Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
open
Total volume
$31,134
Trades
723
Unique wallets
184
Liquidity
$4,026
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 06:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+11.2¢
(top1%: 25% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $16.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $246 | $757 | $511 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $628 | $2.2K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $501 | $1.4K | $884 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 92 | $891 | $9.5K | $8.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $389 | $1.2K | $764 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $26 | $506 | $480 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $54 | $1.0K | $976 |
| Median | 11 | $239 | $1.0K | $786 |
| Below median | 28 | $123 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $11 | $89 | $78 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 24 | $333 | $740 | $408 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $145 | $473 | $328 |
| unranked | 70 | $946 | $7.7K | $6.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd116…be32 | Yes | +1,000 | $193 | $193 | 2 | 06-19 18:56 |
| Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | +623 | $73 | $73 | 9 | 06-14 13:57 |
| Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | +550 | $534 | $534 | 10 | 06-29 19:08 |
| Svelte-Dame 0x4c96…36c9 | No | +527 | $429 | $429 | 1 | 06-01 07:41 |
| Pleasing-Pantologist 0x7216…cb34 | Yes | +390 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-22 21:13 |
| Fixed-Bout 0xa3ce…f829 | No | +303 | $241 | $241 | 2 | 06-12 19:05 |
| Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | +300 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-16 19:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +282 | $41 | $41 | 6 | 06-08 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd281…a3c9 | Yes | +207 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 06-21 17:49 |
| Required-Wrecker 0xb4ba…4ced | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 5 | 06-22 21:13 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +189 | $22 | $43 | 4 | 06-25 22:47 |
| Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | +174 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 07-01 06:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +174 | $31 | $31 | 7 | 06-12 19:05 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +172 | $137 | $620 | 19 | 06-22 21:13 |
| Frosty-Starboard 0x5d91…3578 | No | +154 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 06-17 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc66b…02aa | Yes | +141 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-24 05:25 |
| Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | +119 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 06-06 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7b0…6222 | No | +113 | $111 | $111 | 2 | 06-30 05:12 |
| Sociable-Neon 0x7add…7a7b | Yes | +100 | $46 | $178 | 9 | 06-21 13:00 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-25 15:06 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 05:12 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe03d…189a | No | +100 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 06-12 15:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 6 | 06-16 14:21 |
| Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | Yes | +86 | $9 | $41 | 4 | 06-15 02:42 |
| Heavy-Cow 0xfbf6…7521 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-28 09:17 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +60 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-16 14:24 |
| Defensive-Neighborhood 0xb91b…29a7 | No | +57 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 06-19 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +56 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 06-17 00:54 |
| Short-Term-Storyboard 0xae78…9275 | No | +53 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 06-26 13:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +53 | $35 | $71 | 2 | 06-25 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | +52 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 06-15 02:42 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +51 | $3 | $29 | 11 | 06-28 10:06 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 09:08 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-15 02:42 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 19:59 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 06-15 03:37 |
| Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | +40 | $34 | $46 | 7 | 06-22 21:13 |
| Incomplete-Scarf-Tub 0x7be8…0f50 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-12 19:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 13:28 |
| Loud-Number 0x2a96…b382 | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde5…6af3 | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 21:44 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4…395d | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 14 | 06-16 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +20 | $5 | $6 | 4 | 06-16 14:24 |
| Weepy-Bandolier 0x54d1…13f4 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-16 15:11 |
