Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
140
lifetime
Volume
$1.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$365
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-30 16:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
69% 0% $-40
Politics
21%
Pop-Culture
6% 0% $-10
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No -63 $-50 94¢ $-59 $-9 06-19 03:55
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -41 $-42 100¢ $-41 +$1 06-29 15:48
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -23 $-24 100¢ $-23 +$1 06-24 09:01
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? No -23 $-22 98¢ $-22 $-1 06-24 15:37
New Half-Life game by June 30? No -16 $-16 99¢ $-15 +$0 06-26 02:58
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -14 $-14 99¢ $-14 $-0 06-24 03:11
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -14 $-14 99¢ $-14 $-0 06-29 00:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +18 $10 70¢ $13 +$3 06-24 03:19
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30? No -12 $-12 98¢ $-12 $-0 06-28 05:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +32 $10 36¢ $12 +$2 06-29 22:57
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30? No -12 $-9 100¢ $-12 $-3 06-01 04:04
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? No -12 $-10 99¢ $-12 $-1 06-01 04:03
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-1 06-01 04:03
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No -12 $-11 96¢ $-11 $-0 06-01 04:04
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-11 $-1 06-01 04:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -11 $-9 100¢ $-11 $-2 06-01 04:04
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 +$0 06-29 22:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +42 $10 24¢ $10 +$0 06-29 22:44
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? No +24 $10 42¢ $10 +$0 06-06 10:51
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +18 $10 56¢ $10 +$0 06-30 03:36
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +17 $10 58¢ $10 $-0 06-29 22:44
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-24 03:13
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +14 $4 28¢ $4 +$0 06-30 03:36
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +5 $3 65¢ $3 +$0 06-30 03:43
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +39 $9 $3 $-7 06-01 11:41
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +24 $2 $2 +$0 06-30 03:36
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No +39 $1 $2 +$1 06-30 03:37
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31? No +56 $9 $1 $-8 06-01 13:47
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +34 $9 $0 $-9 06-01 11:29
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +59 $2 $0 $-2 06-29 00:28