Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved
458
Trades
560
lifetime
Volume
$827
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$38
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-07 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
81% 98% +$3
Politics
9% 98% +$1
Tech
8% 94% +$1
Sports
2% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +15 $13 94¢ $15 +$2 06-02 14:47
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-05 01:36
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-28 22:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-05 01:27
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-05 01:35
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 06-13 18:41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-05 01:35
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-05 01:36
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $0 07-01 13:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-11 11:51
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-05 01:33
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-05 01:35
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-05 01:35