| Vengeful-Wrist 0xd11a…ed7d | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-15 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-16 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a31…1164 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-16 09:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1516…3f5a | Yes | +18 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 06-16 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d91…f592 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 13:57 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 05:08 |
| Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | +12 | $-0 | $1 | 8 | 07-01 05:00 |
| Glum-Girl 0x0cba…bcb0 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 09:51 |
| Numb-Fennel 0x0423…bd48 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-23 02:38 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 02:24 |
| Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb17a…0f66 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-15 02:42 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-16 14:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 06:23:16 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x0f4ffe… |
| 07-01 06:23:16 | Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x0f4ffe… |
| 07-01 05:08:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58cdf4… |
| 07-01 05:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58cdf4… |
| 07-01 05:08:58 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58cdf4… |
| 07-01 05:08:58 | Teeming-Technician 0x52e5…920a | No | BUY | 129 | 100¢ | $129 | 0x58cdf4… |
| 07-01 05:00:02 | Euphoric-Begonia 0xb79c…2a7b | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xe3e27e… |
| 07-01 05:00:02 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe3e27e… |
| 06-30 09:59:46 | Scratchy-Octavo 0xf12f…7a8c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a862b… |
| 06-30 09:59:46 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a862b… |
| 06-30 05:12:43 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf9fd92… |
| 06-30 05:12:43 | (anonymous) 0xc7b0…6222 | No | BUY | 105 | 99¢ | $104 | 0xf9fd92… |
| 06-30 05:12:43 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf9fd92… |
| 06-30 05:12:32 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x647481… |
| 06-30 05:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xc7b0…6222 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x647481… |
| 06-29 19:16:02 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | BUY | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x050053… |
| 06-29 19:16:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x050053… |
| 06-29 19:08:08 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x0f8e7a… |
| 06-29 19:08:08 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $197 | 0x0f8e7a… |
| 06-29 19:04:22 | Enraged-Revelation 0x80e7…d3a5 | No | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x11cc79… |
| 06-29 19:04:22 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x11cc79… |
| 06-29 19:04:22 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x11cc79… |
| 06-29 19:04:17 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb75a6… |
| 06-29 19:04:17 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xdb75a6… |
| 06-29 19:04:11 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa3180a… |
| 06-29 19:04:11 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xa3180a… |
| 06-29 19:04:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xdb0cee… |
| 06-29 19:04:05 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0xdb0cee… |
| 06-29 19:04:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdb0cee… |
| 06-29 19:03:59 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbb8456… |
| 06-29 19:03:59 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbb8456… |
| 06-29 17:36:02 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x55e15a… |
| 06-29 17:36:02 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | SELL | 45 | 97¢ | $44 | 0x55e15a… |
| 06-29 17:36:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x55e15a… |
| 06-29 17:36:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x55e15a… |
| 06-29 17:27:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x623743… |
| 06-29 17:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x0333…7d70 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x623743… |
| 06-28 23:12:05 | Sunny-Kitsch 0x3088…2391 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x98cd30… |
| 06-28 23:12:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x98cd30… |
| 06-28 23:12:05 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x98cd30… |
| 06-28 10:06:31 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x900346… |
| 06-28 10:06:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x900346… |
| 06-28 10:06:31 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x900346… |
| 06-28 10:06:31 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 106 | 97¢ | $102 | 0x900346… |
| 06-28 09:17:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9863cb… |
| 06-28 09:17:07 | Heavy-Cow 0xfbf6…7521 | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $58 | 0x9863cb… |
| 06-28 09:17:07 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | BUY | 115 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x9863cb… |
| 06-28 02:24:14 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x56188f… |
| 06-28 02:24:14 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x56188f… |
| 06-27 23:10:04 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe080bd… |
| 06-27 23:10:04 | Functional-Pigeon 0x6f03…4b88 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe080bd… |
| 06-27 22:16:47 | (anonymous) 0xd753…a477 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9a6b0d… |
