Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

222

Trades

455

lifetime

Volume

$4.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$161

19 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-04 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

62% 44% -$172

Politics

31% 37% +$9

Pop-Culture

3% 43% +$6

Tech

2% 50% -$35

Sports

2% 100% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+18	$10	94¢	$17	+$7	06-30 03:36
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	+29	$10	57¢	$16	+$6	10-08 02:42
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	+17	$10	92¢	$16	+$6	06-29 00:24
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+59	$10	22¢	$13	+$3	09-18 15:59
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	+16	$10	77¢	$12	+$2	11-01 22:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+16	$10	76¢	$12	+$2	10-07 02:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+15	$10	70¢	$11	+$1	11-01 22:23
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	+19	$10	56¢	$11	+$1	10-07 03:27
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+36	$10	28¢	$10	$0	11-01 22:23
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	+15	$10	57¢	$9	-$1	10-12 20:02
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	+16	$10	56¢	$9	-$1	10-09 12:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+16	$10	44¢	$7	-$3	10-27 20:10
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	+53	$10	13¢	$7	-$3	10-07 02:16
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	+22	$10	26¢	$6	-$4	10-07 02:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+25	$5	8¢	$2	-$3	06-29 00:29
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	+100	$10	2¢	$2	-$8	10-07 02:16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+30	$10	4¢	$1	-$9	11-01 22:23
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	+26	$10	1¢	$0	-$10	10-07 02:16
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	+36	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	10-07 03:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	2	$168	167	167	+0	No	+$148	08-30 19:21
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?	2	$93	88	88	+0	No	+$73	09-21 17:26
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	7	$84	77	77	+0	No	+$62	08-14 03:12
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	8	$78	49	49	+0	No	+$14	06-29 15:48
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	2	$76	69	69	+0	No	+$56	07-21 17:53
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?	7	$61	63	63	+0	No	+$40	06-19 03:55
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	4	$60	53	53	+0	Yes	+$40	09-27 05:55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$51	72	72	+0	Yes	+$31	07-14 21:26
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	2	$47	38	38	+0	open	—	11-04 02:18
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	4	$43	35	35	+0	No	+$25	06-29 15:41
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	3	$43	30	30	+0	No	+$14	06-24 09:01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$43	227	0	+227	Yes	-$43	06-21 08:59
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	3	$41	33	33	+0	No	+$21	07-01 00:45
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	32	32	+0	open	—	09-22 08:36
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	5	$38	29	29	+0	No	+$18	09-11 22:31
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$36	28	28	+0	No	+$16	08-16 20:11
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	2	$36	28	28	+0	No	+$16	07-14 13:22
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?	4	$34	216	28	+188	Yes	+$5	05-16 18:39
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	2	$34	25	25	+0	No	+$14	08-30 02:38
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$32	25	25	+0	No	+$15	06-30 08:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$32	23	23	+0	No	+$12	08-12 18:57
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	2	$32	23	23	+0	No	+$12	06-24 15:37
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$31	22	22	+0	Yes	+$11	07-31 21:14
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	2	$30	21	21	+0	No	+$10	09-28 03:30
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	2	$30	19	19	+0	No	+$8	06-29 22:46
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$9	08-09 17:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	2	$29	22	22	+0	No	+$13	07-12 17:28
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$9	07-20 16:04
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 21:25
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	2	$29	18	18	+0	No	+$5	06-27 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 02:18:37	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$37	0x06b1cf…
11-01 22:23:36	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd83fac…
11-01 22:23:36	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x997bcc…
11-01 22:23:36	Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	No	BUY	71	15¢	$11	0x07ae51…
11-01 22:23:34	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd36399…
11-01 22:23:34	Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5ef4b9…
11-01 22:23:33	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd40faa…
11-01 22:23:33	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2e63d2…
11-01 22:23:30	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x352e18…
10-29 13:44:37	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xed6d15…
10-27 20:11:26	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	370	2¢	$9	0xf183d4…
10-27 20:10:11	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x8a5b38…
10-27 20:10:09	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	No	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xfbb9bb…
10-27 20:10:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x949462…
10-27 20:10:08	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd52e77…
10-26 20:10:47	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	No	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x0eb930…
10-26 19:24:09	Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	No	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0xd8e2b5…
10-26 19:24:08	Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x23610a…
10-26 15:23:41	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xb86819…
10-21 19:15:54	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x9c0bca…
10-19 10:24:32	Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	No	BUY	237	4¢	$9	0x4ec8e6…
