yes	+$14	01-25 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:16:56	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	217	99¢	$216	0x880fd9…
10-26 02:49:33	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xefbbad…
10-25 17:23:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xd1b71e…
10-25 17:23:20	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x7811a1…
10-24 21:50:03	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xa19c5a…
10-24 21:49:38	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0x1199f7…
10-24 21:49:29	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xc6d75f…
10-24 21:49:20	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xe1d727…
10-24 21:49:03	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xe8e1f9…
10-24 21:48:56	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xa5e770…
10-24 10:45:26	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	198	99¢	$196	0xfa77a8…
10-24 10:36:00	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x815e32…
10-24 10:35:50	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x520f85…
10-24 10:35:00	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xbe19d5…
10-24 06:04:45	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x2bfe36…
10-24 04:08:02	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1,800	99¢	$1,786	0xcaf1c6…
10-24 04:06:56	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1,790	99¢	$1,776	0x911baa…
10-24 04:06:33	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5147a9…
10-24 04:05:36	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xce52ce…
10-23 18:49:00	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x6897d8…
10-23 16:06:02	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x271d60…
10-23 16:04:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	30,524	99¢	$30,127	0x441aed…
10-23 15:51:45	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	592	99¢	$587	0xdb1999…
10-23 15:50:30	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x9d73a4…
10-23 15:49:06	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	2,149	99¢	$2,123	0x64babc…
10-23 15:45:56	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x23aab3…
10-23 15:22:24	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x547144…
10-23 15:21:48	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa08b48…
10-23 15:21:38	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x4e8172…
10-23 15:20:24	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xab89e1…
10-23 15:20:21	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x18370f…
10-23 15:20:15	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x352a0b…
10-23 15:20:09	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x5c1936…
10-23 15:20:03	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x02eb6a…
10-23 15:18:24	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2cd3c6…
10-23 15:16:47	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xbf4aca…
10-23 15:16:29	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x2f24d4…
10-22 17:19:29	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,520	100¢	$1,516	0x0a835a…
10-22 17:19:12	GTA VI released by October 31?	No	SELL	1,518	100¢	$1,516	0x5380fb…
10-21 16:16:35	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x54803d…
10-21 16:05:54	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	402	100¢	$401	0x6da175…
10-21 16:04:32	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0x95345f…
10-21 16:04:14	GTA VI released by October 31?	No	SELL	1,900	100¢	$1,898	0x33207e…
10-21 16:02:20	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x75b858…
10-21 16:02:14	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,080	100¢	$2,074	0xe20c96…
10-21 16:01:51	GTA VI released by October 31?	No	SELL	2,202	100¢	$2,200	0x03b9d3…
10-17 09:11:54	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	741	100¢	$739	0xc60c71…
10-17 09:10:14	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3d48c9…
10-17 09:10:03	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0bfd59…
10-16 12:48:21	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	771	99¢	$767	0x4b1cc9…
10-16 12:34:07	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0xeaa2ac…
10-16 04:41:34	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb98b2c…
10-15 19:21:41	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x56418d…
10-15 17:56:41	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x5dc3a3…
10-14 14:11:42	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$981	0x83f3bc…
10-14 00:14:28	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x5a51f8…
10-13 13:14:53	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x071200…
10-10 14:16:55	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf2f245…
10-10 14:16:22	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	3,607	98¢	$3,550	0x9ea469…
10-09 14:47:43	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x7a4836…
10-09 14:27:16	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	108	95¢	$103	0x1c13a4…
10-09 08:28:06	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0xae9f97…
10-09 08:09:24	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	27¢	$14	0x249f97…
10-09 08:09:01	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x122324…
10-09 08:08:49	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x60cfa9…
10-09 08:08:46	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xbd6389…
10-09 08:03:19	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfc706f…
10-09 02:34:54	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x0e1f5a…
10-09 02:34:51	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xeaf301…
10-09 02:34:48	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x58ccd2…
10-09 02:04:32	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5c994b…
10-08 02:59:53	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x0448f5…
09-30 19:33:45	will apple release a foldable iphone by october 31	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5e40e7…
09-29 14:55:42	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa55fd6…
09-27 03:48:33	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	No	BUY	2,978	100¢	$2,976	0xd2b79b…
09-27 03:48:12	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	783	100¢	$782	0xd1727b…
09-23 13:58:52	will apple release a foldable iphone by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,457	99¢	$1,437	0x2da6dd…
09-21 09:42:15	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	931	98¢	$913	0x1c7bd9…
09-20 03:02:21	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	473	95¢	$451	0x636d43…
09-19 00:02:46	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0xe76ba1…
09-16 15:18:12	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	265	95¢	$252	0x6a4cbf…
09-16 15:17:59	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x7efa17…
09-16 15:17:41	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x15be68…
09-16 15:17:30	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x10c1eb…
09-16 15:17:09	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x48b565…
09-16 15:16:57	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x77c72a…
09-16 15:16:23	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	161	98¢	$158	0x12eb3c…
09-16 03:35:55	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$35	0x3ded05…
09-16 03:33:16	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xaff030…
09-16 03:30:52	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x302b0c…
09-16 03:29:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x147a18…
09-15 14:17:37	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdc7202…
09-15 05:19:16	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x912481…
09-14 16:50:06	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x96f13d…
09-14 16:37:30	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7a4d15…
09-14 03:40:22	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	No	BUY	86	95¢	$81	0x605946…
09-14 03:39:46	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?	Yes	BUY	190	97¢	$185	0x34cae2…
09-14 03:39:33	Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Yes	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0xa91e0b…
09-13 15:32:25	Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb492da…
09-13 15:31:28	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x100b3a…