| 06-27 22:16:47 | Extroverted-Engineer 0x8631…9a73 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9a6b0d… |
| 06-27 22:16:28 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6ec131… |
| 06-27 22:16:28 | Extroverted-Engineer 0x8631…9a73 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6ec131… |
| 06-27 18:11:50 | Wicked-Flour 0x7ee6…6eb1 | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x9932ff… |
| 06-27 18:11:50 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9932ff… |
| 06-27 10:59:28 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x7684b3… |
| 06-27 10:59:28 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7684b3… |
| 06-27 10:03:29 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 118 | 95¢ | $112 | 0x3fecaf… |
| 06-27 10:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x3fecaf… |
| 06-27 10:03:29 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3fecaf… |
| 06-27 10:03:22 | Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | BUY | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0xb3eac0… |
| 06-27 10:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…880c | No | SELL | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0xb3eac0… |
| 06-26 13:45:31 | Short-Term-Storyboard 0xae78…9275 | No | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0x27cddf… |
| 06-26 13:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…880c | No | SELL | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0x27cddf… |
| 06-26 06:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x7292…5af7 | No | SELL | 370 | 93¢ | $344 | 0x2a6be5… |
| 06-26 06:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xc42c…61a3 | No | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x2a6be5… |
| 06-26 06:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x66b4…880c | No | SELL | 294 | 93¢ | $273 | 0x2a6be5… |
| 06-26 06:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x8648…8cbc | Yes | SELL | 704 | 7¢ | $49 | 0x2a6be5… |
| 06-26 06:59:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd1b6fd… |
| 06-26 06:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xc42c…61a3 | No | SELL | 316 | 93¢ | $294 | 0xd1b6fd… |
| 06-26 06:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xcb78…d69b | No | SELL | 348 | 93¢ | $324 | 0xd1b6fd… |
| 06-26 06:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x15ff…1acf | Yes | SELL | 704 | 7¢ | $49 | 0xd1b6fd… |
| 06-26 06:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xd301…e1e8 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xd1b6fd… |
| 06-26 06:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x8d77…262e | Yes | SELL | 688 | 7¢ | $48 | 0xdb6d22… |
| 06-26 06:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x7c35…7f4d | No | SELL | 338 | 93¢ | $314 | 0xdb6d22… |
| 06-26 06:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x5d78…5278 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xdb6d22… |
| 06-26 06:54:52 | (anonymous) 0xd301…e1e8 | No | SELL | 330 | 93¢ | $307 | 0xdb6d22… |
| 06-26 06:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x8d48…9763 | No | SELL | 360 | 93¢ | $335 | 0x1fb02e… |
| 06-26 06:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x0340…2e4b | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x1fb02e… |
| 06-26 06:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x45b2…4b92 | Yes | SELL | 688 | 7¢ | $48 | 0x1fb02e… |
| 06-26 06:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x5d78…5278 | No | SELL | 308 | 93¢ | $286 | 0x1fb02e… |
| 06-26 06:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x0419…3cf6 | Yes | SELL | 686 | 7¢ | $48 | 0x431eef… |
| 06-26 06:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x91f3…2954 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x431eef… |
| 06-26 06:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x0340…2e4b | No | SELL | 350 | 93¢ | $326 | 0x431eef… |
| 06-26 06:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x2e3e…4f03 | No | SELL | 316 | 93¢ | $294 | 0x431eef… |
| 06-26 06:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x91f3…2954 | No | SELL | 306 | 93¢ | $285 | 0x7d4747… |
| 06-26 06:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xdbb3…49a9 | Yes | SELL | 686 | 7¢ | $48 | 0x7d4747… |
| 06-26 06:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xf185…3631 | No | SELL | 360 | 93¢ | $335 | 0x7d4747… |
| 06-26 06:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x78e6…0ebe | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x7d4747… |
| 06-26 06:51:13 | (anonymous) 0xa873…e0c9 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x8ed08a… |
| 06-26 06:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x1627…0df2 | No | SELL | 335 | 93¢ | $312 | 0x8ed08a… |
| 06-26 06:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x78e6…0ebe | No | SELL | 325 | 93¢ | $302 | 0x8ed08a… |
| 06-26 06:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x2272…bd16 | Yes | SELL | 680 | 7¢ | $48 | 0x8ed08a… |
| 06-26 06:51:01 | (anonymous) 0xc732…71e1 | Yes | SELL | 680 | 7¢ | $48 | 0xdbb11a… |
| 06-26 06:51:01 | (anonymous) 0xa873…e0c9 | No | SELL | 323 | 93¢ | $300 | 0xdbb11a… |
| 06-26 06:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x4b16…311b | No | SELL | 337 | 93¢ | $313 | 0xdbb11a… |
| 06-26 06:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x15ff…1acf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdbb11a… |
| 06-26 06:21:01 | (anonymous) 0x8648…8cbc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xeb1dfc… |