Vengeful-Wrist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$386

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-11 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$10

Other

26% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	No		+20	$17	84¢	$17	$-0	06-01 15:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-15	$-12	32¢	$-5	+$7	05-29 16:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	05-30 10:41
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	2	$49	39	39	+0	open	—	06-11 07:02
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	05-12 12:07
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	05-12 12:07
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	05-04 13:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$31	46	46	+0	open	—	05-30 09:12
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-31 11:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	04-22 17:21
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	06-01 15:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	+$10	04-24 09:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$12	0	15	-15	open	—	05-29 16:51
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	05-22 18:07
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	05-20 14:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 12:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	2	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	05-29 17:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-12 14:07
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$1	9	9	+0	open	—	05-30 09:13
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-01 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 07:02:51	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xc575d5…
06-01 17:26:10	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xe2a61e…
06-01 15:32:28	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xbdf211…
05-31 11:55:29	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xfd9ae5…
05-30 10:41:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0xd05577…
05-30 09:13:00	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x7e23c4…
05-30 09:12:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x939b1e…
05-29 17:04:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x768508…
05-29 17:03:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x19db53…
05-29 16:51:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0xe2d726…
05-22 18:07:05	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x325761…
05-20 17:01:15	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x50c1d6…
05-20 14:44:34	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xe99ef1…
05-20 14:44:17	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xb2057d…
05-19 12:48:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xf3aed9…
05-18 19:01:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	16¢	$6	0xc95183…
05-12 14:18:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x16cdcc…
05-12 14:07:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb38475…
05-12 12:07:28	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2b856b…
05-12 12:07:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3c842c…
05-04 14:06:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x261fe2…
05-04 13:37:04	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x5e88d6…
05-01 13:28:50	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6695cb…
05-01 13:11:46	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbbc424…
05-01 13:00:40	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xbbe65d…
05-01 12:48:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x19d4fd…
04-24 09:46:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x96af47…
04-23 17:19:52	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x7ad117…
04-22 17:21:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x1351c6…