10-19 03:41:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31?	No	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xd1a814…
10-19 03:41:50	Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?	No	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xcfbb50…
10-19 03:41:50	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7ca441…
10-17 22:18:21	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xea36bc…
10-15 21:25:51	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x0ea753…
10-15 16:52:29	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7bc8f4…
10-15 16:52:29	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x2acde4…
10-14 13:19:26	Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe81d52…
10-13 21:09:49	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6bd76c…
10-13 14:18:46	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xa6154e…
10-13 03:29:00	House favorite on November 2 wins the election?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x418a8b…
10-12 20:02:41	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xabc672…
10-12 14:21:33	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0c5863…
10-10 16:26:52	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x965586…
10-10 16:26:52	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x75f548…
10-09 12:42:42	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa0ecfa…
10-09 12:42:40	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc02bfa…
10-09 12:42:40	Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x59a844…
10-08 02:54:31	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x1dd573…
10-08 02:54:23	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x1db331…
10-08 02:54:17	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	SELL	204	2¢	$3	0x79bd2b…
10-08 02:54:10	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x4bd0ac…
10-08 02:52:26	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	56	17¢	$9	0x1a9242…
10-08 02:42:10	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5b2ba8…
10-08 02:42:10	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4e4a34…
10-08 02:42:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfb1bb8…
10-08 02:42:08	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd04ab6…
10-08 02:42:08	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5ff0c8…
10-07 17:58:46	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x149175…
10-07 06:36:08	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6426e3…
10-07 06:36:06	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x73af24…
10-07 03:27:05	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x5a38d6…
10-07 03:27:05	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x284ab0…
10-07 02:16:09	Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x22ca61…
10-07 02:16:08	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9752fc…
10-07 02:16:06	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xb4d39b…
10-07 02:16:06	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2a5eb9…
10-07 02:16:05	Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	180	4¢	$8	0xdafe8e…
10-07 02:16:05	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd0061a…
10-07 02:16:05	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x1c7519…
10-07 02:16:05	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x03b021…
10-07 02:16:03	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3ac168…
10-07 02:16:02	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	No	BUY	141	5¢	$7	0xf34ee3…
10-07 02:16:02	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xc3f6dc…
10-07 02:16:02	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xbe76f6…
10-07 02:16:00	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x75bb2f…
10-07 02:16:00	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	8¢	$10	0x4d1644…
09-30 16:35:23	Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x6607d3…
09-30 05:48:51	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xff3f46…
09-30 00:32:30	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x85e458…
09-28 03:30:30	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x8bca13…
09-27 05:55:20	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0xddffae…
09-27 05:46:54	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x735d5d…
09-27 05:44:14	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1cd0b4…
09-25 23:41:09	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0xf9a558…
09-22 13:49:09	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xce3f97…
09-22 08:36:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0x82e57a…
09-21 19:58:30	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	BUY	118	8¢	$9	0xea3f06…
09-21 19:51:25	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xe7d7ed…
09-21 19:51:25	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8cece2…
09-21 19:51:25	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2a7ce0…
09-21 17:26:31	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	88	95¢	$83	0xf2fbb9…
09-20 12:03:13	SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xe9b162…
09-18 15:59:16	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x08e4da…
09-18 15:33:33	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x1e0c31…
09-18 06:14:07	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x8e9f45…
09-18 04:52:10	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x58958d…
09-16 15:22:54	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb08c91…
09-16 15:22:54	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6e64ab…
09-15 17:01:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	48	22¢	$10	0xad1f1f…
09-15 05:37:06	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x735e5a…
09-14 00:00:21	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xf73981…
09-12 09:58:42	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9eef8a…
09-11 22:31:27	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x0ac0c5…
09-11 21:48:15	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3db376…
09-11 21:38:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x501f94…
09-11 20:09:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xce0180…
09-09 03:47:42	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	No	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xd7d88e…
09-07 02:05:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x05f0e3…