Dual-Rhubarb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$7.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-06 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

45% 67% $-1

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-20	$-19	94¢	$-19	$-0	06-03 14:20
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No		+100	$10	10¢	$10	+$0	05-28 03:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$976	500	500	+0	open	—	04-14 08:51
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	7	$709	427	427	+0	open	—	04-27 05:51
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	4	$459	400	400	+0	Yes	$-2	04-27 09:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$445	250	250	+0	open	—	04-14 07:21
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	3	$424	220	220	+0	open	—	04-23 07:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 07:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 04:42
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$264	60	260	-200	open	—	04-27 05:18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 07:29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	7	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 04:36
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-06 05:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 14:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 16:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$191	879	879	+0	open	—	05-12 12:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$189	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 07:16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	3	$180	501	501	+0	open	—	05-16 11:15
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	9	$144	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 11:14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$109	78	78	+0	open	—	05-12 15:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	05-12 13:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$81	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	05-22 14:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	05-12 13:10
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 12:18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 04:28
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	4	$51	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 05:30
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 20:24
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	4	$41	140	140	+0	open	—	05-16 11:09
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-23 14:38
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 13:45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	2	$39	43	43	+0	open	—	06-02 04:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 12:56:52	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xb05ab5…
06-06 12:48:45	acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 18 2026 3pt69	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x052d95…
06-06 12:31:43	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x244a93…
06-06 12:19:31	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x66c0bb…
06-06 12:18:21	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xe2cc3c…
06-06 12:17:40	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x49a782…
06-06 12:15:22	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c498c…
06-06 11:59:45	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x1c31e1…
06-06 11:57:58	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 18 2026 1pt58	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x624691…
06-06 11:41:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	524	2¢	$10	0xf75b3d…
06-03 17:06:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	194	2¢	$3	0x01f96f…
06-03 15:14:36	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$4	0x648a10…
06-03 15:05:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	524	2¢	$11	0xb5d9c2…
06-03 15:04:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	194	2¢	$3	0x02ff86…
06-03 14:56:09	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xce1996…
06-03 14:20:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xb4c368…
06-02 04:28:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	43	45¢	$19	0xb83b2a…
06-02 04:28:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x959e5b…
06-02 04:27:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x06b2af…
06-02 04:26:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x51bc9f…
05-29 05:36:10	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x79ed31…
05-29 05:33:59	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xb337bd…
05-29 05:30:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x9356b6…
05-29 05:28:12	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x228e6f…
05-29 05:23:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xd36897…
05-29 05:21:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xfe61fe…
05-29 04:13:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x2c3984…
05-29 04:11:51	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x5dc66e…
05-29 03:47:28	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	SELL	47	13¢	$6	0x864443…
05-29 03:46:58	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	BUY	47	13¢	$6	0xa6cf9e…
05-28 03:46:39	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x636f74…
05-27 19:47:25	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf3ae9a…
05-23 15:18:15	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x4d41df…
05-23 14:55:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0xf98f29…
05-23 14:38:56	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa5c9a9…
05-23 13:41:46	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1dcd90…
05-22 14:26:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xc18da1…
05-22 14:00:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x84942b…
05-22 13:45:46	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x941269…
05-16 23:39:16	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa11f4f…
05-16 18:43:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5545c6…
05-16 16:51:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xb090fa…
05-16 16:35:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x2c2660…
05-16 15:52:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x242c0b…
05-16 11:15:40	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	SELL	501	17¢	$85	0xbbc2ac…
05-16 11:14:09	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0xdaf644…
05-16 11:14:09	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	ex-HEROIC	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x30f4a1…
05-16 11:09:27	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xd0b247…
05-16 11:07:46	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x86a05a…
05-16 10:59:22	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xcb77db…
05-16 10:58:47	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6617dc…
05-16 04:36:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x98bf96…
05-15 19:36:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x0583b8…
05-15 16:00:24	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc13ad5…
05-15 13:45:48	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x376b70…
05-15 13:44:08	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x94e6ff…
05-15 12:40:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x49d91a…
05-15 12:32:09	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8fea63…
05-12 15:15:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xc369cd…
05-12 15:13:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x1959c0…
05-12 13:32:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x311725…
05-12 13:30:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xabc9a2…
05-12 13:14:29	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xab8903…
05-12 13:10:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	34	93¢	$32	0xe31a44…
05-12 13:06:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x20453b…
05-12 12:58:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0x5d5e8d…
05-12 12:48:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0x543119…
05-12 12:38:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x984e1a…
05-12 12:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x6c4ae9…
05-12 12:22:50	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xafa068…
05-12 10:41:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xb95af1…
05-12 10:37:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xac91a4…
05-12 10:23:06	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1907a6…
05-12 08:45:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x8ec175…
05-12 08:39:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xc2547b…
05-06 14:38:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x95e1d2…
05-06 12:38:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$25	0x6ccfd7…
05-06 11:32:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	800	2¢	$17	0x1ffd87…
05-06 11:16:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x2c7180…
05-06 11:11:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x84ce92…
05-06 11:03:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	2¢	$4	0xa67a35…
05-06 10:56:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x54864b…
05-06 10:54:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x9c1301…
05-06 10:36:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x60aa1f…
05-06 10:30:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x8d6d40…
05-06 08:01:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x155bee…
05-06 07:57:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	664	2¢	$16	0x2f4a91…
05-06 07:16:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	95¢	$84	0x35341d…
05-06 07:07:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x6275de…
05-06 06:19:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3f39ad…
05-06 05:33:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	82	97¢	$79	0xa43b6a…
05-06 05:29:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x234a2e…
05-06 05:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0xb149fa…
05-06 05:20:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xccc0ce…
05-06 05:18:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x446083…
05-05 11:20:10	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0x766aaa…
05-01 18:48:52	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd44c92…
04-28 02:30:34	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0x8dcecc…
04-28 02:21:38	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x82b6b5…
04-27 09:25:58	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	200	57¢	$113	0xbe1a24…