Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$78

13 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-21 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-40

Politics

27% — —

Pop-Culture

6% 0% $-10

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+32	$10	46¢	$15	+$5	06-29 22:57
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	+18	$10	60¢	$11	+$1	06-30 03:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	+42	$10	26¢	$11	+$1	06-29 22:44
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+17	$10	60¢	$10	+$0	06-29 22:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	+167	$10	5¢	$8	$-2	07-03 02:28
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?	No	+24	$10	27¢	$7	$-3	06-06 10:51
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	+31	$10	18¢	$6	$-4	07-03 02:28
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	+14	$4	24¢	$3	$-0	06-30 03:36
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	+5	$3	62¢	$3	+$0	06-30 03:43
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	+39	$1	4¢	$2	+$1	06-30 03:37
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	+39	$9	4¢	$1	$-8	06-01 11:41
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	+24	$2	5¢	$1	$-1	06-30 03:36
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?	No	+56	$9	0¢	$0	$-9	06-01 13:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	2	$76	69	69	+0	open	—	07-21 17:53
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	2	$50	0	63	-63	open	—	06-19 03:55
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	3	$50	8	49	-41	open	—	06-29 15:48
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	2	$36	28	28	+0	open	—	07-14 13:22
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	1	$34	0	35	-35	open	—	06-29 15:41
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?	4	$34	216	28	+188	open	—	05-16 18:39
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$33	210	0	+210	open	—	06-21 08:59
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	2	$33	7	30	-23	open	—	06-24 09:01
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	2	$31	0	33	-33	open	—	07-01 00:45
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	2	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	06-29 22:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	2	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	07-12 17:28
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	07-20 16:04
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	06-27 10:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	07-07 20:12
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	07-21 03:17
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	07-07 17:29
will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	06-30 23:08
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	07-07 09:33
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	07-07 23:48
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	06-24 03:12
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	07-07 23:49
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	07-07 23:57
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	1	$22	0	23	-23	open	—	06-24 15:37
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	07-07 23:49
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	06-01 04:05
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	2	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	07-07 23:49
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	07-04 14:34
will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	07-07 23:49
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	3	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	07-07 23:49
New Half-Life game by June 30?	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	06-26 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:53:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	SELL	69	95¢	$66	0x714cca…
07-21 03:17:49	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xd183c6…
07-20 16:04:21	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xd457a5…
07-20 14:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x1ac2f8…
07-20 14:35:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x6f9036…
07-17 15:12:34	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x96bd8d…
07-14 20:04:29	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	BUY	194	4¢	$8	0x11fd1a…
07-14 20:03:11	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0x2a65f8…
07-14 13:22:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0xadd69d…
07-12 17:28:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x380975…
07-09 13:34:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf0c582…
07-08 22:25:47	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x04ba4e…
07-08 03:56:59	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x5c1376…
07-07 23:57:59	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x97e898…
07-07 23:50:22	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf03fb7…
07-07 23:50:22	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xb8019b…
07-07 23:50:22	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x8a3ca3…
07-07 23:50:20	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x9d513a…
07-07 23:50:20	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	94	4¢	$3	0x558f49…
07-07 23:50:20	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x53095e…
07-07 23:50:19	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x26711d…
07-07 23:49:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x987649…
07-07 23:49:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xf06054…
07-07 23:49:35	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0xcdde6f…
07-07 23:49:28	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x01b46c…
07-07 23:49:20	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x268007…
07-07 23:48:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xb35954…
07-07 23:41:43	will trump praise elon musk by july 31 20260626214328040	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x9659d0…
07-07 23:41:43	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	No	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x76536f…
07-07 23:41:43	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0d5240…
07-07 23:41:41	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	BUY	83	13¢	$11	0xe757d2…
07-07 20:12:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x082ccc…
07-07 17:29:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x26a24e…
07-07 15:37:07	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x6ceec3…
07-07 15:37:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe8b944…
07-07 15:37:05	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb23dcb…
07-07 15:37:04	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x439b4d…
07-07 09:33:41	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0xe23535…
07-04 14:34:07	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xb98086…
07-03 02:28:04	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x44926b…
07-03 02:28:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x0b2970…
07-02 14:23:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x3890ef…
07-02 03:32:40	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x924450…
07-02 03:32:40	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x54b023…
07-02 03:32:38	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa1764d…
07-02 03:32:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5d53b6…
07-02 03:32:38	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x28f696…
07-01 19:55:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xf4144e…
07-01 16:03:52	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc43471…
07-01 16:03:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x8ad837…
07-01 15:24:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xeaefa6…
07-01 14:52:37	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xddf0bf…
07-01 14:45:11	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xddafa9…
07-01 14:45:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xea6661…
07-01 14:45:10	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5f3288…
07-01 14:42:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0xb51b10…
07-01 10:12:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	116	5¢	$5	0x0f1a9a…
07-01 03:56:23	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x99575c…
07-01 02:59:17	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xc264be…
07-01 02:41:56	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe38a28…
07-01 02:41:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	65	4¢	$3	0xf6e05e…
07-01 00:45:14	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x3c6ecc…
07-01 00:44:26	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xe6ada4…
06-30 23:08:50	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xfe6277…
06-30 20:30:37	will marco rubio attend nato summit	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0xf67269…
06-30 16:15:26	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9b60af…
06-30 16:15:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2d62aa…
06-30 16:15:16	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbb8f75…
06-30 12:05:53	will marco rubio attend nato summit	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0xa9ad80…
06-30 03:43:58	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x60b61c…
06-30 03:38:14	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x6595f7…
06-30 03:37:53	will marco rubio attend nato summit	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x8ed860…
06-30 03:37:52	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xcf6849…
06-30 03:37:52	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	No	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x610c12…
06-30 03:36:34	Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xcb6246…
06-30 03:36:25	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x95df65…
06-30 03:36:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x11fcdf…
06-30 03:36:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xee8aa8…
06-30 03:36:23	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa0263b…
06-30 03:36:22	Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x7dfdaa…
06-30 03:36:22	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34e046…
06-30 03:36:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2b641c…
06-30 03:36:20	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x61e639…
06-30 03:36:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xea60ad…
06-30 03:36:19	Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xc9428e…
06-30 03:36:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9eaae7…
06-30 03:36:17	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7a5567…
06-30 03:36:17	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x78cf9f…
06-30 03:36:17	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	No	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x3d0a3e…
06-30 03:36:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0xa14578…
06-30 03:36:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x225703…
06-30 03:36:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbfbc08…
06-30 03:35:52	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x69b1df…
06-30 01:28:49	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd7f74c…
06-29 23:50:28	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe63785…
06-29 22:58:05	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8b5983…
06-29 22:57:13	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x87cdb7…
06-29 22:46:44	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5b0914…
06-29 22:44:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x63e275…
06-29 22:44:11	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x635998…