Dual-Rhubarb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$7.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-17 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

45% 67% $-1

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-20	$-19	96¢	$-19	$-1	06-03 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$976	500	500	+0	open	—	04-14 08:51
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	7	$709	427	427	+0	open	—	04-27 05:51
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$459	400	400	+0	Yes	$-2	04-27 09:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$445	250	250	+0	open	—	04-14 07:21
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	3	$424	220	220	+0	open	—	04-23 07:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 07:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 04:42
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$264	60	260	-200	open	—	04-27 05:18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 07:29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	7	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 04:36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-06 05:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 14:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 16:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$191	879	879	+0	open	—	05-12 12:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$189	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 07:16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	3	$180	501	501	+0	open	—	05-16 11:15
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	9	$144	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 11:14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$109	78	78	+0	open	—	05-12 15:15
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	12	$104	108	108	+0	open	—	07-17 07:52
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	6	$92	60	60	+0	open	—	07-17 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	05-12 13:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$81	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	05-22 14:00
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	5	$66	40	40	+0	open	—	07-17 07:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	05-12 13:10
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 12:18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 04:28
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	4	$51	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 05:30
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	4	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	07-09 06:04
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 07:56:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x4d199a…
07-17 07:55:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x45cab4…
07-17 07:52:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x8d8862…
07-17 07:52:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x00b8a5…
07-17 07:51:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xe5cc64…
07-17 07:51:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xfc85ea…
07-17 07:51:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x23b647…
07-17 07:51:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xafb005…
07-17 07:50:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3aa5ec…
07-17 07:49:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x070849…
07-17 07:42:43	will leonardo dicaprio attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357133	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x275059…
07-17 07:42:33	will leonardo dicaprio attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357133	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x916062…
07-17 07:42:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x6ee596…
07-17 07:42:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0xd9bbde…
07-17 07:42:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xc306a3…
07-17 07:42:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x069e91…
07-17 07:36:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5785f5…
07-17 07:24:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xb589ce…
07-17 07:21:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xad3242…
07-17 07:20:18	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe06d0c…
07-17 07:19:04	will the announcers say bieber during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403319	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x189c80…
07-17 07:17:57	will the announcers say bieber during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403319	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc27a44…
07-17 07:09:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x242c79…
07-17 07:07:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xaa677f…
07-17 06:53:16	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x8e479e…
07-16 06:13:59	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x4139a8…
07-16 06:13:29	will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xffa0e6…
07-16 06:10:14	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x3537a7…
07-16 06:10:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x5aa15f…
07-16 06:09:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf00eb6…
07-16 06:09:43	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9b2d87…
07-16 05:52:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x6e0257…
07-16 05:51:31	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1be8e2…
07-16 05:49:53	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xcd42c4…
07-16 05:48:37	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xddd0af…
07-16 05:35:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xbbf720…
07-16 05:34:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x19203e…
07-09 06:52:14	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xbc8052…
07-09 06:50:41	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x817ebf…
07-09 06:50:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$3	0x66b4bf…
07-09 06:47:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x3129ed…
07-09 06:37:40	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xd6f2a6…
07-09 06:36:14	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe1f18d…
07-09 06:17:37	will the toronto raptors make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742400	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x5b4290…
07-09 06:13:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x41d4c9…
07-09 06:12:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc7a55c…
07-09 06:07:19	will the toronto raptors make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742400	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x8d1e4f…
07-09 06:04:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x5c34d4…
07-09 06:03:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7bc295…
07-09 06:02:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x3a869c…
07-09 06:01:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc1238d…
06-30 09:52:26	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x792c17…
06-30 09:51:38	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc8531f…
06-30 09:12:31	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x6762d3…
06-30 09:04:59	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xd117fc…
06-30 09:03:41	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526267	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xd5cd2e…
06-30 09:02:58	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526267	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa04ea7…
06-22 12:04:01	will mu dip to 1020 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xce50f4…
06-22 11:19:32	will mu dip to 1020 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf11388…
06-22 11:00:40	will mu dip to 1020 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xaaf115…
06-22 10:59:23	will mu dip to 1020 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xfc632d…
06-17 07:35:35	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xa8398a…
06-17 07:35:05	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204724	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x2742c5…
06-14 17:45:48	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	SELL	46	14¢	$6	0xc86f12…
06-06 12:56:52	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xb05ab5…
06-06 12:48:45	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x052d95…
06-06 12:31:43	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x244a93…
06-06 12:19:31	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x66c0bb…
06-06 12:18:21	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xe2cc3c…
06-06 12:17:40	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x49a782…
06-06 12:15:22	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c498c…
06-06 11:59:45	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x1c31e1…
06-06 11:57:58	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x624691…
06-06 11:41:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	524	2¢	$10	0xf75b3d…
06-03 17:06:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	194	2¢	$3	0x01f96f…
06-03 15:14:36	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$4	0x648a10…
06-03 15:05:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	524	2¢	$11	0xb5d9c2…
06-03 15:04:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	194	2¢	$3	0x02ff86…
06-03 14:56:09	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xce1996…
06-03 14:20:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xb4c368…
06-02 04:28:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	43	45¢	$19	0xb83b2a…
06-02 04:28:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x959e5b…
06-02 04:27:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x06b2af…
06-02 04:26:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x51bc9f…
05-29 05:36:10	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x79ed31…
05-29 05:33:59	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb337bd…
05-29 05:30:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x9356b6…
05-29 05:28:12	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x228e6f…
05-29 05:23:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xd36897…
05-29 05:21:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xfe61fe…
05-29 04:13:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x2c3984…
05-29 04:11:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x5dc66e…
05-29 03:47:28	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	SELL	47	13¢	$6	0x864443…
05-29 03:46:58	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0xa6cf9e…
05-28 03:46:39	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x636f74…
05-27 19:47:25	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf3ae9a…
05-23 15:18:15	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x4d41df…
05-23 14:55:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0xf98f29…
05-23 14:38:56	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa5c9a9…
05-23 13:41:46	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1dcd90…